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Atlético Mineiro v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Aug, 20:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez welcomes Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro to the Arena MRV on Saturday night, as their Atlético Mineiro and Gremio sides go head to head in the Serie A. We have odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives A Mineiro and Gremio an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
50%
1.71-
Draw
25%
3.40-
Gremio
24%
4.75-
A Mineiro 1-0
12%
7.00-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
A Mineiro 2-0
9%
8.00-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
8.50-
Draw 0-0
8%
9.50-
Gremio 1-0
8%
13.00-
Gremio 2-1
6%
15.00-
A Mineiro 3-0
5%
13.00-
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Gremio 2-0
4%
23.00-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
29.00-
Gremio 3-1
2%
41.00-
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
29.00-
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.00-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.80-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.57-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.63-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.91-
BTTS - No
50%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.00-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9.50-
Home/draw
76%
1.18-
Away/draw
50%
2.00-
Home/away
75%
1.30-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.30-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.30-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.11-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.50-
Home DNB
68%
1.29-
Away DNB
42%
3.50-
A Mineiro win to nil
29%
3.00-
Gremio win to nil
13%
8.00-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
30%
2.75-
A Mineiro / Gremio
2%
41.00-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A Mineiro
18%
4.50-
Draw / Gremio
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Gremio / A Mineiro
4%
23.00-
Gremio / Gremio
11%
7.50-
Gremio / Draw
6%
15.00-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
10
Gremio have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
A Mineiro 10TH
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio 17TH
league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Gremio have beaten A Mineiro in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Gremio
Goals: Scored
12
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
AMN
4
GRE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 1
1 - 4Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
15
9
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
AMN
1
D
1
GRE
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for E. Domínguez's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlético Mineiro's defensive record is very strong, E. Domínguez's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Gremio makes sense in this context.

A Mineiro 10th Gremio 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.6
1
Attack rating
6%
better
AMN
GRE
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
6
Scored first11
6
Goals scored25
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
AMN
GRE
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded25
26
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%

A Mineiro v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20436
EversonV HugoBernardR Tressoldi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK201
-
R Lodi DEF192
3
1
T Cuello FWD1821
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF172
6
-
V Hugo MID1741
-
Bernard FWD1713
-
M Cassierra FWD1621
1
-
Reinier MID1511
1
-
A Franco MID151
3
-
Natanael DEF132
1
Dudu FWD132
-
T Pérez MID12
2
-
Maycon MID122
-
G Scarpa MID101
-
M. Cissé MID101
-
A Minda FWD1021
-
Lyanco DEF9
3
1
A Preciado DEF8
2
-
V Hugo DEF71
1
-
I Román DEF61
3
-
I Gomes MID61
1
-
Alexsander MID5
1
-
C. Soares FWD5
-
K. Resende DEF4
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191034
C ViníciusC ViníciusC PavónC Vinícius
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vinícius FWD1910
4
-
Weverton GLK181
1
-
C Pavón DEF183
4
-
J Enamorado FWD182
3
-
F Amuzu FWD1813
-
Tetê FWD162
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID152
3
-
E Mola MID1411
2
-
G Martins DEF132
4
-
J Nardoni MID1311
2
-
M Braithwaite FWD13
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF111
3
-
L. Pérez MID11
3
-
Wagner DEF9
2
1
Willian  FWD9
-
C Paulista DEF8
-
F Balbuena DEF7
-
Marlon DEF711
1
-
M Monsalve MID7
1
-
Dodi MID6
2
-
J Pedro DEF5
-
M Rocha DEF5
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
W Kannemann DEF2
1
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
M Villasanti MID2
-
Roger FWD2
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
G Grando GLK1
-
T. Gonçalves MID1
-