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Botafogo v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Jul, 23:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

the Estádio Nilton Santos masses welcome Santos's supporters on Thursday night, as Martin Anselmi's Botafogo go head to head with Alexi Stival's troops in the Serie A. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for over 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Serie A fixture, with Botafogo and Santos going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Forwards at both clubs will look to come out on the front foot and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Botafogo 51%	43/50	19/20 2%
Draw 22%	9/4	5/2 6%
Santos 27%	3/1	29/10 10%
Draw 1-1 9%	11/2	5/1 4%
Botafogo 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Botafogo 1-0 7%	7/1	6/1 7%
Botafogo 2-0 7%	17/2	15/2
Santos 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1 8%
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1	10/1
Botafogo 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Santos 1-0 5%	11/1	10/1
Botafogo 3-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Botafogo 3-2 4%	25/1	18/1
Draw 0-0 3%	10/1	9/1 5%
Santos 2-0 3%	20/1	14/1 12%
Botafogo 4-1 3%	33/1	22/1 10%
Santos 3-1 3%	33/1	22/1 12%
Santos 3-2 3%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	17/20	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	19/20	10/11 2%
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	13/20 2%
Away 1st Goal 46%	7/5	29/20 6%
No 1st Goal 2%	10/1	9/1 5%
BTTS - Yes 65%	3/4	7/10 2%
BTTS - No 35%	1/1	21/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 30%	3/1	27/10 3%
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	16/5 5%
BTTS - Away Win 17%	13/2	11/2 7%
Home/draw 73%	2/9	1/4 4%
Away/draw 49%	10/11	5/6 1%
Home/away 78%	1/3	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	2/7	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	11/4	27/10 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	11/5	2/1 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	4/11	7/20 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	5/1	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/8	1/8 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	12/1	10/1 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/25	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	10/1	9/1
Home DNB 66%	2/5	2/5 4%
Away DNB 42%	7/4	17/10 10%
Botafogo win to nil 21%	12/5	-
Santos win to nil 10%	6/1	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 27%	21/10	19/10 4%
Botafogo / Santos 3%	33/1	25/1
Botafogo / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Draw / Botafogo 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Santos 10%	15/2	7/1 6%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4 9%
Santos / Botafogo 4%	22/1	18/1
Santos / Santos 13%	11/2	19/4 12%
Santos / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Santos have not won in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	4 - 2	Fortaleza
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	S. Recife
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Botafogo	4 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
A	Botafogo	1 - 4	Athletico PR
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	3 - 5	Gremio
H	Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	4 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Botafogo	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Botafogo	2 - 2	Corinthians

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Santos
Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
Athletico PR	2 - 1	Santos
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
Juventude	0 - 3	Santos
Internacional	1 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Bragantino	2 - 2	Santos
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Santos
Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
S. Recife	2 - 2	Santos
Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	1 - 3	Flamengo
H	Santos	2 - 0	Remo
A	Santos	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Santos	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Santos	1 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Santos	2 - 4	Chapecoense
H	Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 0	Juventude

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Botafogo have not lost to Santos in 5 consecutive league meetings

Botafogo

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

BOT

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Botafogo	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Santos
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Santos

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

BOT

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
	0 - 1	Botafogo
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Santos	2 - 0
Santos	2 - 1
Santos	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Botafogo in their meeting with Santos, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 22 consecutive Serie A outings.

	Botafogo 12th	Santos 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 58% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+36 Botafogo have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted	+27 Santos have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

BOT

STS

better

view stats

Games scored	15		16
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	9		11
Goals scored	31		26
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	18		18
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+1%

BOT

STS

19%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		14
Clean sheets	1		4
Conceded first	8		6
Goals conceded	31		29
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+19%

Botafogo v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	7	3	5
A Telles	A Cabral	?. Montoro	C Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Vitinho DEF	15		2	3 -
A Telles DEF	15	2	2	3 -
M Martins FWD	15	4		1 -
A Cabral FWD	15	7	1	2 -
?. Montoro FWD	15		3	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	12	1		2 -
Edenilson MID	12	3	2	2 -
Danilo MID	12	7	2	1 -
J Herrera MID	11	1		-
C Medina MID	11	1		4 1
S Rodríguez MID	10			1 -
Allan MID	10			3 -
L Jaume FWD	9	1	1	2 -
J Santos FWD	9	1		2 -
Raul GLK	8			1 -
M Ponte DEF	8		1	3 -
K. Barria FWD	8		1	-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	7			2 -
Bastos DEF	6			1 -
J Correa FWD	6		1	3 -
M Marçal DEF	4			1 -
N Fernandes FWD	4		1	-
Caio Gomes DEF	3		1	-
V. de Melo Moura MID	3	1		1 -
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira DEF	1			1 -
J Mejia DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	3	5
A Cabral	A Cabral	?. Montoro	Danilo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Cabral FWD	7	16	1	2
Danilo MID	7	12	2	5
M Martins FWD	4	14
Edenilson MID	3	5	2	2
A Telles DEF	2	2	2	3
N Ferraresi DEF	1	1
J Herrera MID	1	5
C Medina MID	1	2		1
L Jaume FWD	1	1	1	2
J Santos FWD	1	4
V. de Melo Moura MID	1	1
Vitinho DEF			2	3
?. Montoro FWD		4	3	3
S Rodríguez MID				2
Allan MID				2
M Ponte DEF			1
K. Barria FWD		3	1	1
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID		1
J Correa FWD		1	1
M Marçal DEF		2
N Fernandes FWD		1	1	1
Caio Gomes DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
527	33	64
Danilo	Vitinho	A Cabral

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danilo MID	527	16	34
N Ferraresi DEF	482	25	53
Vitinho DEF	403	33	59
A Telles DEF	389	17	38
C Medina MID	370	14	46
?. Montoro FWD	337	11	60
Bastos DEF	313	10	17
M Martins FWD	271	13	45
Allan MID	253	13	22
Raul GLK	238		6
M Ponte DEF	208	8	31
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	200	7	17
A Cabral FWD	196	8	64
Edenilson MID	188	5	16
S Rodríguez MID	168	15	43
J Herrera MID	116	3	18
M Marçal DEF	85	4	5
V. de Melo Moura MID	78	5	14
J Correa FWD	71	2	10
J Santos FWD	60	1	26
L Jaume FWD	59	8	19
K. Barria FWD	37	5	27
Caio Gomes DEF	34	3	6
N Fernandes FWD	31	1	5
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira DEF	23	1	2
J Mejia DEF	16		1

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	7	2	6
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G. Silva Bontempo	G Barbosa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	16			4 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	16		2	2 -
L Peres DEF	15			2 1
Álvaro Barreal FWD	15	3		3 1
B Rollheiser FWD	14	3		1 -
Rony FWD	14			3 -
I Vinícius DEF	13		1	4 -
W Arão MID	13			1 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
G Escobar DEF	12		1	5 -
C Oliva MID	12		2	-
G Barbosa FWD	12	7	2	5 1
L Veríssimo DEF	11			1 -
Thaciano MID	11	2		1 -
J Schmidt MID	10			2 -
A Frías DEF	8	1		1 -
Miguelito MID	8	1	2	1 -
Neymar MID	8	4	2	5 -
G Menino MID	8	1		2 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	8			3 1
L Díaz FWD	8	1		-
Z Ivaldo DEF	5			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
Z Rafael MID	5	1	1	1 -
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	4			-
Mayke DEF	3			1 -
J. Ananias Bento DEF	3			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	2			1 -
T Rincón MID	2			1 -
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
G Caballero FWD	1			-
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	7	2	4
G Barbosa	B Rollheiser	G. Silva Bontempo	G. Silva Bontempo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	7	7	2	2
Neymar MID	4	7	2	2
Álvaro Barreal FWD	3	6		1
B Rollheiser FWD	3	7		4
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
Thaciano MID	2	3		1
A Frías DEF	1	3
Miguelito MID	1	2	2	2
G Menino MID	1	3
L Díaz FWD	1	2
Z Rafael MID	1	1	1	1
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		1	2	4
Rony FWD		2		1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
G Escobar DEF		2	1	1
C Oliva MID			2	1
L Veríssimo DEF		1
G. Henrique Pereira MID				1
Z Ivaldo DEF		2
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Mayke DEF		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
551	31	62
L Peres	I Vinícius	I Vinícius

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	551	20	49
I Vinícius DEF	502	31	62
G Escobar DEF	497	25	58
G. Silva Bontempo MID	460	22	57
L Veríssimo DEF	432	11	45
C Oliva MID	364	25	44
Álvaro Barreal FWD	363	23	51
W Arão MID	350	21	38
J Schmidt MID	347	13	31
Neymar MID	314	4	54
A Frías DEF	292	12	36
B Rollheiser FWD	285	4	19
G Brazão GLK	274		8
G Barbosa FWD	266	4	17
G. Henrique Pereira MID	232	19	35
Rony FWD	216	15	61
G Menino MID	210	9	32
Miguelito MID	160	14	23
Z Ivaldo DEF	128	5	15
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
Thaciano MID	102	9	32
Mayke DEF	96	2	9
Z Rafael MID	91	4	13
A Duarte DEF	55		4
L Díaz FWD	48	4	14
D Diógenes GLK	39
J. Ananias Bento DEF	37	10	13
G Caballero FWD	19
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	18	2	3
T Rincón MID	11		2
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1

Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Botafogo v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Botafogo v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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