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Vitória v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Thiago Carpini Barbosa's Vitória side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Fabio Pecchia's Vasco da Gama arrive at the Estádio Manoel Barradas. We've got bespoke stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Vitória's next match is v Bahia at 20:00 on Sunday 18th May
Vasco da Gama's next match is v Fluminense at 22:30 on Saturday 24th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Vitoria and Vasco d Gama was on Saturday 10th May 2025
Brazillian Serie A
May 10th 2025
Vitoria 2
1 Vasco d Gama
 
R. de Souza 60'42' P. Vegetti Pfaffen
R. de Souza 90'
 
VIT
VDG
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
6
3
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
7
17
Yellow/red cards
1/1
3/0
 
VitoriaVasco d Gama
 
L. Assis Arcanjo
L. Ribeiro de Souza
J. Santos de Jesus
R. Cáceres Bogado (H. dos Santos Neris 90')
L. Halter
R. dos Santos Lopes
W. Soares da Silva (R. de Souza 46')
R. Ribeiro Lino Silva (G. Baralhas dos Santos 57')
M. Martins Fogaça de Paula
J. de Carvalho Costa (G. Henric da Silva 57')
O. Lourenço Filho (F. do Rosário dos Santos 46')
L. Jardim
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos
J. Da Silva Marcelino
J. Rodríguez Bebanz
L. Piton Crivellaro
(H. Moura Arruda da Silva 46') P. Lucas de Paula
(D. das Neves Pinheiro 67') J. Sforza
(A. Ferreira Soares 67') P. Coutinho Correia
(L. Zuccarello 82') N. Rocha Moreira
(L. António Augusto 67') R. Rocha
football iconP. Vegetti Pfaffen

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Vitoria and Vasco d Gama have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
49%
10/11
19%
-
Draw
27%
5/2
8%
-
Vasco d Gama
24%
31/10
32%
-
Vitoria 1-0
13%
5/1
20%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
-
Vitoria 2-0
10%
7/1
27%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
15/2-
Vitoria 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
6%
14/1
36%
-
Vitoria 3-0
5%
14/1
29%
-
Vitoria 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
-
Vitoria 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
-
Vitoria 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Vitoria 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
13/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/4
20%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
38%
-
Home/draw
76%
2/9
10%
-
Away/draw
51%
5/6
17%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
15/2-
Home DNB
68%
2/5
14%
-
Away DNB
43%
7/4
25%
-
Vitoria win to nil
30%
2/1
20%
-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
14%
11/2
30%
-
Vitoria / Vitoria
26%
21/10
17%
-
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/1
41%
-
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Vitoria
18%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
10%
15/2
31%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
12%
6/1
40%
-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Vitoria 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Vitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
Vitoria1 - 2Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Vitoria1 - 0Juventude
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria1 - 0Cuiaba
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria0 - 1Botafogo
Vitoria2 - 1Criciuma
Vitoria0 - 1Athletico PR
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 1Internacional
Vitoria0 - 2Atletico Go
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria0 - 1Ceara
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
AVitoria1 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria2 - 1Fortaleza
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
Vasco d Gama 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Criciuma2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Atletico Go0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Athletico PR1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Ceara
HVasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Cuiaba
HVasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
AVasco d Gama1 - 3Corinthians
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Sao Paulo
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Juventude
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
VIT
1
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 0
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
VIT
2
VDG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 3Vitoria
2 - 3Vitoria
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Vasco da Gama, with Fabio Pecchia's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Serie A matches.

Vitoria 15th Vasco d Gama 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Vitoria will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Vasco d Gama have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294528/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
29%
better
VIT
VDG
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score2
4
Scored first2
1
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for0.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
VIT
VDG
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded10
9
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+17%

Vitoria v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8233
L HalterMatheuzinhoG Mosquito Matheuzinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK7
-
R Cáceres DEF2
1
-
Edu DEF3
-
L Halter DEF81
2
-
Jamerson DEF82
-
Ronald MID6
1
-
R Ryller MID8
1
-
W Rato MID41
-
Matheuzinho MID72
2
1
Osvaldo MID4
-
J Costa FWD81
2
-
Subs
Fintelman GLK
-
M. Kesley de Jesus Ramalho DEF
-
Neris DEF3
1
-
G Baralhas MID6
1
-
R Kayzer FWD
-
C Eduardo FWD1
-
Carlinhos FWD21
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD63
-
L Braga FWD31
1
-
F Fabrício FWD71
-
Erick FWD72
-
L Pereira FWD4
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9722
L JardimP VegettiL Piton L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK9
-
J Bebanz DEF3
-
J Victor DEF9
1
-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF3
2
-
L Piton  DEF82
2
-
Paulinho MID7
2
-
P Coutinho MID61
1
J Sforza MID1
-
R Rocha FWD811
-
P Vegetti FWD871
2
-
N Moreira FWD921
1
-
Subs
D Fuzato GLK
-
V Luis DEF1
-
P Babilônia DEF
-
L Oliveira DEF
-
T Tchê MID6
-
B Garré MID6
-
H Moura MID91
2
-
Adson MID7
-
L. Zuccarello MID2
-
M Santos MID4
-
L Augusto FWD6
1
-
A Teixeira FWD6
1
-