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Gremio v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Nov, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Bahia, led by manager Rogério Mücke Ceni, visit Renato Portaluppi and his Gremio side at the Arena do Grêmio on Thursday morning in the Serie A. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we fully expect this fixture to deliver both elation and sadness to both home and away supporters. We expect both Gremio and Bahia to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate winner of the fixture seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
41%
5/4-
Draw
24%
12/5-
Bahia
35%
9/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Gremio 2-1
9%
17/2-
Bahia 2-1
8%
10/1-
Gremio 1-0
7%
9/1-
Bahia 1-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Gremio 2-0
6%
12/1-
Bahia 2-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Gremio 3-1
5%
16/1-
Bahia 3-1
4%
20/1-
Gremio 3-2
3%
22/1-
Gremio 3-0
3%
22/1-
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/1-
Bahia 3-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4/1-
Home/draw
65%
2/5-
Away/draw
59%
4/7-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
58%
4/6-
Away DNB
52%
11/10-
Gremio win to nil
18%
7/2-
Bahia win to nil
16%
9/2-
Gremio / Gremio
22%
11/4-
Gremio / Bahia
3%
25/1-
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Gremio
14%
5/1-
Draw / Bahia
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Bahia / Gremio
4%
22/1-
Bahia / Bahia
19%
7/2-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
GRE
4
D
2
BAH
2
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Gremio
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
3 / 9
GRE
3
D
2
BAH
4
Goal Statistics

Gremio have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Bahia on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Gremio 18th Bahia 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Gremio have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Bahia have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.6
1.5
Attack rating
GRE
BAH
21%
better
view stats
Games scored24
29
Failed to score10
5
Scored first11
15
Goals scored38
50
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
GRE
BAH
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
25
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first19
17
Goals conceded47
45
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%

Gremio v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311147
WevertonC ViníciusF AmuzuC Pavón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vinícius FWD32111
6
-
Weverton GLK311
3
-
J Enamorado FWD293
5
-
F Amuzu FWD2924
1
-
C Pavón FWD2934
7
-
Tetê FWD2721
1
-
E Mola MID2511
7
-
M Braithwaite FWD251
-
G Martins DEF2432
6
-
J Nardoni MID1811
2
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF171
7
-
C Paulista DEF16
1
-
M Villasanti MID151
3
-
Marlon DEF1421
3
-
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF1221
3
-
Wagner DEF11
2
1
J Pedro DEF11
2
-
Dodi MID11
3
-
F Balbuena DEF101
-
D Santos DEF101
2
-
F Krovinovic MID10
-
W Kannemann DEF91
6
1
M Rocha DEF7
-
D Barbosa MID7
-
J Cabral FWD611
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
M Nascimento FWD3
-
G Grando GLK2
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
Roger FWD2
-
G. Menegon GLK1
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
T. Gonçalves MID1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111511
E PulgaL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Pulga FWD3342
5
-
N Acevedo MID3111
11
-
L Juba DEF30112
4
-
Ademir FWD3011
1
-
J Lucas MID2944
6
-
D Duarte DEF2731
5
-
R Nestor MID2725
4
-
Erick MID2641
6
-
C Olivera FWD2622
4
-
Ronaldo  GLK25
2
-
W José FWD2431
1
-
S Suay MID234
1
-
C Alexandre MID22
2
-
M Araújo FWD211
2
1
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
R. Gómez DEF171
3
-
M Sanabria FWD1621
2
-
A Véliz FWD1541
-
M Victor DEF1211
1
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
Kanu DEF8
3
-
J Costa DEF7
3
-
K. Furquim FWD7
1
-
M Moreno DEF4
1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD4
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-