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Bahia v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Pedro Emanuel dos Santos Martins Silva pays counterpart Rogério Mücke Ceni a visit on Sunday night in the Serie A, as their Vasco da Gama and Bahia teams go head to head at the Arena Fonte Nova. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.

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Bahia's next match is v Chapecoense at 15:00 on Sunday 16th August
Vasco da Gama's next match is v Santos at 20:00 on Sunday 16th August
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Vasco d Gama was on Sunday 9th August 2026
Brazillian Serie A
August 9th 2026
Bahia 0
0 Vasco d Gama
 
BAH
VDG
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
13
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
BahiaVasco d Gama
 
R. de Oliveira Strada
N. Acevedo Tabárez
J. de Souza Oliveira (C. Souza e Silva 64')
R. Bertalia (M. Sanabria 86')
A. da Silva Santos Junior (K. Furquim 43')
A. Véliz
W. da Silva (M. Araújo Villar 64')
S. Ramos Mingo
R. Gómez
D. de Duarte Macedo
Luciano (J. de Lima Costa 46')
L. Jardim
R. Alves Barbosa
D. das Neves Pinheiro
(C. Barros da Luz 86') J. Rodrigues Júnior
T. Mendes Ribeiro
(C. Spinelli 72') A. Ferreira Soares
(A. Saldivia Vázquez 46') C. Cuesta Figueroa
A. Gomez
L. Soares da Silva
P. de Oliveira Alves
(M. Hinestroza Angulo 46') B. Souza da Silva

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Bahia and Vasco d Gama's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
52%
21/20
8%
5/6
Draw
24%
23/1027/10
Vasco d Gama
24%
27/10
7%
10/3
Draw 1-1
11%
5/1
7%
5/1
Bahia 1-0
10%
13/2
7%
6/1
Bahia 2-1
10%
8/113/2
Bahia 2-0
9%
9/1
6%
7/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
10/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/29/1
Bahia 3-1
6%
16/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Bahia 3-0
5%
18/1
13%
11/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
18/116/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
40/1
17%
20/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
25/1
Bahia 4-0
2%
40/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/15/6
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/510/11
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
3%
4/7
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/10
5%
8/5
No 1st Goal
4%
17/29/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
3%
3/4
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
3%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/3
7%
13/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
5%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
13%
6/1
Home/draw
76%
2/7
2%
2/9
Away/draw
48%
7/10
8%
19/20
Home/away
76%
1/32/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/101/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/213/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/22/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/107/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/91/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17/29/1
Home DNB
69%
1/2
5%
1/3
Away DNB
41%
6/4
15%
2/1
Bahia win to nil
28%
5/2
8%
-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
12%
11/2
13%
-
Bahia / Bahia
27%
12/5
8%
17/10
Bahia / Vasco d Gama
3%
33/1
15%
25/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Bahia
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
Draw / Vasco d Gama
10%
13/2
11%
15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
4/117/4
Vasco d Gama / Bahia
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
13%
5/1
14%
11/2
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Bahia have drawn 3 consecutive league games
5
Bahia have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
13
Vasco d Gama have not won in 13 consecutive away league games
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Chapecoense
Bahia2 - 1Botafogo
Bahia1 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 2Santos
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Bahia2 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 0Fluminense
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 0Chapecoense
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
Vasco d Gama 18TH
20 league games
Away
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Internacional4 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Remo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cortiba1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Vitoria
HVasco d Gama0 - 1A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 3Bragantino
AVasco d Gama1 - 4Internacional
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Athletico PR
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Flamengo
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Remo
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bahia have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
13
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
BAH
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia1 - 0
Bahia2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia3 - 0
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
4 / 8
BAH
3
D
1
VDG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 1
Vasco d Gama3 - 2
0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Bahia's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vasco da Gama have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.7 for R. Mücke Ceni's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Vasco da Gama of late. It has been 6 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Bahia.

Bahia 6th Vasco d Gama 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
22%
better
BAH
VDG
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score2
5
Scored first8
7
Goals scored29
23
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
27%
better
BAH
VDG
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets6
1
Conceded first12
13
Goals conceded25
31
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

Bahia v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20726
S MingoL JubaJ LucasN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK13
2
-
R. Gómez DEF81
1
-
D Duarte DEF1531
3
-
S Mingo DEF20
3
-
L Juba DEF1871
3
-
Ademir MID2211
2
-
N Acevedo MID20
6
-
J Lucas MID1922
2
-
R Nestor MID1512
2
-
W José FWD2131
1
-
A Véliz FWD3
-
Subs
G Herrera GLK
-
M Moreno DEF
-
Kanu DEF3
2
-
M Victor DEF4
-
J Costa DEF5
3
-
C Alexandre MID12
1
-
M Araújo MID14
1
1
K. Furquim MID5
-
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-
M Sanabria FWD1321
1
-
Everaldo FWD154
2
-
C Olivera FWD1611
1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21447
L JardimA GomezJ BebanzT Mendes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK21
1
-
P Henrique DEF132
3
-
C Cuesta DEF111
1
1
R Renan DEF211
1
-
Cuiabano DEF1423
3
-
Jair MID2
-
T Tchê MID151
2
-
Adson MID11
-
T Mendes MID1831
7
-
A Gomez MID1842
6
-
Brenner FWD1511
1
-
Subs
D Fuzato GLK
-
J Bebanz DEF1424
3
-
A Saldivia DEF11
3
-
L Piton  DEF14
-
L Freitas DEF2
-
W. Fernandes Alves Falcão DEF
-
R. de Souza Barros MID41
-
C Luz MID183
4
1
David  FWD1822
-
J Rojas FWD171
3
-
M Hinestroza FWD10
-
C Spinelli FWD151
-