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Botafogo v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Fluminense are away from home on Sunday morning, as manager Luis Francisco Zubeldía takes his men to visit Botafogo and Franclim Pereira da Silva Maia Carvalho at the Estádio Nilton Santos in the Serie A. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Botafogo's next match is v Vitoria at 22:30 on Sunday 16th August
Fluminense's next match is v Remo at 20:00 on Saturday 22nd August

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Botafogo and Fluminense was on Sunday 9th August 2026

Brazillian Serie A

August 9th 2026

Botafogo 1	1 Fluminense

A. Telles 44'	58' I. da Silva Oliveira

	BOT FLU
Shots On	7 4
Shots Off	8 5
Corners	7 7
Possession	41% 59%
Fouls	16 18
Yellow/red cards	3/1 3/0

Botafogo	Fluminense

W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira V. da Silva N. Ferraresi Hernández C. Medina D. dos Santos de Oliveira A. Telles (P. da Silva 70') E. Justino K. Almeida Toledo (J. Barrera Herrera 59') ?. Montoro (D. Pereira da Silva 85') L. Villalba Jaume (M. Martins Silva dos Santos 60') A. Mendonça Cabral	F. Lopes Maciel S. Brito I. da Silva Oliveira R. Rodrigues Martins (H. Pereira do Nascimento 70') P. Chagas de Lima (G. Vieira de Souza 85') R. Castillo J. Ribeiro da Silva (J. Savarino Quintero 79') G. Santana (L. Acosta 79') Y. Soteldo Martínez (A. Canobbio Graviz 70') K. Serna Jaramillo O. Passos Santos

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% probability of Botafogo and Fluminense scoring at least a couple of goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Botafogo 44%	6/5 8%	17/10
Draw 25%	11/5	11/5
Fluminense 31%	12/5 22%	17/10
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	9/2
Botafogo 2-1 9%	17/2 5%	15/2
Botafogo 1-0 9%	7/1	13/2
Fluminense 2-1 7%	11/1 10%	8/1
Fluminense 1-0 7%	9/1 18%	13/2
Botafogo 2-0 7%	10/1 8%	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 20%	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	8/1 5%	8/1
Botafogo 3-1 5%	18/1 10%	18/1
Fluminense 2-0 5%	16/1 15%	10/1
Botafogo 3-0 4%	20/1 12%	20/1
Fluminense 3-1 3%	25/1 10%	16/1
Botafogo 3-2 3%	28/1 10%	25/1
Fluminense 3-2 3%	33/1 17%	22/1
Fluminense 3-0 2%	33/1 31%	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	1/1 5%	1/1
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	4/5 6%	8/11
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5 9%	1/1
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5 5%	1/1
No 1st Goal 3%	8/1 5%	15/2
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/5 6%	3/4
BTTS - No 43%	19/20 5%	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 22%	15/4 14%	4/1
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1 8%	3/1
BTTS - Away Win 16%	11/2 9%	4/1
Home/draw 69%	3/10 9%	4/9
Away/draw 56%	8/13 2%	4/9
Home/away 75%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/3 3%	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	12/5 10%	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	5/2 9%	5/2
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	3/10 3%	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	6/1 7%	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/10 1%	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	14/1 13%	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/33 1%	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/14	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	8/1 5%	8/1
Home DNB 62%	4/7 9%	17/20
Away DNB 48%	5/4 15%	17/20
Botafogo win to nil 22%	11/4	-
Fluminense win to nil 15%	5/1 27%	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 21%	13/5 13%	16/5
Botafogo / Fluminense 3%	28/1	22/1
Botafogo / Draw 7%	12/1 13%	10/1
Draw / Botafogo 14%	9/2	5/1
Draw / Fluminense 12%	6/1 8%	5/1
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	18/5
Fluminense / Botafogo 3%	25/1 10%	22/1
Fluminense / Fluminense 17%	4/1 10%	16/5
Fluminense / Draw 6%	14/1 13%	10/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	4 - 2	Fortaleza
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	S. Recife
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Botafogo	4 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
A	Botafogo	1 - 4	Athletico PR
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	3 - 5	Gremio
H	Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Cortiba	1 - 1	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Fluminense
Remo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Fluminense	3 - 2	Santos
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	3 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	Remo
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bahia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Botafogo have beaten Fluminense in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Fluminense

Botafogo

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

2 / 7

BOT

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo	2 - 0
Botafogo	1 - 0
Botafogo	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 1

Fluminense

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

3 / 8

BOT

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Botafogo
	0 - 2	Botafogo
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Fluminense	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Botafogo
Fluminense	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Fluminense of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Botafogo.

	Botafogo 10th	Fluminense 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+34 Botafogo have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted	-17 Fluminense have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

BOT

FLU

view stats

Games scored	17		18
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	34		30
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+5%

BOT

FLU

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		17
Clean sheets	3		4
Conceded first	8		8
Goals conceded	32		25
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+12%

Botafogo v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	7	3	5
A Telles	Danilo	A Telles	N Ferraresi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Warleson GLK	3			1 -
Vitinho DEF	19		2	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	15	1		5 -
E. Justino DEF	10	1		2 -
A Telles DEF	19	3	3	4 -
Danilo MID	15	7	2	1 -
C Medina MID	15	1		4 1
K. Almeida Toledo MID	6		2	-
?. Montoro MID	18		3	3 -
L Jaume MID	13	1	1	2 -
A Cabral FWD	18	7	1	2 -
Subs
G Batista GLK				-
M Ponte DEF	10		1	4 -
M Marçal DEF	8			2 1
Paulinho DEF	1			-
L Lemos DEF				-
J Herrera MID	12	1		-
Edenilson MID	13	3	2	2 -
D Andrade MID				-
Danilo FWD	1			-
M Martins FWD	19	4		2 -
K. Barria FWD	11	1	1	2 -
L. Emanuel FWD	3	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	21	3	5
Danilo	A Cabral	A Telles	Vitinho

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Danilo MID	7	12	2	5
A Cabral FWD	7	21	1	3
Subs
M Martins FWD	4	19
A Telles DEF	3	3	3	4
Subs
Edenilson MID	3	5	2	2
N Ferraresi DEF	1	1
E. Justino DEF	1	2
C Medina MID	1	3		1
L Jaume MID	1	3	1	4
Subs
J Herrera MID	1	6
K. Barria FWD	1	4	1	1
L. Emanuel FWD	1	2
Vitinho DEF			2	5
K. Almeida Toledo MID		1	2	2
?. Montoro MID		6	3	3
Subs
M Ponte DEF			1
M Marçal DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
627	38	84
N Ferraresi	Vitinho	?. Montoro

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
N Ferraresi DEF	627	28	64
Danilo MID	601	18	44
Vitinho DEF	507	38	75
C Medina MID	499	19	64
A Telles DEF	493	21	46
?. Montoro MID	455	14	84
Subs
M Martins FWD	362	22	68
A Cabral FWD	241	10	82
E. Justino DEF	234	14	40
Subs
M Ponte DEF	217	10	33
Edenilson MID	193	5	17
M Marçal DEF	138	6	11
J Herrera MID	120	3	18
L Jaume MID	91	14	32
Warleson GLK	61		3
Subs
K. Barria FWD	46	5	30
K. Almeida Toledo MID	44	10	25
Subs
L. Emanuel FWD	11	1	4
Paulinho DEF	10
Danilo FWD	8

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	4	4	6
F Fábio	A Canobbio	L Acosta	L Acosta

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	23			1 -
S Xavier DEF	14			4 -
Ignacio DEF	11	2	1	3 -
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	17		1	3 -
Renê DEF	16		2	1 -
Nonato MID	10	1	1	4 -
O Otávio MID	6			1 -
K Serna MID	22	2	2	1 -
Ganso MID	14			1 -
Y Soteldo MID	16			-
R Castillo FWD	13	3	1	1 -
Subs
Marcelo GLK				-
Guga DEF	14		3	3 -
G Arana DEF	14	1	1	2 -
I Rabello DEF	2			-
Martinelli MID	16		2	4 -
L Acosta MID	19	3	4	6 -
H Hércules MID	21	3		2 -
A Canobbio FWD	16	4	3	4 1
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	3			1 -
Hulk FWD	5	2		-
J Savarino FWD	18	3	2	2 -
G Cano FWD	8	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	4	8
A Canobbio	J Savarino	L Acosta	L Acosta

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Canobbio FWD	4	13	3	5
R Castillo FWD	3	7	1
Subs
L Acosta MID	3	9	4	8
H Hércules MID	3	11		1
J Savarino FWD	3	14	2	5
Ignacio DEF	2	2	1	1
K Serna MID	2	10	2	2
Subs
Hulk FWD	2	6		1
Nonato MID	1	2	1	2
Subs
G Arana DEF	1	5	1	1
G Cano FWD	1	4		1
S Xavier DEF		2		3
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF			1
Renê DEF		3	2	1
O Otávio MID		1
Ganso MID		2
Y Soteldo MID		5		2
Subs
Guga DEF			3	3
Martinelli MID		4	2	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
990	37	83
Martinelli	Renê	K Serna

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
Martinelli MID	990	18	46
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	828	21	71
Renê DEF	812	37	79
Subs
H Hércules MID	733	33	56
L Acosta MID	693	15	66
S Xavier DEF	673	21	57
Subs
G Arana DEF	577	13	30
J Savarino FWD	572	9	40
Guga DEF	572	21	47
A Canobbio FWD	481	23	73
Ignacio DEF	455	13	45
F Fábio GLK	423	1	9
Ganso MID	374	9	18
K Serna MID	372	20	83
Nonato MID	364	16	28
Y Soteldo MID	328	3	34
O Otávio MID	214	4	10
R Castillo FWD	190	7	49
Subs
Hulk FWD	88	4	23
I Rabello DEF	51	5	9
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	29	2	6
G Cano FWD	23		1