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Vitória v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 30th Jul, 01:30 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira pays counterpart Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura a visit on Thursday morning in the Serie A, as their Palmeiras and Vitória teams face each other at the Estádio Manoel Barradas. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vitoria 41%	-	-
Draw 29%	-	-
Palmeiras 30%	-	-
Vitoria 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 11%	-	-
Palmeiras 1-0 11%	-	-
Vitoria 2-0 8%	-	-
Vitoria 2-1 8%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-1 6%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Vitoria 3-0 3%	-	-
Vitoria 3-1 3%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-1 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-0 2%	-	-
Vitoria 3-2 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-2 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	-
No 1st Goal 8%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	-	-
BTTS - No 56%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	-
Home/draw 70%	-	-
Away/draw 59%	-	-
Home/away 71%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Home DNB 62%	-	-
Away DNB 50%	-	-
Vitoria win to nil 26%	-	-
Palmeiras win to nil 19%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	0 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Ceara
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Vitoria	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	2 - 2	Juventude
Vitoria	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Vitoria	2 - 2	S. Recife

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Vitoria	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Vitoria	1 - 5	Palmeiras
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	0 - 4	Bragantino
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Remo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Internacional	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Juventude	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vitoria

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

2 / 3

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	0 - 3	Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

VIT

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	5 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Vitoria
Palmeiras	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Vitória makes sense in this context.

	Vitoria 10th	Palmeiras 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Palmeiras scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+27 Palmeiras have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

VIT

PAL

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		17
Failed to score	4		1
Scored first	9		14
Goals scored	22		30
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.7
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+30%

VIT

PAL

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		11
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	8		3
Goals conceded	25		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		13
Conversion rate against	14%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1
KickOff rating		+30%

Vitoria v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	4	5
Ramon	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Erick FWD	17	2	4	1 -
Matheuzinho MID	16	2	1	3 -
Ramon DEF	15	2		3 -
Caique MID	15			3 -
G Baralhas MID	15	2	3	4 -
E Martínez MID	15			5 -
L Arcanjo GLK	14			1 -
Cacá DEF	13	1		3 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
D. Tarzia FWD	13	2	2	1 -
R Kayzer FWD	13	4	1	3 -
L Cândido DEF	11		2	1 -
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	11	5	1	2 -
J. Silva Neves MID	10	1		3 -
F Fabrício FWD	9		1	-
Camutanga DEF	8			-
A Cantalapiedra MID	8			1 -
Marinho FWD	8			-
Jamerson DEF	7			1 -
Gabriel GLK	4			-
L Silva FWD	4			1 -
A. Santos FWD	4			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Matheusinho DEF	2			-
J. Silva Costa MID	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
E Brítez DEF	1			-
Edu DEF	1			-
T Pochettino MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	4	6
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	5	15	1	1
R Kayzer FWD	4	8	1	1
Erick FWD	2	9	4	6
Matheuzinho MID	2	11	1	2
Ramon DEF	2	4
G Baralhas MID	2	4	3	4
D. Tarzia FWD	2	8	2	2
Cacá DEF	1	2
J. Silva Neves MID	1	3		1
Dudu MID	1	1
Caique MID		1
E Martínez MID		1
N Mendes DEF			1	1
L Cândido DEF		3	2	1
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
Camutanga DEF		1		1
A Cantalapiedra MID		1		1
Marinho FWD		1
A. Santos FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1
Matheusinho DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
559	28	75
E Martínez	Ramon	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Martínez MID	559	26	65
Caique MID	536	24	57
Ramon DEF	495	28	62
Cacá DEF	468	7	32
G Baralhas MID	450	23	54
Erick FWD	441	11	66
L Arcanjo GLK	397		4
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
L Cândido DEF	361	11	45
J. Silva Neves MID	319	19	75
Matheuzinho MID	304	5	53
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
Jamerson DEF	139	9	33
A Cantalapiedra MID	102	5	18
D. Tarzia FWD	101	10	26
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	92	4	47
R Kayzer FWD	90	3	29
Gabriel GLK	82		3
Dudu MID	75	4	18
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
Matheusinho DEF	43	2	7
Marinho FWD	37	5	15
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	20	7	21
A. Santos FWD	16	5	8
T Pochettino MID	12	3	3
J. Silva Costa MID	11		1
L Silva FWD	9	1	3
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1
E Brítez DEF	6	2	2

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	10	4
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	A. Andrade Elias

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	17			3 -
M Freitas MID	17	2	1	3 -
A Pereira MID	17	1	10	3 -
J López FWD	17	6	3	2 -
A. Andrade Elias FWD	17	4	2	3 1
G Portillo DEF	16	3		-
L Evangelista MID	16		1	1 -
Murilo DEF	15	1	1	2 1
A Giay DEF	15			3 -
M Maurício MID	15	1	1	1 -
R Sosa FWD	15	2	1	2 -
Khellven DEF	13			2 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	13			-
F Anderson FWD	13	1	1	1 -
J Arias FWD	13	3		4 -
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
B Fuchs DEF	7			-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	7			2 -
V Roque FWD	7	3		1 -
J Piquerez DEF	6		1	-
E Martínez MID	6			1 -
Paulinho FWD	5	2		1 -
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	4			-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	3			2 -
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	10	4
J López	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	6	14	3	3
A. Andrade Elias FWD	4	12	2	2
G Portillo DEF	3	6		2
J Arias FWD	3	9		2
V Roque FWD	3	7		1
M Freitas MID	2	3	1	4
R Sosa FWD	2	4	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	5	10	4
Murilo DEF	1	2	1	1
M Maurício MID	1	7	1
F Anderson FWD	1	2	1	1
L Evangelista MID			1	1
A Giay DEF		2
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		1
J Dias DEF			1
L. Sousa Santos FWD		1
J Piquerez DEF		2	1	1
E Martínez MID		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
954	28	113
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	954	16	24
A Pereira MID	698	15	38
Murilo DEF	656	15	55
G Portillo DEF	654	13	54
A Giay DEF	428	28	55
J Arias FWD	419	20	57
C Miguel GLK	385		17
A. Andrade Elias FWD	327	25	103
M Maurício MID	316	12	36
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	312	19	35
Khellven DEF	308	19	38
J López FWD	286	16	113
B Fuchs DEF	255	9	13
L Evangelista MID	207	10	29
R Sosa FWD	174	3	44
J Piquerez DEF	172	12	25
F Anderson FWD	164	17	34
E Martínez MID	150	4	16
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	52		6
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	41		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	32	1	2
V Roque FWD	27	7	32
M Lomba GLK	27		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	25	3	9
L. Sousa Santos FWD	19	6	17
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1