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Botafogo v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

It's an away match for Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo side on Wednesday night, as they visit the Estádio Nilton Santos for a Serie A tie with Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos's Botafogo. We have odds from leading bookmakers for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Botafogo's next match is v Bahia at 01:00 on Sunday 4th May
Sao Paulo's next match is v Fortaleza at 01:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Botafogo and Sao Paulo was on Wednesday 16th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 16th 2025
Botafogo 2
2 Sao Paulo
 
J. Savarino Quintero 24'21' A. dos Santos Ferreira
I. da Cruz 84'45' A. Oliveira Silva
 
BOT
SAO
Shots On
8
4
Shots Off
9
6
Corners
9
4
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
11
4
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
BotafogoSao Paulo
 
J. Furtado
V. da Silva (M. Ponte Costa 88')
L. Soares da Silva
J. da Cunha Filho
A. Barboza Ullúa
M. Rodrigues Freitas
G. Magalhaes Silva (Patrick de Paula 63')
M. Martins Silva dos Santos (G. Mastriani Borges 81')
J. Savarino Quinterofootball icon
A. Guimarães (Jefferson 88')
I. da Cruzfootball icon
R. Monteiro
(E. Díaz 65') W. Nascimento Borges
(R. Huendra Almeida Mendonça 88') N. Ferraresi Hernández
A. Franco
R. Arboleda Escobar
C. Alves Soares
M. Silva Santos
A. de Freitas Castro
(L. da Rocha Neves 65') M. Alves Nascimento
(L. dos Santos Ferreira 87') football iconA. dos Santos Ferreira
(A. Oliveira Silva 35') J. Calleri

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos and Luis Francisco Zubeldía to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a deluge of goals as Botafogo and Sao Paulo go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
54%
5/6
4%
-
Draw
27%
12/5
6%
-
Sao Paulo
19%
15/4
32%
-
Botafogo 1-0
16%
15/4
32%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Botafogo 2-0
12%
6/1
22%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
5/1
40%
-
Botafogo 2-1
9%
17/2
12%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
15/2
15%
-
Botafogo 3-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
16/1
31%
-
Botafogo 3-1
4%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
35%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Botafogo 4-0
2%
33/1-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
-
Botafogo 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
50/1
76%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
17/10
35%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9
20%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4
25%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
5/1
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
6/4
31%
-
BTTS - No
59%
1/2
21%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
73%
-
Home/draw
81%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
46%
10/11-
Home/away
73%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
8/13
22%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
13/10
32%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/2
57%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/7
12%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1
100%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
28/1
93%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/150
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/8
6%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
5/1
40%
-
Home DNB
73%
3/10
10%
-
Away DNB
38%
12/5
30%
-
Botafogo win to nil
36%
6/4
23%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
12%
11/2-
Botafogo / Botafogo
28%
2/1
3%
-
Botafogo / Sao Paulo
2%
40/1
21%
-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Botafogo
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / Sao Paulo
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
3/1
20%
-
Sao Paulo / Botafogo
3%
28/1
26%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
9%
15/2
31%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Botafogo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo2 - 0Juventude
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo1 - 1Criciuma
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Botafogo2 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Botafogo4 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 0Internacional
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo2 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo1 - 1Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo5 - 1Juventude
Botafogo1 - 0Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo2 - 0Juventude
ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
HBotafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABotafogo1 - 0Internacional
ABotafogo3 - 1Palmeiras
HBotafogo1 - 1Vitoria
ABotafogo0 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo1 - 0Bragantino
HBotafogo1 - 1Criciuma
ABotafogo1 - 0Athletico PR
HBotafogo0 - 0Gremio
ABotafogo1 - 0Fluminense
HBotafogo2 - 1Corinthians
HBotafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
ABotafogo0 - 0Bahia
HBotafogo4 - 1Flamengo
ABotafogo2 - 3Juventude
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Atletico Go0 - 3Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Botafogo have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Botafogo have not lost to Sao Paulo in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
BOT
4
D
1
SAO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo2 - 1
Botafogo2 - 1
Botafogo1 - 0
Botafogo1 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BOT
1
D
2
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo4 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 2
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Sao Paulo fans, as should a 6 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Botafogo 8th Sao Paulo 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294483/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
BOT
SAO
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score2
2
Scored first1
1
Goals scored2
1
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.3
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal17
25
Conversion rate for6
4
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
BOT
SAO
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded25
24
Conversion rate against4%
4%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Botafogo v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6223
JohnJ SavarinoArturA Barboza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK6
1
-
Vitinho DEF51
-
J Paula DEF6
-
A Barboza DEF5
3
-
Cuiabano DEF61
1
-
Gregore MID6
3
-
M Freitas MID6
1
-
Artur MID62
1
-
J Savarino MID621
1
-
M Martins MID5
1
-
I Jesus FWD621
-
Subs
L Linck GLK
-
M Ponte DEF41
-
A Telles  DEF5
-
D Loiola DEF1
1
D Barbosa MID1
1
-
P Paula MID5
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
K. Cordeiro Lindes MID
-
G Mastriani FWD4
-
Jeffinho FWD1
-
R Seco FWD
-
E Manoel FWD1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
RafaelFerreiraFerreiraM Antônio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK6
1
-
N Ferraresi  DEF5
-
R Arboleda DEF3
1
-
A Franco DEF5
1
-
C Soares MID61
1
-
M Antônio MID6
3
-
Alisson MID6
2
-
Wendell MID4
-
M. Alves Nascimento FWD51
3
-
Ferreira FWD632
2
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
Subs
Jandrei GLK
-
I Vinícius  DEF3
1
-
E Díaz DEF6
3
-
R Tressoldi DEF3
-
Sabino DEF3
1
-
Rodrigo MID3
2
-
D Bobadilla MID3
1
-
F Negrucci MID
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID5
-
Luciano FWD5
-
A Silva FWD621
2
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD31
-