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Sao Paulo v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 20th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estádio Nicolau Alayon, Sao Paulo

It's an away trip for Marco Aurelio De Oliveira's Fluminense side on Friday morning, as they travel to the Estádio Nicolau Alayon for a Serie A tie with Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Sao Paulo. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Sao Paulo and Fluminense have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
41%
5/4-
Draw
27%
11/5-
Fluminense
32%
21/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
13/2-
Fluminense 1-0
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 2-0
8%
10/1-
Fluminense 2-1
7%
11/1-
Fluminense 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
18/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
3%
20/1-
Fluminense 3-1
3%
25/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/1-
Fluminense 3-0
2%
33/1-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
43/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2-
Home/draw
68%
4/11-
Away/draw
59%
4/7-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Home DNB
60%
8/13-
Away DNB
51%
6/5-
Sao Paulo win to nil
24%
11/4-
Fluminense win to nil
18%
9/2-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
22%
11/4-
Sao Paulo / Fluminense
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
15%
9/2-
Draw / Fluminense
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Fluminense / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
17%
4/1-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 2Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cortiba
Sao Paulo1 - 2Athletico PR
Sao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo0 - 0Corinthians
ASao Paulo2 - 3Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Mirassol
HSao Paulo1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cruzeiro
HSao Paulo1 - 2Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 1Chapecoense
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cortiba
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Athletico PR
ASao Paulo0 - 1Remo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
ASao Paulo1 - 2Fluminense
ASao Paulo2 - 3Corinthians
Fluminense 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria0 - 3Fluminense
Chapecoense2 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians1 - 3Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 1Fluminense
Athletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
Botafogo1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 1Fluminense
Cruzeiro1 - 1Fluminense
Mirassol1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Santos2 - 3Fluminense
Cortiba1 - 1Fluminense
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
Remo0 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense3 - 0Vitoria
HFluminense2 - 1Internacional
AFluminense1 - 2Chapecoense
HFluminense1 - 2Santos
AFluminense0 - 1Flamengo
HFluminense4 - 0Cortiba
AFluminense3 - 1Corinthians
AFluminense1 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AFluminense3 - 3Athletico PR
HFluminense2 - 1Remo
HFluminense3 - 2Palmeiras
AFluminense1 - 1Botafogo
HFluminense0 - 0Bahia
AFluminense1 - 1Gremio
HFluminense1 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense1 - 1Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Mirassol
HFluminense2 - 1Sao Paulo
HFluminense2 - 2Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Fluminense in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
SAO
4
D
3
FLU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo3 - 1
0 - 2Fluminense
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
19
8
Games: Scored
9 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
0 / 9
SAO
2
D
1
FLU
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense6 - 0
Fluminense2 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense3 - 1
Fluminense2 - 1
1 - 2Sao Paulo
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 10th Fluminense 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
SAO
FLU
19%
better
view stats
Games scored26
30
Failed to score8
4
Scored first17
17
Goals scored39
55
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
5%
better
SAO
FLU
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first16
16
Goals conceded39
42
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Sao Paulo v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311037
RafaelJ CalleriD BobadillaE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK31
1
-
J Calleri FWD28102
6
-
Luciano FWD2792
6
-
Danielzinho MID2611
2
-
M Antônio MID2512
2
-
Sabino DEF2411
3
-
P Maia MID241
3
-
Ferreira FWD244
3
-
D Bobadilla MID2313
3
-
Artur FWD2332
2
-
Wendell DEF223
5
-
L Ramon DEF212
2
1
R Arboleda DEF21
1
-
Cauly MID161
-
A Silva FWD16
5
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
R Tolói DEF13
3
-
L Moura FWD1321
1
-
Iago DEF1111
3
-
D. Ferreira MID11
5
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID10
1
-
G. Domingos Santana FWD101
2
-
V Sá FWD91
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
P. Cardoso de Lima DEF811
1
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF81
1
1
P. da Silva Ferreira MID7
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
P. dos Santos FWD5
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
C Coronel GLK3
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD2
-
A Buta DEF1
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34958
F FábioJ KennedyL AcostaA Canobbio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK34
1
-
K Serna FWD3344
1
-
L Acosta MID2965
7
-
H Hércules MID294
3
-
Ganso MID251
2
-
J Savarino FWD2572
3
-
A Canobbio FWD2564
7
1
Renê DEF242
2
-
Martinelli MID223
5
-
Y Soteldo FWD222
1
-
R Castillo FWD2161
2
-
G Arana DEF2011
4
-
J Freytes DEF20
5
-
Guga DEF2012
3
-
S Xavier DEF20
5
-
Nonato MID2013
6
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF191
3
-
Ignacio DEF1831
6
-
J Kennedy FWD1891
1
Hulk  FWD1563
1
-
J Millán DEF10
1
-
G Cano FWD101
-
Alisson MID81
3
-
O Otávio MID8
2
-
T Silva DEF71
1
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD71
1
-
W. de Freitas Prado FWD61
-
I Rabello  DEF51
-
J. Lima Fidelis DEF4
1
-