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Mirassol v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jul, 00:00 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro leads his Gremio charges to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in the Serie A on Saturday morning, with Rafael Silva Guanaes's Mirassol their challengers. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Mirassol and Gremio during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mirassol 46%	1/1 9%	23/20 2%
Draw 28%	9/4 2%	23/10 3%
Gremio 26%	5/2 13%	12/5 9%
Mirassol 1-0 14%	11/2 7%	5/1
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2 8%	19/4 5%
Draw 0-0 10%	15/2	7/1
Gremio 1-0 10%	8/1 6%	7/1 6%
Mirassol 2-0 9%	8/1 10%	15/2
Mirassol 2-1 9%	8/1 5%	7/1
Gremio 2-1 6%	12/1 8%	10/1
Gremio 2-0 5%	16/1 13%	12/1 13%
Mirassol 3-0 4%	18/1 10%	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 13%	12/1
Mirassol 3-1 4%	18/1 10%	14/1
Gremio 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	22/1
Mirassol 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Gremio 3-0 1%	40/1 21%	25/1 10%
Mirassol 4-0 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	6/5	6/5 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	13/20	8/13
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11 5%	3/4 1%
Away 1st Goal 42%	11/8 8%	11/8 3%
No 1st Goal 7%	15/2	7/1
BTTS - Yes 45%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - No 55%	4/5	4/5 2%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	15/4 5%	18/5 2%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 6%	10/3 3%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7/1 14%	11/2 7%
Home/draw 74%	2/7 5%	3/10 4%
Away/draw 54%	8/11 7%	7/10
Home/away 72%	1/3 2%	1/3 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	2/5	4/11
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	2/1	19/10
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	3/1	3/1 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1/4	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	8/1	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/14	1/16
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	16/1 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/14	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	15/2	15/2 6%
Home DNB 65%	1/2 7%	1/2 4%
Away DNB 46%	6/4 14%	7/5 4%
Mirassol win to nil 29%	12/5 9%	-
Gremio win to nil 16%	9/2 10%	-
Mirassol / Mirassol 24%	12/5 9%	9/4 5%
Mirassol / Gremio 3%	33/1	25/1 10%
Mirassol / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 9%
Draw / Mirassol 16%	4/1 9%	17/4
Draw / Gremio 11%	13/2 7%	13/2 6%
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	18/5 2%
Gremio / Mirassol 3%	25/1 10%	20/1
Gremio / Gremio 14%	5/1 20%	17/4 5%
Gremio / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Gremio have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
Mirassol	1 - 2	Bahia
Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
Mirassol	0 - 1	Cortiba
Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
Mirassol	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
Mirassol	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 3	Flamengo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Ceara
Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Mirassol	0 - 0	Botafogo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	3 - 1	Internacional
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Bragantino
Mirassol	2 - 0	Juventude
Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Mirassol	1 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	1 - 2	Bahia
H	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Mirassol	2 - 3	Botafogo
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Vitoria
H	Mirassol	0 - 1	Cortiba
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	2 - 2	Remo
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	3 - 3	Flamengo
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Mirassol	0 - 2	Vitoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
Athletico PR	0 - 0	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Gremio
Internacional	0 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
S. Recife	0 - 4	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Internacional	2 - 3	Gremio
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
A Mineiro	1 - 3	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Remo
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
H	Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	5 - 3	Botafogo
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
A	Gremio	4 - 0	S. Recife
H	Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense

Goal Statistics

	Mirassol 19th	Gremio 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 Mirassol have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	+3 Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

GRE

better

view stats

Games scored	11		12
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	6		6
Goals scored	18		20
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	10		8
Conversion rate for	10		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+5%

GRE

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		13
Clean sheets	1		5
Conceded first	11		9
Goals conceded	24		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	15%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+22%

Mirassol v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	4	7
Walter	I Formiga	Alesson	J Aldo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Walter GLK	17			2 -
J Victor DEF	17		1	1 -
Alesson FWD	17		4	2 -
W Machado DEF	15	1	1	3 -
J Aldo MID	15		1	7 -
I Formiga DEF	14	3		1 -
Reinaldo DEF	14		1	5 -
Shaylon MID	14	1	1	-
N Moura MID	12			3 -
C Eduardo MID	11	2		1 1
Edson FWD	11	1		4 -
Galeano FWD	11			1 -
A Luis FWD	11	1		1 -
Denilson MID	10	1		1 -
C Eduardo FWD	10	1	1	-
N Otávio FWD	10	2		2 -
Negueba FWD	9	2		4 -
E Galdino FWD	8			-
V Luis DEF	7			2 -
L Oliveira DEF	7	1		3 -
G Pires MID	7		1	1 -
T Soares FWD	7			1 -
D Borges DEF	5			-
Rodrigues DEF	2			-
Chico MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	14	4	4
I Formiga	Alesson	Alesson	Alesson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Formiga DEF	3	5		1
C Eduardo MID	2	4
N Otávio FWD	2	9		1
Negueba FWD	2	6		2
W Machado DEF	1	5	1	2
Shaylon MID	1	4	1	1
Edson FWD	1	2
A Luis FWD	1	2
Denilson MID	1	2
C Eduardo FWD	1	1	1	3
L Oliveira DEF	1	1
J Victor DEF		1	1	1
Alesson FWD		14	4	4
J Aldo MID		4	1	2
Reinaldo DEF		2	1	4
N Moura MID		2		1
Galeano FWD		4
E Galdino FWD		1
G Pires MID		4	1	1
T Soares FWD		4
D Borges DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
871	36	85
J Victor	I Formiga	Alesson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Victor DEF	871	11	65
W Machado DEF	804	23	77
J Aldo MID	685	21	54
N Moura MID	483	15	29
Reinaldo DEF	475	12	36
I Formiga DEF	410	36	77
Walter GLK	402		1
Shaylon MID	384	6	15
Alesson FWD	337	32	85
Negueba FWD	300	10	48
Denilson MID	274	12	27
C Eduardo MID	203	3	22
V Luis DEF	190	3	9
L Oliveira DEF	178	5	10
G Pires MID	172	3	19
D Borges DEF	149	8	24
A Luis FWD	94		23
N Otávio FWD	91	3	16
Edson FWD	90	4	27
C Eduardo FWD	83	4	28
Galeano FWD	74	1	14
E Galdino FWD	72	2	12
T Soares FWD	67	2	14
Rodrigues DEF	23	1	4
Chico MID	15		1

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	9	3	4
Weverton	C Vinícius	F Amuzu	C Pavón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	17		1	1 -
C Vinícius FWD	17	9		3 -
J Enamorado FWD	17		2	3 -
C Pavón DEF	16		2	4 -
F Amuzu FWD	16	1	3	-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	14	2		3 -
Tetê FWD	14	2		-
E Mola MID	13	1	1	2 -
G Martins DEF	11		2	3 -
J Nardoni MID	11	1	1	1 -
M Braithwaite FWD	11			-
L. Pérez MID	10			2 -
Wagner DEF	9			2 1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	9		1	3 -
Willian FWD	8			-
F Balbuena DEF	7			-
C Paulista DEF	7			-
M Monsalve MID	7			1 -
Marlon DEF	6	1	1	1 -
Dodi MID	6			2 -
J Pedro DEF	5			-
M Rocha DEF	4			-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	2			-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	2			1 1
Roger FWD	2			-
T. Stallbaum GLK	1			1
T. Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	19	3	4
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	F Amuzu	C Pavón

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	9	19		1
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	2	3		1
Tetê FWD	2	7
F Amuzu FWD	1	8	3	4
E Mola MID	1	3	1
J Nardoni MID	1	1	1
Marlon DEF	1	3	1	2
Weverton GLK			1
J Enamorado FWD		3	2	2
C Pavón DEF		4	2	4
G Martins DEF		2	2	1
M Braithwaite FWD		2
L. Pérez MID		2
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF		3	1	2
Willian FWD		1
C Paulista DEF				1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF		1
Roger FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
608	31	69
C Pavón	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Pavón DEF	608	31	69
E Mola MID	532	18	52
G Martins DEF	442	9	39
Weverton GLK	441	1	10
Wagner DEF	415	11	23
F Balbuena DEF	363	8	21
F Amuzu FWD	305	7	33
Tetê FWD	267	6	47
J Nardoni MID	263	9	33
Marlon DEF	241	22	35
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	227	16	28
L. Pérez MID	223	17	45
Willian FWD	193	2	12
C Paulista DEF	188	8	23
J Enamorado FWD	185	24	66
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	140	14	54
M Monsalve MID	129	2	15
C Vinícius FWD	121	3	44
J Pedro DEF	105	3	9
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	87	4	6
M Rocha DEF	82	2	5
Dodi MID	68	4	6
M Braithwaite FWD	57	5	18
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	38	1	4
T. Gonçalves MID	26
T. Stallbaum GLK	17		1
Roger FWD	9	1	1

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