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Vitória v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Jul, 23:30 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

The Serie A is the focus for both Vitória and Vasco da Gama on Thursday night, as managers Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura and Renato Portaluppi battle it out at the Estádio Manoel Barradas. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% probability of Vitoria and Vasco d Gama scoring at least a couple of goals in this Serie A match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
55%
4/3
1%
6/4
2%
Draw
24%
11/511/5
3%
Vasco d Gama
21%
15/819/10
3%
Vitoria 1-0
12%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
11%
5/19/2
Vitoria 2-0
10%
10/19/1
Vitoria 2-1
10%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
7%
8/115/2
6%
Vasco d Gama 1-0
7%
15/213/2
6%
Vitoria 3-0
6%
22/118/1
Vitoria 3-1
5%
20/116/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
5%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
3%
14/111/1
Vitoria 3-2
3%
28/125/1
13%
Vitoria 4-0
2%
50/133/1
Vitoria 4-1
2%
40/133/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
11/1011/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
7/104/6
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
10/1110/11
Away 1st Goal
41%
11/1011/10
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/115/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11
6%
5/6
2%
BTTS - No
50%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4/14/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/23/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
5/19/2
4%
Home/draw
79%
2/52/5
3%
Away/draw
45%
8/158/15
Home/away
76%
4/111/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/117/20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
11/52/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/114/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/42/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/115/2
Home DNB
72%
4/68/11
4%
Away DNB
38%
11/101/1
2%
Vitoria win to nil
32%
3/1-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
11%
4/1-
Vitoria / Vitoria
21%
3/114/5
3%
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/122/1
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/110/1
Draw / Vitoria
14%
9/219/4
Draw / Vasco d Gama
12%
11/211/2
7%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/418/5
2%
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria
3%
28/120/1
9%
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
17%
15/417/5
2%
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
9%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
3
Vasco d Gama have lost 3 consecutive league games
6
Vitoria have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
12
Vasco d Gama have not won in 12 consecutive away league games
Vitoria 13TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria2 - 0Internacional
Vitoria4 - 1Cortiba
Vitoria0 - 0Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Mirassol
Vitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria2 - 0Remo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Vitoria0 - 0Botafogo
Vitoria1 - 0Internacional
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Vitoria1 - 0Ceara
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 2Juventude
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria1 - 3Santos
HVitoria2 - 0Internacional
AVitoria0 - 2Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2Fluminense
HVitoria4 - 1Cortiba
AVitoria1 - 3Athletico PR
HVitoria0 - 0Corinthians
HVitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria1 - 1Chapecoense
AVitoria0 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria1 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria0 - 2Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 1Bahia
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
HVitoria2 - 0Remo
HVitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria0 - 4Bragantino
HVitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Vasco d Gama 17TH
20 league games
Away
12
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional4 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Remo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cortiba1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama0 - 1A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 3Bragantino
AVasco d Gama1 - 4Internacional
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Athletico PR
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Flamengo
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Remo
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
VIT
2
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria2 - 1
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 0
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
VIT
2
VDG
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama4 - 3
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 3Vitoria
2 - 3Vitoria
Goal Statistics
Vitoria 13th Vasco d Gama 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Vitoria will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Vasco d Gama have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
5%
better
VIT
VDG
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score4
4
Scored first8
7
Goals scored21
22
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
26%
better
VIT
VDG
view stats
Games conceded11
17
Clean sheets6
1
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded25
29
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+26%

Vitoria v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15545
CaiqueC. de Sousa FerreiraErickE Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheuzinho MID1621
3
-
Erick FWD1624
1
-
Caique MID15
3
-
Ramon DEF142
3
-
G Baralhas MID1423
4
-
E Martínez  MID14
5
-
L Arcanjo GLK13
1
-
N Mendes DEF131
3
-
Cacá DEF121
3
-
D. Tarzia FWD1221
1
-
R Kayzer FWD1231
3
-
L Cândido DEF102
1
-
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD1051
2
-
J. Silva Neves MID91
3
-
Camutanga DEF8
-
A Cantalapiedra  MID8
1
-
F Fabrício FWD81
-
Marinho FWD7
-
Jamerson DEF6
1
-
R López FWD6
-
Gabriel GLK4
-
Neris DEF4
-
L Silva FWD4
1
-
A. Santos FWD4
1
-
Dudu MID31
-
Claudinho DEF2
-
Riccieli DEF2
-
Matheusinho DEF2
-
J. Silva Costa MID2
-
Osvaldo FWD2
-
Edu DEF1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18346
L JardimT MendesJ BebanzT Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK18
1
-
R Renan DEF181
1
-
T Mendes MID1631
6
-
A Gomez FWD1632
6
-
J Rojas MID151
3
-
C Luz MID153
4
1
N Moreira FWD1511
2
-
David  FWD1522
-
L Piton  DEF13
-
Brenner FWD1311
1
-
J Bebanz DEF1224
3
-
P Henrique DEF122
3
-
T Tchê MID121
2
-
C Spinelli FWD121
-
Cuiabano DEF1123
2
-
H Moura MID111
-
A Saldivia DEF10
3
-
C Cuesta DEF81
1
1
Adson FWD8
-
M Hinestroza FWD8
-
J. Silva DEF4
-
L Freitas DEF2
-
J. de Paula Morais MID2
-
L. Zuccarello MID1
-