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Fluminense v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 23:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Thursday night, as Renato Arapi and his Fluminense side host Franclim Carvalho’s Cruzeiro at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Serie A stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Fluminense and Cruzeiro both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
40%
6/48/5
Draw
28%
21/10
3%
9/4
Cruzeiro
31%
7/49/5
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Fluminense 1-0
13%
6/1
18%
11/2
Cruzeiro 1-0
11%
13/2
17%
6/1
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
21%
6/1
Fluminense 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Fluminense 2-0
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
Cruzeiro 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Cruzeiro 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
Fluminense 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Fluminense 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Cruzeiro 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Cruzeiro 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Fluminense 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Cruzeiro 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
13/10
15%
5/4
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
3/5
11%
3/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
10/11
4%
1/1
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/5
5%
11/10
No 1st Goal
7%
13/2
21%
6/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
19/20
8%
19/20
BTTS - No
54%
4/5
8%
3/4
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1
20%
17/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
18%
19/4
Home/draw
69%
2/54/9
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
72%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
8%
2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/4
19%
17/10
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/3
24%
3/1
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/9
6%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
29%
7/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
3%
1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/150
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/12
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/2
21%
6/1
Home DNB
60%
4/53/4
Away DNB
51%
10/1119/20
Fluminense win to nil
25%
3/1
8%
-
Cruzeiro win to nil
19%
10/3
4%
-
Fluminense / Fluminense
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
Fluminense / Cruzeiro
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Fluminense
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Cruzeiro
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
10%
10/3
Cruzeiro / Fluminense
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
11
Fluminense have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
3
Cruzeiro have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 6TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1S. Recife
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
Fluminense2 - 1Bragantino
Fluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
Fluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 1Internacional
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 2Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense2 - 0Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminense1 - 1Juventude
AFluminense2 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense2 - 1S. Recife
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
HFluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 2Gremio
AFluminense1 - 2Vitoria
HFluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Cruzeiro 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fortaleza0 - 2Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
Bragantino1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Internacional3 - 0Cruzeiro
Juventude0 - 1Cruzeiro
Bragantino1 - 1Cruzeiro
Corinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR3 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Cuiaba0 - 0Cruzeiro
Internacional1 - 0Cruzeiro
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Criciuma1 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruzeiro0 - 0Vitoria
HCruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
ACruzeiro2 - 0Fortaleza
HCruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
ACruzeiro4 - 0S. Recife
HCruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
HCruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
ACruzeiro1 - 1Sao Paulo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Internacional
HCruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
ACruzeiro1 - 0Juventude
HCruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
ACruzeiro1 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
ACruzeiro1 - 2Corinthians
HCruzeiro2 - 1Criciuma
HCruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Fluminense have beaten Cruzeiro in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
FLU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense1 - 0
Fluminense4 - 1
Fluminense1 - 0
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
FLU
1
D
1
CRU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro2 - 0
0 - 2Fluminense
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cruzeiro2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Cruzeiro's defensive record is to be admired, Franclim Carvalho's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Fluminense makes sense in this context.

Fluminense 6th Cruzeiro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Cruzeiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Fluminense have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294582/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.2
1
Attack rating
5%
better
FLU
CRU
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score2
4
Scored first6
7
Goals scored15
17
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
FLU
CRU
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded12
8
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
14
Conversion rate against14%
7%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+33%

Fluminense v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11343
F FábioK SernaJ AriasNonato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK11
1
-
J Freytes DEF11
2
-
Martinelli MID1111
-
Everaldo FWD111
1
-
J Arias FWD1114
1
-
S Xavier DEF911
2
-
K Serna FWD93
-
Renê DEF81
-
Lima MID81
1
-
H Hércules MID81
1
-
A Canobbio FWD811
1
-
Ignacio DEF7
-
T Silva DEF7
-
Nonato MID7
3
-
Ganso MID7
1
-
F Cruz MID6
2
-
G Cano FWD61
1
-
Guga DEF51
1
-
T Santos DEF4
-
P Baya FWD411
-
Keno FWD4
-
G Fuentes DEF3
1
-
R Lezcano MID3
-
R Augusto MID2
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD2
-
I. Severino Silva MID1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12824
C CássioK JorgeKaikiL Romero
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK12
2
-
Kaiki DEF122
2
-
F Bruno DEF11
3
-
L Silva MID1112
1
-
L Romero MID1111
4
-
K Jorge FWD1182
2
-
Wanderson FWD11
1
-
M Pereira MID1021
4
-
C Eduardo  MID10
1
1
L Villalba DEF9
3
-
Christian MID911
3
-
G Barbosa FWD922
-
William DEF82
1
-
Marquinhos FWD7
-
Fagner DEF6
1
-
Y Bolasie FWD6
-
J Alves DEF51
1
Walace MID5
1
-
Dudu FWD51
-
L Díaz FWD4
-
M Gamarra DEF2
-
M Henrique MID2
1
-
Marlon DEF1
-
Rodriguinho MID1
-
J. da Silva Marques MID1
-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID1
-
K. Takamura Correa FWD1
-
J Dinenno FWD1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Santos v Palmeiras
Sat 12th Jul, 15:00
Flamengo v Sao Paulo
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Internacional v Vitoria
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Vasco d Gama v Botafogo
Sat 12th Jul, 22:30
Bahia v A Mineiro
Sun 13th Jul, 01:00
Corinthians v Bragantino
Sun 13th Jul, 23:00
Fortaleza v Ceara
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Cruzeiro v Gremio
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Juventude v S. Recife
Tue 15th Jul, 00:00
Botafogo v Vitoria
Wed 16th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Vasco d Gama
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Bahia v Internacional
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Gremio v Fortaleza
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v S. Recife
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Palmeiras v Mirassol
Wed 16th Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Corinthians
Wed 16th Jul, 23:30
Bragantino v Sao Paulo
Thu 17th Jul, 00:00
Santos v Flamengo
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Fluminense v Cruzeiro
Thu 17th Jul, 23:30
Fortaleza v Bahia
Sat 19th Jul, 20:00
Vasco d Gama v Gremio
Sat 19th Jul, 21:30
Vitoria v Bragantino
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Santos
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
Sun 20th Jul, 01:00
Internacional v Ceara
Sun 20th Jul, 15:00
Cruzeiro v Juventude
Sun 20th Jul, 20:00
Palmeiras v A Mineiro
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
S. Recife v Botafogo
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Flamengo v Fluminense
Sun 20th Jul, 23:30
Gremio v Botafogo
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v Fortaleza
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Vasco d Gama v Bahia
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Fluminense v Palmeiras
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Mirassol
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:30
Santos v Internacional
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Vitoria v S. Recife
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Bragantino v Flamengo
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Sao Paulo
Thu 24th Jul, 23:00