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Vitória v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Jul, 23:30 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura's Vitória side will have home backing in the Serie A on Thursday night, as Renato Portaluppi's Vasco da Gama visit the Estádio Manoel Barradas. For every Serie A match, KickOff dives into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% probability of Vitoria and Vasco d Gama scoring at least a couple of goals in this Serie A match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.35.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vitoria 55%	4/3 1%	6/4 2%
Draw 24%	11/5	11/5 3%
Vasco d Gama 21%	15/8	19/10 3%
Vitoria 1-0 12%	13/2	6/1
Draw 1-1 11%	5/1	9/2
Vitoria 2-0 10%	10/1	9/1
Vitoria 2-1 10%	17/2	15/2
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1	15/2 6%
Vasco d Gama 1-0 7%	15/2	13/2 6%
Vitoria 3-0 6%	22/1	18/1
Vitoria 3-1 5%	20/1	16/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1 5%	10/1	17/2
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	11/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0 3%	14/1	11/1
Vitoria 3-2 3%	28/1	25/1 13%
Vitoria 4-0 2%	50/1	33/1
Vitoria 4-1 2%	40/1	33/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1 2%	25/1	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	11/10	11/10 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	7/10	4/6 2%
Home 1st Goal 54%	10/11	10/11
Away 1st Goal 41%	11/10	11/10 2%
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	15/2 6%
BTTS - Yes 50%	10/11 6%	5/6 2%
BTTS - No 50%	10/11 2%	10/11 2%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	4/1	4/1 4%
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	3/1
BTTS - Away Win 10%	5/1	9/2 4%
Home/draw 79%	2/5	2/5 3%
Away/draw 45%	8/15	8/15
Home/away 76%	4/11	1/3 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	4/11	7/20 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/5	2/1 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	3/1	14/5 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/4	2/9 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/12	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	1/80
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	15/2
Home DNB 72%	4/6	8/11 4%
Away DNB 38%	11/10	1/1 2%
Vitoria win to nil 32%	3/1	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 11%	4/1	-
Vitoria / Vitoria 21%	3/1	14/5 3%
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama 3%	28/1	22/1
Vitoria / Draw 6%	14/1	10/1
Draw / Vitoria 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Vasco d Gama 12%	11/2	11/2 7%
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	18/5 2%
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria 3%	28/1	20/1 9%
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 17%	15/4	17/5 2%
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 9%

Win / draw / win form

Vasco d Gama have lost 3 consecutive league games

Vitoria have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Vasco d Gama have not won in 12 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	0 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Ceara
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Vitoria	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	2 - 2	Juventude
Vitoria	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Vitoria	2 - 2	S. Recife

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Vitoria	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Vitoria	1 - 5	Palmeiras
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	0 - 4	Bragantino
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Remo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cortiba	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	3 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro	5 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bragantino	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Flamengo
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Corinthians
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Remo
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Fluminense
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 5	A Mineiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Mirassol

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vitoria

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

VIT

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	1 - 0

Vasco d Gama

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

VIT

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama	4 - 3
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Vitoria
	2 - 3	Vitoria

Goal Statistics

	Vitoria 13th	Vasco d Gama 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Vitoria will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+13 Vasco d Gama have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

VIT

VDG

view stats

Games scored	13		14
Failed to score	4		4
Scored first	8		7
Goals scored	21		22
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		14
Avg. shots per goal	7		11
Conversion rate for	15		9
Avg. XG for	1		1.6
KickOff rating		+5%

26%

better

VIT

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	11		17
Clean sheets	6		1
Conceded first	8		11
Goals conceded	25		29
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+26%

Vitoria v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	4	5
Caique	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Matheuzinho MID	16	2	1	3 -
Erick FWD	16	2	4	1 -
Caique MID	15			3 -
Ramon DEF	14	2		3 -
G Baralhas MID	14	2	3	4 -
E Martínez MID	14			5 -
L Arcanjo GLK	13			1 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
Cacá DEF	12	1		3 -
R Kayzer FWD	12	3	1	3 -
D. Tarzia FWD	12	2	1	1 -
L Cândido DEF	10		2	1 -
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	10	5	1	2 -
J. Silva Neves MID	9	1		3 -
Camutanga DEF	8			-
A Cantalapiedra MID	8			1 -
F Fabrício FWD	8		1	-
Marinho FWD	7			-
Jamerson DEF	6			1 -
R López FWD	6			-
Gabriel GLK	4			-
Neris DEF	4			-
L Silva FWD	4			1 -
A. Santos FWD	4			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Claudinho DEF	2			-
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Matheusinho DEF	2			-
J. Silva Costa MID	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
Edu DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	4	6
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	5	14	1	1
R Kayzer FWD	3	6	1	1
Matheuzinho MID	2	11	1	2
Erick FWD	2	8	4	6
Ramon DEF	2	4
G Baralhas MID	2	3	3	4
D. Tarzia FWD	2	7	1	1
Cacá DEF	1	2
J. Silva Neves MID	1	3		1
Dudu MID	1	1
Caique MID		1
E Martínez MID		1
N Mendes DEF			1	1
L Cândido DEF		3	2	1
Camutanga DEF		1		1
A Cantalapiedra MID		1		1
F Fabrício FWD		2	1	1
Marinho FWD		1
A. Santos FWD		1
Claudinho DEF		1		1
Matheusinho DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
536	26	73
Caique	Ramon	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Caique MID	536	24	57
E Martínez MID	499	22	60
Ramon DEF	465	26	58
Cacá DEF	420	7	30
G Baralhas MID	417	19	48
Erick FWD	413	11	63
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
L Arcanjo GLK	368		4
L Cândido DEF	320	10	36
Matheuzinho MID	304	5	53
J. Silva Neves MID	299	18	73
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
A Cantalapiedra MID	102	5	18
Jamerson DEF	100	6	25
D. Tarzia FWD	85	8	21
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	82	4	48
Gabriel GLK	82		3
R Kayzer FWD	80	2	24
Neris DEF	78	3	7
Dudu MID	75	4	18
Claudinho DEF	58	3	4
Matheusinho DEF	43	2	7
Marinho FWD	35	3	12
Edu DEF	35	1	3
R López FWD	33	1	18
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	19	7	20
A. Santos FWD	16	5	8
J. Silva Costa MID	11		1
L Silva FWD	9	1	3
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	3	4	6
L Jardim	T Mendes	J Bebanz	T Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	18			1 -
R Renan DEF	18	1		1 -
T Mendes MID	16	3	1	6 -
A Gomez FWD	16	3	2	6 -
C Luz MID	15	3		4 1
J Rojas MID	15		1	3 -
N Moreira FWD	15	1	1	2 -
David FWD	15	2	2	-
L Piton DEF	13			-
Brenner FWD	13	1	1	1 -
J Bebanz DEF	12	2	4	3 -
P Henrique DEF	12		2	3 -
T Tchê MID	12	1		2 -
C Spinelli FWD	12	1		-
Cuiabano DEF	11	2	3	2 -
H Moura MID	11	1		-
A Saldivia DEF	10			3 -
C Cuesta DEF	8		1	1 1
Adson FWD	8			-
M Hinestroza FWD	8			-
J. Silva DEF	4			-
L Freitas DEF	2			-
J. de Paula Morais MID	2			-
L. Zuccarello MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	17	4	6
T Mendes	A Gomez	J Bebanz	J Bebanz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Mendes MID	3	7	1	5
A Gomez FWD	3	17	2	5
C Luz MID	3	3		3
David FWD	2	7	2	1
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	4	6
Cuiabano DEF	2	8	3	3
R Renan DEF	1	2		1
N Moreira FWD	1	4	1	2
Brenner FWD	1	6	1	1
T Tchê MID	1	2		1
C Spinelli FWD	1	9
H Moura MID	1	1
J Rojas MID		9	1	1
L Piton DEF		1		1
P Henrique DEF		1	2	4
A Saldivia DEF		1
C Cuesta DEF			1	2
Adson FWD		5		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1027	37	100
R Renan	Cuiabano	C Luz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Renan DEF	1027	29	65
T Mendes MID	917	16	78
C Luz MID	721	26	100
A Saldivia DEF	486	13	50
J Rojas MID	461	6	31
C Cuesta DEF	455	7	32
L Piton DEF	381	16	28
L Jardim GLK	374		3
H Moura MID	373	6	20
J Bebanz DEF	344	6	42
Cuiabano DEF	344	37	82
N Moreira FWD	328	10	27
A Gomez FWD	325	22	91
T Tchê MID	320	8	23
P Henrique DEF	275	23	60
Adson FWD	197	11	27
David FWD	177	8	42
Brenner FWD	133	8	28
M Hinestroza FWD	69	4	22
C Spinelli FWD	52	7	33
J. Silva DEF	44	6	17
J. de Paula Morais MID	16	2	5
L. Zuccarello MID	9		2
L Freitas DEF	2

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Vitória v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vitoria v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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