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Atlético Mineiro v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Aug, 20:00 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

The Serie A is the focus for both Atlético Mineiro and Gremio on Sunday night, as managers Alexi Stival and Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes battle it out at the Arena MRV. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 78% chance of A Mineiro and Gremio a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
57%
4/5-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Gremio
19%
7/2-
A Mineiro 1-0
14%
11/2-
A Mineiro 2-0
12%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1-
Gremio 1-0
7%
10/1-
A Mineiro 3-0
6%
14/1-
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
14/1-
Gremio 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Gremio 2-0
3%
20/1-
A Mineiro 4-0
3%
28/1-
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
33/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
28/1-
Gremio 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
38%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
19/20-
BTTS - No
56%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
17/2-
Home/draw
81%
2/11-
Away/draw
43%
19/20-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Home DNB
74%
3/10-
Away DNB
36%
12/5-
A Mineiro win to nil
36%
7/4-
Gremio win to nil
11%
6/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
29%
15/8-
A Mineiro / Gremio
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
18%
7/2-
Draw / Gremio
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Gremio / A Mineiro
4%
22/1-
Gremio / Gremio
11%
13/2-
Gremio / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
A Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
A Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
A Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 4Flamengo
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro2 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro1 - 2Bahia
HA Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
HA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
AA Mineiro1 - 0Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Internacional1 - 0Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Bragantino2 - 2Gremio
Criciuma0 - 1Gremio
Cuiaba1 - 3Gremio
Athletico PR0 - 2Gremio
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio0 - 1Fluminense
HGremio2 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AGremio1 - 4Cruzeiro
HGremio1 - 1Corinthians
AGremio2 - 0Juventude
HGremio1 - 0Bahia
AGremio1 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio1 - 0Santos
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 4Mirassol
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A Mineiro have beaten Gremio in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Gremio
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
AMN
4
GRE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 1
1 - 4Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
AMN
1
D
1
GRE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for A. Stival's side suggests that run should continue.

A Mineiro 10th Gremio 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
AMN
GRE
11%
better
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score5
4
Scored first5
10
Goals scored18
16
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal10
9
Conversion rate for10
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
20%
better
AMN
GRE
view stats
Games conceded9
14
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded17
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+20%

A Mineiro v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16428
J Alonso Hulk Hulk Lyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Alonso  DEF161
2
-
Natanael DEF161
1
-
G Scarpa MID161
2
-
Everson GLK15
3
-
Rony FWD153
3
-
Hulk  FWD1542
5
-
I Gomes MID1431
-
Bernard FWD13
1
-
G Menino MID121
1
-
A Franco MID12
1
-
Lyanco DEF11
6
2
J Santos FWD112
1
-
T Cuello FWD111
3
-
R Saravia DEF8
1
-
F Vera MID81
2
-
J. Soares de Freitas FWD71
-
C Paulista DEF6
1
-
G Arana DEF6
2
-
V Hugo DEF5
-
I Rabello  DEF4
-
R Junior DEF3
1
-
P. da Silva Campos MID3
-
I Román DEF2
1
-
Biel  FWD21
-
Dudu FWD2
-
G Delfim GLK1
-
Alexsander MID1
-
I Tomich FWD1
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17615
T VolpiM BraithwaiteWagnerM Villasanti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK17
2
-
Wagner DEF171
2
-
M Villasanti MID14
5
-
Dodi MID14
3
-
M Braithwaite FWD1461
2
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD131
1
-
F Cristaldo MID121
1
-
Edenilson MID1211
4
-
Marlon DEF11
3
-
Camilo MID11
-
C Olivera FWD112
3
-
C Pavón FWD111
4
-
Jemerson DEF91
3
-
F Amuzu FWD91
2
-
A Guzmán FWD91
1
-
W Kannemann DEF8
3
-
M Monsalve MID81
2
-
André FWD81
-
G Martins DEF71
2
-
L Esteves DEF6
1
-
J Pedro DEF6
-
Ronald MID5
-
A Santana MID3
2
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
J Lucas DEF2
1
-
R Ely DEF2
-
Nathan MID2
-
G Cuéllar MID2
-
G Grando GLK1
1
1