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Atlético Mineiro v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 20:00 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

the Arena MRV is the setting on Sunday night, as Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Atlético Mineiro host Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio in the Serie A. Serie A stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives A Mineiro and Gremio an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
50%
71/100-
Draw
25%
12/5-
Gremio
24%
15/4-
A Mineiro 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A Mineiro 2-0
9%
7/1-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-
Gremio 1-0
8%
12/1-
Gremio 2-1
6%
14/1-
A Mineiro 3-0
5%
12/1-
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Gremio 2-0
4%
22/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
28/1-
Gremio 3-1
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
28/1-
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11-
BTTS - No
50%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
17/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/11-
Away/draw
50%
1/1-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-
Home DNB
68%
2/7-
Away DNB
42%
5/2-
A Mineiro win to nil
29%
2/1-
Gremio win to nil
13%
7/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
30%
7/4-
A Mineiro / Gremio
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
18%
7/2-
Draw / Gremio
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Gremio / A Mineiro
4%
22/1-
Gremio / Gremio
11%
13/2-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
10
Gremio have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
A Mineiro 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
A Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
A Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro3 - 3Remo
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
A Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
A Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Santos
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro2 - 2Remo
AA Mineiro2 - 1Palmeiras
HA Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
AA Mineiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
AA Mineiro3 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Cortiba
AA Mineiro0 - 1Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro4 - 0Chapecoense
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol2 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 1Gremio
Athletico PR0 - 0Gremio
Cruzeiro2 - 0Gremio
Internacional0 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Chapecoense1 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
S. Recife0 - 4Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
HGremio1 - 1Fluminense
AGremio1 - 2Mirassol
HGremio1 - 3Corinthians
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Gremio have beaten A Mineiro in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Gremio
Goals: Scored
12
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
AMN
4
GRE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro3 - 1
1 - 4Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
15
9
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
AMN
1
D
1
GRE
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio4 - 3
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for E. Domínguez's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlético Mineiro's defensive record is very strong, E. Domínguez's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Gremio makes sense in this context.

A Mineiro 11th Gremio 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.6
1
Attack rating
7%
better
AMN
GRE
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score7
6
Scored first11
6
Goals scored27
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
AMN
GRE
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
12
Goals conceded27
27
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+2%

A Mineiro v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21436
EversonV HugoBernardR Tressoldi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK211
-
R Lodi DEF192
3
1
T Cuello FWD1921
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF182
6
-
V Hugo MID1841
1
-
Bernard FWD1823
-
M Cassierra FWD1721
1
-
Reinier MID1621
1
-
A Franco MID161
4
-
Natanael DEF132
1
Maycon MID132
-
Dudu FWD132
-
T Pérez MID12
2
-
M. Cissé MID111
-
A Minda FWD1122
-
G Scarpa MID101
-
Lyanco DEF9
3
1
A Preciado DEF91
2
-
V Hugo DEF81
1
-
I Gomes MID71
1
-
I Román DEF61
3
-
K. Resende DEF5
-
Alexsander MID5
1
-
C. Soares FWD5
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201034
C ViníciusC ViníciusC PavónC Vinícius
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vinícius FWD20101
4
-
Weverton GLK191
1
-
C Pavón DEF1913
4
-
F Amuzu FWD1913
-
J Enamorado FWD182
3
-
Tetê FWD162
-
E Mola MID1511
2
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID152
3
-
G Martins DEF142
4
-
J Nardoni MID1411
2
-
M Braithwaite FWD14
-
L. Pérez MID12
3
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF111
3
-
Wagner DEF9
2
1
Willian  FWD9
-
C Paulista DEF8
-
Marlon DEF811
2
-
F Balbuena DEF7
-
M Monsalve MID7
1
-
Dodi MID7
2
-
J Pedro DEF5
-
M Rocha DEF5
-
W Kannemann DEF3
2
-
M Villasanti MID3
1
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
Roger FWD2
-
G Grando GLK1
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF11
-
T. Gonçalves MID1
-