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Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Nov, 23:30 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

Saturday night sees Rafael dos Santos Lacerda’s Chapecoense and Pedro Emanuel dos Santos Martins Silva’s Vasco da Gama go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Arena Condá. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a sound selection is published below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Serie A showdown should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Vasco d Gama coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chapecoense 25%	7.50 142%	3.10
Draw 22%	4.75 48%	3.20 3%
Vasco d Gama 53%	1.37 39%	2.38 3%
Draw 1-1 10%	8.50 42%	5.50 4%
Vasco d Gama 2-1 10%	8.50 11%	8.50 6%
Vasco d Gama 1-0 8%	7.50	7.00
Vasco d Gama 2-0 8%	7.00 36%	10.00 5%
Chapecoense 2-1 6%	23.00 109%	9.50
Vasco d Gama 3-1 6%	11.00 48%	15.00
Draw 2-2 6%	19.00 27%	12.00
Chapecoense 1-0 5%	21.00 133%	8.00
Vasco d Gama 3-0 5%	9.50 55%	17.00
Draw 0-0 4%	13.00 53%	8.50 6%
Vasco d Gama 3-2 4%	23.00 21%	21.00 9%
Chapecoense 2-0 3%	41.00 173%	13.00
Vasco d Gama 4-1 3%	19.00 54%	29.00
Chapecoense 3-1 3%	51.00 96%	21.00
Chapecoense 3-2 3%	51.00 50%	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	1.67 20%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	2.15 26%	1.70
Home 1st Goal 44%	3.20 45%	2.20
Away 1st Goal 53%	1.36 26%	1.85
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00 53%	8.50 6%
BTTS - Yes 61%	1.91	1.80
BTTS - No 39%	1.91	1.95 2%
BTTS - Home Win 14%	13.00 100%	5.75
BTTS - Draw 18%	6.00 33%	4.00 5%
BTTS - Away Win 29%	3.10 38%	4.60
Home/draw 47%	2.75 75%	1.57 2%
Away/draw 75%	1.10 19%	1.35
Home/away 78%	1.18 13%	1.35 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.20 12%	1.33
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4.50 41%	3.10
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	2.63 34%	3.60
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	1.50 20%	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	4.50 44%	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.20 11%	1.07
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	10.00 41%	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1.06 3%	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.04 3%	1.06 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	13.00 53%	8.50 6%
Home DNB 40%	6.00 173%	2.15
Away DNB 69%	1.13 30%	1.62
Chapecoense win to nil 10%	15.00 200%	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 24%	2.25 40%	-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense 10%	13.00 160%	4.80
Chapecoense / Vasco d Gama 4%	21.00 19%	21.00
Chapecoense / Draw 6%	19.00 27%	11.00 8%
Draw / Chapecoense 8%	15.00 131%	6.50
Draw / Vasco d Gama 18%	4.00 27%	5.50
Draw / Draw 15%	7.00 40%	4.50 6%
Vasco d Gama / Chapecoense 3%	41.00 41%	23.00
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 31%	2.05 45%	3.60 3%
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	17.00 31%	11.00 8%

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Mirassol
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Fluminense
Chapecoense	1 - 4	Athletico PR
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Internacional
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Chapecoense	3 - 3	Bahia
Chapecoense	0 - 4	Flamengo
Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro
Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	3 - 3	Cortiba
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Atletico Go
Chapecoense	0 - 1	America
Chapecoense	2 - 0	Operario
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Mirassol
A	Chapecoense	0 - 3	Bragantino
H	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Botafogo
H	Chapecoense	1 - 4	Athletico PR
A	Chapecoense	0 - 4	Vitoria
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Chapecoense	1 - 3	Gremio
H	Chapecoense	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cortiba
A	Chapecoense	2 - 2	Santos
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	Flamengo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Mirassol

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Remo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cortiba	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	3 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro	5 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Remo
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Botafogo
H	Vasco d Gama	5 - 0	Cortiba
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Palmeiras
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Santos
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Bahia
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Flamengo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Chapecoense have drawn with Vasco d Gama in 4 consecutive league meetings

Chapecoense

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vasco d Gama

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Vasco d Gama	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Chapecoense have conceded in each of their last 10 Serie A games. A PG of 1.9 for P. dos Santos Martins Silva's side suggests that run should continue.

	Chapecoense 20th	Vasco d Gama 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Chapecoense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-20 Vasco d Gama have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CHP

VDG

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		15
Failed to score	8		5
Scored first	4		7
Goals scored	19		23
Avg. goals scored	1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		13
Avg. shots per goal	10		11
Conversion rate for	10		9
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+19%

CHP

VDG

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		19
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	15		13
Goals conceded	41		31
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

Chapecoense v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	7	10
Camilo	Marcinho	G Augusto	Camilo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Paixão GLK				-
Heitor DEF	5		1	-
K. Faria Gomes DEF	12	1		3 -
R Thyere DEF	6			-
B Pacheco DEF	24	1	3	4 -
Camilo MID	27			10 -
Y Felipe MID				-
Marcinho FWD	31	5	2	3 -
G Augusto FWD	25	2	7	2 -
Y Bolasie FWD	26	2	3	4 -
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	13	3	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	7	9
Marcinho	Y Bolasie	G Augusto	G Augusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marcinho FWD	5	12	2	3
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	3	7	1
G Augusto FWD	2	6	7	9
Y Bolasie FWD	2	17	3	2
K. Faria Gomes DEF	1	2
B Pacheco DEF	1	1	3	4
Heitor DEF			1
Camilo MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1114	65	121
Camilo	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Camilo MID	1114	65	121
G Augusto FWD	775	24	80
B Pacheco DEF	708	38	118
Marcinho FWD	565	26	98
K. Faria Gomes DEF	563	14	44
Y Bolasie FWD	255	6	72
Heitor DEF	157	12	18
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	133	3	53
R Thyere DEF	101	2	10

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	5	3	9
L Jardim	A Gomez	Cuiabano	A Gomez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	33			1 -
P Henrique DEF	22		2	5 -
G Pereira DEF	3	1		1 -
R Renan DEF				-
Cuiabano DEF				-
S Sosa MID	11			-
T Mendes MID	30	4	1	8 -
A Gomez MID	28	5	3	9 -
A Lescano MID	8	3		1 -
F Colidio FWD	12	3	3	2 -
B Duarte FWD	8	2	2	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	25	3	8
A Gomez	A Gomez	Cuiabano	A Gomez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Gomez MID	5	25	3	8
T Mendes MID	4	13	1	5
A Lescano MID	3	3		3
F Colidio FWD	3	13	3	3
B Duarte FWD	2	3	2	2
G Pereira DEF	1	1
P Henrique DEF		2	2	5
S Sosa MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1798	70	161
R Renan	Cuiabano	Cuiabano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Mendes MID	1656	26	126
L Jardim GLK	732		7
P Henrique DEF	615	39	111
S Sosa MID	550	20	50
A Gomez MID	521	45	145
A Lescano MID	349	12	25
F Colidio FWD	315	6	54
G Pereira DEF	203	4	9
B Duarte FWD	94	9	24