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Mirassol v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Mirassol are in Serie A action on Wednesday night, as Ivan Lucas Baitello aims to beat Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and his Gremio side at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Mirassol's next match is v Juventude at 15:00 on Sunday 20th April
Gremio's next match is v Internacional at 01:00 on Sunday 20th April
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Mirassol and Gremio was on Wednesday 16th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 16th 2025
Mirassol 4
1 Gremio
 
D. Fortunato Borges 3'82' M. Braithwait
R. da Silva 21'
R. da Silva 78'
D. Fortunato Borges 85'
 
GRE
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
2
7
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
12
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
MirassolGremio
 
A. Santana Rafael
J. Carroll Santana
D. Fortunato Borgesfootball iconfootball icon
J. Ribeiro da Silva
R. da Silvafootball iconfootball icon
A. Moura Neto (R. Medeiros de Moura 80')
G. Santana Pinto (Y. da Costa Rocha 30')
D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
C. Gonçalves Riquelme (E. Mendes dos Santos 57')
F. de Souza (L. Soares Firmino 57')
I. Freitas de Castilho (C. da Silva Vieira 80')
T. Volpi
W. Calvelo de Souza
L. Esteves Souza
J. de Jesus Nascimento
J. Maturano dos Santos
(D. Arezo Martínez 78') M. Villasanti Rolón
(E. Andrade dos Santos 46') C. Reijers de Olivera
(D. Moreira Fagundes 46') F. Cristaldo
(Andre Martins 84') F. Amuzu
football iconM. Braithwait
(A. da Rocha dos Santos 65') C. Pavón

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Mirassol and Gremio both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
39%
21/10-
Draw
29%
19/10
3%
-
Gremio
33%
29/20-
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
-
Mirassol 1-0
12%
7/1
11%
-
Gremio 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1
13%
-
Mirassol 2-1
8%
11/1-
Mirassol 2-0
7%
14/1-
Gremio 2-1
7%
9/1-
Gremio 2-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
-
Mirassol 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Mirassol 3-0
3%
33/1-
Gremio 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Gremio 3-0
2%
22/1-
Mirassol 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gremio 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
27/20
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
4/7
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/8
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/6
2%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - No
54%
3/4
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
13/2
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/1
9%
-
Home/draw
67%
8/15-
Away/draw
61%
4/11-
Home/away
71%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
7/4
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
-
Home DNB
59%
11/10-
Away DNB
53%
4/6-
Mirassol win to nil
24%
4/1-
Gremio win to nil
20%
11/4
6%
-
Mirassol / Mirassol
19%
4/1-
Mirassol / Gremio
2%
28/1-
Mirassol / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Mirassol
15%
11/2-
Draw / Gremio
13%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Gremio / Mirassol
2%
33/1
17%
-
Gremio / Gremio
17%
3/1-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
9
Mirassol have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
9
Gremio have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Mirassol 8TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Gremio 15TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Mirassol of late. It has been 6 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday night against Gremio.

Mirassol 8th Gremio 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Mirassol’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294486/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
35%
better
GRE
view stats
Games scored3
1
Failed to score0
2
Scored first1
1
Goals scored3
2
Avg. goals scored1
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal10
12
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.5
0.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
3%
better
GRE
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded4
5
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Mirassol v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
A MuralhaC RenatoClaysonJ. Ribeiro da Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muralha GLK2
-
D Borges DEF1
-
J Victor DEF2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF2
1
-
Reinaldo DEF2
1
-
N Moura  MID2
-
Danielzinho MID2
-
F Daniel MID2
-
Gabriel MID1
-
C Renato MID11
1
-
I Castilho FWD2
-
Subs
Walter GLK
-
L Abreu DEF
-
L Ramon DEF21
-
Roni MID
-
Chico MID1
-
M Bianqui MID
-
J Aldo MID2
-
Clayson MID21
1
-
Y Felipe MID
-
Negueba FWD
-
Edson FWD1
1
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD2
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2101
T VolpiEdenilsonJemerson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK2
-
J Pedro DEF1
-
Jemerson DEF2
1
-
Wagner DEF2
1
-
L Esteves DEF2
-
Camilo MID2
-
M Villasanti MID2
-
C Pavón MID2
1
-
F Cristaldo MID1
-
F Amuzu MID2
1
-
M Braithwaite FWD
-
Subs
G Grando GLK
-
W Kannemann DEF
-
Marlon DEF1
-
G Martins DEF
-
G Cuéllar MID
-
Edenilson MID21
-
M Monsalve MID1
-
Dodi MID
-
I. Schlemper MID2
1
-
D Martínez FWD21
1
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD
-
André FWD2
-