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Botafogo v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Sunday morning, as Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos and his Botafogo side host Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes’s Fluminense at the Estádio Nilton Santos. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
42%
6/5-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Fluminense
31%
11/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Botafogo 1-0
11%
6/1-
Fluminense 1-0
9%
15/2-
Botafogo 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2-
Botafogo 2-0
8%
9/1-
Fluminense 2-1
7%
11/1-
Fluminense 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Botafogo 3-1
4%
18/1-
Botafogo 3-0
3%
20/1-
Fluminense 3-1
3%
28/1-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
33/1-
Fluminense 3-0
2%
33/1-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
23/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1-
Home/draw
69%
4/11-
Away/draw
58%
4/6-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2-
Home DNB
61%
4/7-
Away DNB
50%
5/4-
Botafogo win to nil
24%
5/2-
Fluminense win to nil
17%
4/1-
Botafogo / Botafogo
23%
11/4-
Botafogo / Fluminense
2%
33/1-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Botafogo
15%
9/2-
Draw / Fluminense
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Fluminense / Botafogo
3%
25/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
15%
9/2-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
11
Botafogo have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Botafogo 12TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Botafogo have beaten Fluminense in 4 consecutive league meetings
5
Botafogo have not lost to Fluminense in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Fluminense
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
BOT
3
D
1
FLU
2
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
BOT
3
D
1
FLU
2
Goal Statistics
Botafogo 12th Fluminense 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 70% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Fluminense have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294503/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
BOT
FLU
33%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
3
Goals scored4
5
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal13
7
Conversion rate for8
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
BOT
FLU
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded3
3
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
10
Conversion rate against9%
10%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+6%

Botafogo v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
JohnI JesusCuiabanoA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK2
-
J Paula DEF2
-
Cuiabano DEF21
-
A Telles  DEF2
-
A Barboza DEF2
2
-
P Paula MID2
-
M Freitas MID2
-
Gregore MID2
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
S Rodríguez MID2
-
J Savarino FWD2
-
Artur FWD21
1
-
I Jesus FWD21
-
Vitinho  FWD2
-
M Ponte DEF11
-
M Martins FWD1
1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
F FábioLimaA CanobbioH Hércules
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK2
-
T Silva DEF2
-
Renê DEF2
-
Guga DEF2
-
J Freytes DEF2
-
J Arias MID2
-
Lima MID21
-
H Hércules MID2
1
-
Martinelli MID21
-
Everaldo FWD2
-
G Cano FWD2
-
A Canobbio FWD21
-
Keno FWD2
-
S Xavier DEF1
-
F Cruz MID1
-
Ganso MID1
-
K Serna FWD1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-