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Coritiba v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Jul, 23:30 BST, Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pere, Curitiba

Fernando Seabra welcomes Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira to the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pere on Wednesday night, as their Coritiba and Palmeiras teams clash in the Serie A. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cortiba 29%	3.50 13%	4.00
Draw 27%	3.20 2%	3.20
Palmeiras 44%	2.05 10%	2.00
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	5.50
Palmeiras 1-0 12%	7.00 8%	6.50
Cortiba 1-0 10%	9.50 5%	9.00
Draw 0-0 9%	8.50	8.00
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Palmeiras 2-0 8%	9.50 12%	8.50
Cortiba 2-1 7%	13.00	12.00
Cortiba 2-0 5%	17.00 11%	17.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00 12%	13.00
Palmeiras 3-1 4%	19.00 12%	13.00
Palmeiras 3-0 4%	19.00 12%	13.00
Cortiba 3-1 2%	29.00 15%	26.00
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Cortiba 3-0 2%	41.00	34.00
Cortiba 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	2.15 2%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	1.67 2%	1.70
Home 1st Goal 44%	2.38 5%	2.50
Away 1st Goal 50%	1.80 8%	1.70
No 1st Goal 6%	8.50	8.00
BTTS - Yes 48%	1.95	1.83
BTTS - No 52%	1.80	1.91
BTTS - Home Win 12%	7.50 12%	7.50
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50 5%	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 18%	4.75 6%	4.20
Home/draw 56%	1.70 7%	1.80
Away/draw 71%	1.29 6%	1.22
Home/away 73%	1.36 2%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1.40 3%	1.33
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	3.00 6%	3.10
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	4.00	3.60
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1.25	1.25
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	8.00	7.00
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1.08	1.08
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	17.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.07	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	8.50	8.00
Home DNB 48%	2.50 9%	2.80
Away DNB 63%	1.50 7%	1.40
Cortiba win to nil 17%	6.00 8%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 26%	3.40 5%	-
Cortiba / Cortiba 13%	6.00 8%	6.00
Cortiba / Palmeiras 3%	26.00	21.00
Cortiba / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Cortiba 10%	7.50 6%	8.00
Draw / Palmeiras 16%	5.00 5%	5.00
Draw / Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.40
Palmeiras / Cortiba 3%	34.00	29.00
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 25%	3.40 10%	3.00
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Cortiba have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Palmeiras have not lost in 13 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba	3 - 2	Bahia
Cortiba	2 - 2	Internacional
Cortiba	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Cortiba	1 - 1	Fluminense
Cortiba	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cortiba	1 - 0	Remo
Cortiba	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Cortiba	0 - 1	Bragantino
Cortiba	0 - 0	Athletic Club
Cortiba	0 - 0	CRB
Cortiba	0 - 0	Athletico PR
Cortiba	2 - 1	Atletico Go
Cortiba	2 - 0	Botafogo
Cortiba	0 - 2	Criciuma
Cortiba	0 - 0	Goias
Cortiba	4 - 0	Ferroviaria
Cortiba	0 - 0	Remo
Cortiba	0 - 0	Chapecoense
Cortiba	1 - 1	Amazonas
Cortiba	2 - 5	Paysandu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cortiba	0 - 3	Flamengo
H	Cortiba	3 - 2	Bahia
A	Cortiba	3 - 0	Santos
H	Cortiba	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Cortiba	1 - 4	Vitoria
A	Cortiba	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Cortiba	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Cortiba	2 - 2	Botafogo
H	Cortiba	1 - 1	Fluminense
H	Cortiba	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Cortiba	0 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Cortiba	1 - 0	Mirassol
H	Cortiba	1 - 0	Remo
A	Cortiba	2 - 0	Corinthians
H	Cortiba	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Cortiba	3 - 3	Chapecoense
A	Cortiba	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Cortiba	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Cortiba	2 - 1	Amazonas
H	Cortiba	0 - 0	Athletic Club

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Remo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Internacional	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Juventude	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have beaten Cortiba in 4 consecutive league meetings

Cortiba

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

2 / 3

COR

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cortiba
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Cortiba	1 - 0

Palmeiras

Cortiba

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

COR

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	3 - 1
Palmeiras	4 - 0
	1 - 3	Cortiba

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Coritiba makes sense in this context.

	Cortiba 7th	Palmeiras 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Cortiba will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Cortiba have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	+27 Palmeiras have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

COR

PAL

27%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		17
Failed to score	5		1
Scored first	9		14
Goals scored	24		30
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.7
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+27%

COR

PAL

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		11
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	9		3
Goals conceded	24		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		13
Conversion rate against	11%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1
KickOff rating		+35%

Cortiba v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cortiba Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	8	7	4
P Rocha	B Lopes	Josué	Jacy

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Paulista MID	18			2 -
P Rocha FWD	18	4	1	1 1
Josué MID	17	1	7	2 1
J Lavega FWD	17	5	1	3 -
B Melo DEF	16	1	1	1 1
P Rangel GLK	15			1 -
Jacy DEF	15	1		2 2
T Coser DEF	15	1		1 1
S Gomez MID	15			3 -
B Lopes FWD	15	8	1	3 -
L Pires FWD	15	1	2	3 -
Maicon DEF	13			1
Wallisson MID	12			3 -
Tinga DEF	11		2	-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	11			-
T Santos DEF	11			3 -
F Jonatan DEF	11			-
W Oliveira MID	10			-
Fabinho FWD	7			1 -
R Marques FWD	5			2
P Silva GLK	4			1 -
Gustavo MID	4			-
Keno FWD	4			-
F Sobral MID	3			-
R Moledo DEF	2	1		-
J. da Silva Almeida DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	13	7	9
B Lopes	P Rocha	Josué	Josué

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Lopes FWD	8	12	1	3
J Lavega FWD	5	7	1	1
P Rocha FWD	4	13	1	2
Josué MID	1	2	7	9
B Melo DEF	1	1	1	2
Jacy DEF	1	1
T Coser DEF	1	1
L Pires FWD	1	7	2	3
R Moledo DEF	1	1
V Paulista MID		1
S Gomez MID		4
Tinga DEF		2	2	1
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF		2		1
T Santos DEF		1
F Jonatan DEF		3		1
W Oliveira MID		1
Fabinho FWD		1
Keno FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
722	30	102
Josué	L Pires	L Pires

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Josué MID	722	17	40
B Melo DEF	540	18	42
P Rangel GLK	421	3	13
Jacy DEF	384	27	77
L Pires FWD	357	30	102
T Coser DEF	349	7	26
S Gomez MID	346	27	55
Maicon DEF	304	9	30
Tinga DEF	298	11	45
B Lopes FWD	248	7	40
F Jonatan DEF	217	11	27
J Lavega FWD	207	12	23
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	195	8	18
P Rocha FWD	189	7	59
V Paulista MID	183	25	45
W Oliveira MID	162	10	16
T Santos DEF	139	8	27
Wallisson MID	114	16	31
P Silva GLK	114		2
Fabinho FWD	34	1	4
R Moledo DEF	22	1	8
Keno FWD	17	3	8
Gustavo MID	16		1
R Marques FWD	14		7
F Sobral MID	12	4	5

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	10	4
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	A. Andrade Elias

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	17			3 -
M Freitas MID	17	2	1	3 -
A Pereira MID	17	1	10	3 -
J López FWD	17	6	3	2 -
A. Andrade Elias FWD	17	4	2	3 1
G Portillo DEF	16	3		-
L Evangelista MID	16		1	1 -
Murilo DEF	15	1	1	2 1
A Giay DEF	15			3 -
M Maurício MID	15	1	1	1 -
R Sosa FWD	15	2	1	2 -
Khellven DEF	13			2 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	13			-
F Anderson FWD	13	1	1	1 -
J Arias FWD	13	3		4 -
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
B Fuchs DEF	7			-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	7			2 -
V Roque FWD	7	3		1 -
J Piquerez DEF	6		1	-
E Martínez MID	6			1 -
Paulinho FWD	5	2		1 -
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	4			-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	3			2 -
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	10	4
J López	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	6	14	3	3
A. Andrade Elias FWD	4	12	2	2
G Portillo DEF	3	6		2
J Arias FWD	3	9		2
V Roque FWD	3	7		1
M Freitas MID	2	3	1	4
R Sosa FWD	2	4	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	5	10	4
Murilo DEF	1	2	1	1
M Maurício MID	1	7	1
F Anderson FWD	1	2	1	1
L Evangelista MID			1	1
A Giay DEF		2
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		1
J Dias DEF			1
L. Sousa Santos FWD		1
J Piquerez DEF		2	1	1
E Martínez MID		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
954	28	113
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	954	16	24
A Pereira MID	698	15	38
Murilo DEF	656	15	55
G Portillo DEF	654	13	54
A Giay DEF	428	28	55
J Arias FWD	419	20	57
C Miguel GLK	385		17
A. Andrade Elias FWD	327	25	103
M Maurício MID	316	12	36
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	312	19	35
Khellven DEF	308	19	38
J López FWD	286	16	113
B Fuchs DEF	255	9	13
L Evangelista MID	207	10	29
R Sosa FWD	174	3	44
J Piquerez DEF	172	12	25
F Anderson FWD	164	17	34
E Martínez MID	150	4	16
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	52		6
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	41		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	32	1	2
V Roque FWD	27	7	32
M Lomba GLK	27		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	25	3	9
L. Sousa Santos FWD	19	6	17
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1