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Flamengo v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura leads his Vitória side to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in the Serie A on Sunday night, with José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's Flamengo their challengers. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

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Flamengo's next match is v Mirassol at 22:30 on Sunday 16th August
Vitória's next match is v Botafogo at 22:30 on Sunday 16th August
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Flamengo and Vitoria was on Sunday 9th August 2026
Brazillian Serie A
August 9th 2026
Flamengo 2
0 Vitoria
 
E. Pulgar Farfán 14'
B. Pinto 80'
 
FLA
VIT
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
8
1
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
13
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
FlamengoVitoria
 
A. Rossi
G. Varela Olivera
L. Rech Ortiz
L. Pereira
A. Dantas de Medeiros
E. Pulgar Farfánfootball icon
G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (L. Tolentino Coelho de Lima 65')
P. Abreu dos Santos (B. Pinto 74')
J. Carrascal Guardo (L. Pereira de Sousa 86')
J. Frello Filho (E. Fernandes Araújo 74')
S. Dias Lino (G. Plata Jiménez 74')
L. Assis Arcanjo
E. Brítez
L. Martínez
(M. Santos Costa 46') M. Martins Fogaça de Paula
(T. Pochettino 69') W. Souza Silva
C. de Jesus Gonçalves
F. de Souza Silva
J. Santos de Jesus
(E. Santos Nascimento Filho 90') J. Silva Neves
(D. Tarzia 46') E. de Arruda Serafim
(F. do Rosário dos Santos 80') C. de Sousa Ferreira

Best Tip: Flamengo to win

We're predicting Flamengo will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
69%
2/9
2%
3/10
Draw
19%
19/4
5%
9/2
Vitoria
12%
12/1
30%
9/1
Flamengo 2-0
13%
5/119/4
Flamengo 1-0
13%
13/2
7%
11/2
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Flamengo 3-0
9%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw 1-1
9%
10/1
10%
8/1
Flamengo 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Flamengo 4-0
5%
11/1
15%
10/1
Vitoria 1-0
4%
25/1
26%
16/1
Flamengo 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/118/1
Vitoria 2-1
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
Flamengo 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Flamengo 5-0
2%
20/1
9%
16/1
Vitoria 2-0
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13
4%
13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
5/4
7%
23/20
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/7
1%
1/4
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/4
7%
10/3
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
5%
23/20
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
3%
13/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
21/10
3%
11/5
BTTS - Draw
13%
13/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
5%
20/1
10%
14/1
Home/draw
88%
1/25
2%
1/20
Away/draw
31%
11/45/2
Home/away
81%
1/7
3%
2/13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/5
2%
1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2
4%
16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
13/8
9%
8/5
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/2
6%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2
13%
18/5
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/5
4%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1
20%
15/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/14
2%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Home DNB
82%
1/20
2%
1/14
1%
Away DNB
25%
10/1
22%
13/2
Flamengo win to nil
42%
10/11
4%
-
Vitoria win to nil
6%
18/1
24%
-
Flamengo / Flamengo
46%
8/11
4%
4/5
3%
Flamengo / Vitoria
2%
50/145/1
Flamengo / Draw
5%
18/1
11%
16/1
Draw / Flamengo
20%
11/416/5
Draw / Vitoria
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
6/1
Vitoria / Flamengo
4%
20/118/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
5%
20/1
21%
12/1
Vitoria / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
12
Vitoria have not won in 12 consecutive away league games
3
Vitoria have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo1 - 1Sao Paulo
Flamengo3 - 0Cortiba
Flamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Flamengo3 - 1Santos
Flamengo3 - 0Remo
Flamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo1 - 0Ceara
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 2Santos
Flamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 1Mirassol
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo1 - 1Sao Paulo
AFlamengo4 - 0Chapecoense
HFlamengo3 - 0Cortiba
HFlamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
AFlamengo1 - 1Athletico PR
AFlamengo1 - 0Gremio
HFlamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo4 - 0A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo2 - 1Fluminense
HFlamengo3 - 1Santos
AFlamengo0 - 3Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo3 - 0Remo
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vitoria 13TH
20 league games
Away
12
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
49
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo2 - 0Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Santos3 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino2 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense2 - 2Vitoria
Athletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
Chapecoense1 - 1Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 0Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Palmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino4 - 0Vitoria
S. Recife1 - 3Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Santos0 - 1Vitoria
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Fortaleza2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria0 - 4Palmeiras
AVitoria0 - 2Remo
AVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
HVitoria1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AVitoria1 - 3Santos
HVitoria2 - 0Internacional
AVitoria0 - 2Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2Fluminense
HVitoria4 - 1Cortiba
AVitoria1 - 3Athletico PR
HVitoria0 - 0Corinthians
HVitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria1 - 1Chapecoense
AVitoria0 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria1 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria0 - 2Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 1Bahia
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Flamengo have beaten Vitoria in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Flamengo have not lost to Vitoria in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
FLA
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo8 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Flamengo1 - 0
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
4 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
0 / 4
FLA
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
1 - 2Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Flamengo in their clash with Vitória, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 33 consecutive Serie A matches.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Vitória, with J. Ribeiro Ventura's men failing to score in 3 consecutive Serie A games.

Flamengo 2nd Vitoria 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Flamengo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Vitoria have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
35%
better
FLA
VIT
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score2
7
Scored first14
9
Goals scored37
22
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
23%
better
FLA
VIT
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first6
10
Goals conceded18
31
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%

Flamengo v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211276
A RossiPedroS LinoL Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK21
-
G Varela DEF163
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF1811
-
L Pereira DEF1821
6
-
Ayrton DEF111
-
E Farfán MID122
5
1
Jorginho MID1521
3
1
J Carrascal MID1522
1
2
G Arrascaeta MID1431
1
-
S Lino MID2157
2
-
Pedro FWD21124
1
-
Subs
Andrew  GLK
-
F Dyogo GLK
-
Danilo DEF6
1
1
E Royal DEF111
-
J. Monteiro Góes DEF
-
S Ñíguez MID61
-
L Paquetá MID133
2
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID171
4
1
Lorran MID31
-
B Henrique FWD1613
2
-
W Barreto FWD7
1
-
G Plata FWD1222
2
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18547
L ArcanjoC. de Sousa FerreiraErickE Martínez 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK18
1
-
F Silva DEF3
1
-
E Brítez DEF3
1
-
Caique DEF19
3
-
Jamerson DEF
-
J. Silva Neves MID141
4
-
Walace MID3
-
E Martínez  MID18
7
-
Erick FWD2024
1
-
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD1551
2
-
Matheuzinho FWD2021
3
-
Subs
Fintelman GLK
-
Y Sena GLK
-
D. Tarzia DEF1722
1
-
Ramon DEF182
3
-
Matheusinho DEF3
-
T Pochettino MID5
-
E. Santos Nascimento Filho MID9
1
1
W. dos Santos Sacramento MID
-
Marinho FWD9
-
Osvaldo FWD2
-
F Fabrício FWD101
-
R Kayzer FWD1541
3
-