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Gremio v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Aug, 20:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Dorival Silvestre Júnior is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Saturday night, as he takes his Sao Paulo side to the Arena do Grêmio to visit Gremio and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro. We have the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
49%
--
Draw
26%
--
Sao Paulo
25%
--
Gremio 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Gremio 2-0
9%
--
Gremio 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
--
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
--
Gremio 3-0
5%
--
Gremio 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
--
Gremio 3-2
2%
--
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
--
Gremio 4-0
2%
--
Gremio 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
51%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Gremio win to nil
29%
--
Sao Paulo win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 15TH
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo 12TH
league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Gremio have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
GRE
6
SAO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio3 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
6 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
2 / 8
D
3
SAO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Gremio's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sao Paulo have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for L. Ribeiro de Castro's side suggests that run should continue.

Gremio 15th Sao Paulo 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.5
1
Attack rating
GRE
SAO
15%
better
view stats
Games scored13
15
Failed to score6
4
Scored first6
9
Goals scored21
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
2%
better
GRE
SAO
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded25
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191034
C ViníciusC ViníciusC PavónC Vinícius
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vinícius FWD1910
4
-
Weverton GLK181
1
-
C Pavón DEF183
4
-
J Enamorado FWD182
3
-
F Amuzu FWD1813
-
Tetê FWD162
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID152
3
-
E Mola MID1411
2
-
G Martins DEF132
4
-
J Nardoni MID1311
2
-
M Braithwaite FWD13
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF111
3
-
L. Pérez MID11
3
-
Wagner DEF9
2
1
Willian  FWD9
-
C Paulista DEF8
-
F Balbuena DEF7
-
Marlon DEF711
1
-
M Monsalve MID7
1
-
Dodi MID6
2
-
J Pedro DEF5
-
M Rocha DEF5
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
W Kannemann DEF2
1
-
M Villasanti MID2
-
Roger FWD2
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
G Grando GLK1
-
T. Gonçalves MID1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20737
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK20
1
-
Danielzinho MID1811
1
-
J Calleri FWD1871
4
-
Sabino DEF1611
1
-
Luciano FWD1661
3
-
D Bobadilla MID152
3
-
Ferreira FWD154
2
-
Wendell DEF143
4
-
L Ramon DEF141
1
M Antônio MID142
2
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
P Maia MID12
1
-
Cauly MID121
-
A Silva FWD12
3
-
Artur FWD1221
1
-
G Tapia FWD11
1
-
R Arboleda DEF8
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
L Moura FWD811
-
Luan MID7
1
-
R Tolói DEF6
3
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF5
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF41
1
-
P. dos Santos FWD4
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID2
-
D. Ferreira MID2
1
-
V Sá FWD2
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID1
-