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Vélez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Miguel Ángel Russo pays counterpart Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez a visit on Saturday night in the Primera División, as their San Lorenzo and Vélez Sarsfield sides go head to head at the Estadio José Amalfitani. Primera División statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.

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Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Godoy Cruz at 00:30 on Tuesday 18th February
San Lorenzo's next match is v Instituto at 00:30 on Tuesday 18th February
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Velez and San Lorenzo was on Saturday 8th February 2025
Argentinian Primera División
February 8th 2025
Velez 0
0 San Lorenzo
 
VEL
SLO
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
6
5
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
13
19
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
VelezSan Lorenzo
 
T. Marchiori Carreño
P. Pernicone
J. Gordon (D. Fernández 63')
T. Cavanagh (C. Baeza Baeza 56')
A. Quiroz (M. Porcel 78')
?. Montoro
T. Galván
A. Bouzat
C. Ordoñez
F. Pizzini (B. Romero 64')
M. Santos Rosadilla (M. Fernández 78')
O. Gill
J. Romaña Espitia
E. Báez Sotelo
D. Herrera
E. Herrera
N. Tripichio
M. Braida
A. Cuello
(J. Peralta González 63') A. Vombergar
(N. Domínguez 77') M. Reali

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Velez and San Lorenzo go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
42%
13/10
7%
-
Draw
31%
13/8
18%
-
San Lorenzo
27%
29/10
11%
-
Velez 1-0
16%
4/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
14%
7/2
31%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
-
San Lorenzo 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
-
Velez 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Velez 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
San Lorenzo 2-1
6%
16/1
31%
-
San Lorenzo 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
Velez 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Velez 3-1
3%
28/1
38%
-
San Lorenzo 3-1
2%
40/1-
San Lorenzo 3-0
1%
40/1-
Velez 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Velez 4-0
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
13/5
33%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
2/7
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
15/8
10%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
7/2
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
38%
13/8
16%
-
BTTS - No
62%
4/9
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/2
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/1
33%
-
Home/draw
73%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
58%
4/7
6%
-
Home/away
69%
4/9
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
8/11
13%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
1/1
16%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
7/1
45%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/12
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
18/1
46%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
50/1
76%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/500
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
2/11
6%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
7/2
31%
-
Home DNB
64%
1/2-
Away DNB
49%
6/4-
Velez win to nil
29%
2/1-
San Lorenzo win to nil
19%
4/1-
Velez / Velez
21%
3/1
11%
-
Velez / San Lorenzo
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
16%
4/1-
Draw / San Lorenzo
12%
6/1
7%
-
Draw / Draw
23%
5/2
13%
-
San Lorenzo / Velez
2%
40/1
41%
-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
14%
11/2-
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
San Lorenzo 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2018
Velez
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
0
0
Games: Scored
0 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
2 / 2
D
2
League games at San Lorenzo since 2020
San Lorenzo
Velez
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
VEL
1
SLO
2
Goal Statistics

San Lorenzo's defensive record is to be admired, Miguel Ángel Russo's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Vélez Sarsfield makes sense in this context.

Velez 1st San Lorenzo 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Velez have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
San Lorenzo have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291385/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
VEL
SLO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
VEL
SLO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Velez v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5003
T MarchioriA Bouzat
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK5
-
J. Gordon DEF3
-
P Pernicone DEF2
-
A Quirós DEF3
1
-
T Cavanagh DEF3
1
-
A Bouzat MID5
3
-
C Ordoñez MID5
1
-
F Pizzini MID5
-
T Galván MID2
-
?. Montoro MID5
-
M Santos FWD5
-
Subs
R Rodriguez GLK
-
E Gómez DEF4
2
-
L Roldán DEF
-
D Fernández DEF4
1
-
I. Andrada DEF2
-
C Baeza MID1
1
-
K. Vázquez MID
-
M. Porcel MID4
-
B Romero FWD5
1
-
M Pellegrini FWD2
-
B. Bosch FWD
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
O GillA VombergarE. Báez SoteloJ Romaña
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK5
-
E Herrera DEF5
1
-
J Romaña DEF5
2
-
D. Herrera DEF5
-
E. Báez Sotelo DEF51
2
-
N Tripichio MID5
1
-
A Cuello MID5
-
M. Reali MID5
1
-
M Braida MID51
-
A Vombergar FWD541
1
-
Subs
J Devecchi GLK
-
M. Zelaya DEF
-
R. Pedroza DEF
-
O. Arias DEF
-
A. Ladstatter DEF2
-
E Cecchini MID51
-
N Domínguez MID4
-
M Insaurralde MID2
-
J. Vega MID
-
J. Rattalino MID
-
V. Escalante FWD1
-
J. Peralta González FWD2
2
-