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Gremio v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Gremio and their boss Renato Portaluppi will be hoping for victory against Luis Francisco Zubeldía and his Sao Paulo side on Sunday evening, as the pair clash at the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A. Serie A statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Sao Paulo was on Sunday 1st December 2024
Brazillian Serie A
December 1st 2024
Gremio 2
1 Sao Paulo
 
F. Cristaldo 36'64' L. Dias
R. Tressoldi Netto (OG) 45'
 
GRE
SAO
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
10
6
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
11
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
GremioSao Paulo
 
A. Marchesín
J. de Jesus Nascimento
J. Maturano dos Santos (C. Pavón 88')
R. da Silva
P. Geromel
D. Moreira Fagundes (J. Vilardi Pinto 76')
F. Cristaldofootball icon (M. Monsalve Gonzáles 65')
M. Villasanti Rolón
A. Aravena Guzmán (W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 76')
M. Braithwait
Y. Soteldo Martínez (I. Schlemper 88')
R. Monteiro
A. Franco
I. de Souza
(P. Lanza dos Reis 62') M. Ferreira de Souza
football iconR. Tressoldi Netto
football iconL. Dias
(D. Bobadilla 75') A. de Freitas Castro
(E. Andrade dos Santos 76') A. Oliveira Silva
L. da Rocha Neves
L. Rodrigues Moura da Silva
(W. Soares da Silva 62') A. dos Santos Ferreira

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Gremio and Sao Paulo 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
42%
13/10
2%
5/4
Draw
27%
21/102/1
4%
Sao Paulo
31%
23/1019/10
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
4%
Gremio 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Sao Paulo 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
7%
13/2
15%
Gremio 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
Sao Paulo 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
5%
14/111/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Gremio 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
3%
28/118/1
10%
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/120/1
9%
Sao Paulo 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
40/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/20
4%
21/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
3%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
2%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
6%
5/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
9%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Home/draw
69%
1/37/20
2%
Away/draw
58%
4/74/7
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/5
7%
9/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
8%
13/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
1/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/121/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Home DNB
61%
8/13
3%
8/13
1%
Away DNB
50%
6/5
2%
23/20
2%
Gremio win to nil
24%
11/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
17%
9/2-
Gremio / Gremio
21%
11/4
6%
13/5
3%
Gremio / Sao Paulo
3%
33/125/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Gremio
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Sao Paulo
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
19%
15/4
6%
17/5
10%
Sao Paulo / Gremio
3%
28/120/1
9%
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
15%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio2 - 2Juventude
Gremio3 - 1Atletico Go
Gremio3 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 2Criciuma
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Gremio2 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio1 - 0Fluminense
Gremio0 - 1Internacional
Gremio1 - 2Botafogo
Gremio0 - 2Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Cuiaba
Gremio2 - 0Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 1Goias
Gremio0 - 1Corinthians
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio1 - 1Cruzeiro
HGremio2 - 2Juventude
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 1Atletico Go
AGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 2A Mineiro
HGremio3 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 0Botafogo
HGremio1 - 2Criciuma
HGremio3 - 2Flamengo
AGremio2 - 2Bragantino
HGremio2 - 3A Mineiro
AGremio1 - 0Criciuma
HGremio0 - 2Bahia
AGremio3 - 1Cuiaba
AGremio2 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Corinthians
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Atletico Go0 - 3Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense1 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fortaleza
HSao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
GRE
4
SAO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio3 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Gremio 12th Sao Paulo 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273408/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
GRE
SAO
14%
better
view stats
Games scored24
28
Failed to score11
7
Scored first17
20
Goals scored41
50
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
GRE
SAO
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
23
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first17
12
Goals conceded45
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+13%

Gremio v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31846
J PedroM BraithwaiteJ PedroReinaldo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK28
5
-
J Pedro DEF3214
3
-
P Geromel DEF12
4
-
Jemerson DEF131
5
-
Reinaldo DEF2932
6
-
M Villasanti MID2631
4
-
Dodi MID332
6
-
Y Soteldo MID2452
3
-
F Cristaldo MID3562
1
-
A Guzmán MID1622
-
M Braithwaite FWD1882
2
-
Subs
R Cabral GLK6
-
I. Schlemper DEF51
-
G Martins DEF192
1
1
F Fábio DEF12
1
1
R Caio DEF5
-
Ronald MID11
-
M Monsalve MID1931
3
1
Edenilson MID2811
3
-
Pepê MID261
2
1
D Martínez FWD8
-
D Costa FWD1312
4
1
C Pavón FWD2113
4
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2911613
I Vinícius LucianoL MouraLuciano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK25
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF302
5
1
R Tressoldi DEF8
-
A Franco DEF271
6
1
Rafinha DEF9
2
-
Alisson MID2112
5
-
L Gustavo MID2821
2
-
L Moura MID28106
5
-
Luciano MID31112
12
1
Ferreira MID2551
3
-
A Silva FWD3072
2
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK13
-
R Arboleda DEF272
2
-
J Moreira  DEF5
-
Sabino DEF13
3
-
Patryck DEF12
1
-
R Nestor MID242
3
1
M Antônio MID13
1
-
D Bobadilla MID171
3
-
W Rato MID2515
4
-
S Longo FWD3
-
Erick FWD2012
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD1031
2
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds