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Santos v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jul, 22:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Alexi Stival welcomes Rafael dos Santos Lacerda to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira on Saturday night, as their Santos and Chapecoense troops do battle in the Serie A. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 51%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Chapecoense 23%	-	-
Santos 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Santos 2-0 10%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Santos 2-1 9%	-	-
Chapecoense 1-0 8%	-	-
Chapecoense 2-1 5%	-	-
Santos 3-0 5%	-	-
Santos 3-1 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Chapecoense 2-0 4%	-	-
Santos 3-2 2%	-	-
Santos 4-0 2%	-	-
Santos 4-1 2%	-	-
Chapecoense 3-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	-	-
BTTS - No 55%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	-	-
Away/draw 49%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 69%	-	-
Away DNB 41%	-	-
Santos win to nil 32%	-	-
Chapecoense win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Chapecoense have not won in 10 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 0	Remo
Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Santos	3 - 0	S. Recife
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Santos	0 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	3 - 1	Corinthians
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	1 - 3	Flamengo
H	Santos	2 - 0	Remo
A	Santos	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Santos	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Santos	1 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Santos	2 - 4	Chapecoense
H	Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 0	Juventude

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Athletico PR	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Internacional	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Volta Redonda	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Remo	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Goias	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Ferroviaria	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Amazonas	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Cuiaba	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Criciuma	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Athletic Club	0 - 4	Chapecoense
Cortiba	0 - 0	Chapecoense
Atletico Go	0 - 0	Chapecoense
America	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Operario	1 - 2	Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Cortiba
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
H	Chapecoense	1 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Volta Redonda
H	Chapecoense	0 - 1	America

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Santos have beaten Chapecoense in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Santos have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Chapecoense

Santos

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

1 / 4

STS

CHP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos	1 - 0
Santos	2 - 0
Santos	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

3 / 5

STS

CHP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Chapecoense	4 - 2
Chapecoense	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Santos
	0 - 1	Santos
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Santos's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Chapecoense have conceded in each of their last 11 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.5 for A. Stival's side suggests that run should continue.

	Santos 15th	Chapecoense 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Santos will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

39%

better

STS

CHP

view stats

Games scored	16		11
Failed to score	2		6
Scored first	11		4
Goals scored	26		17
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	18		10
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+39%

22%

better

STS

CHP

view stats

Games conceded	14		16
Clean sheets	4		1
Conceded first	6		12
Goals conceded	29		33
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		14
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.8
KickOff rating		+22%

Santos v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	7	2	6
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G. Silva Bontempo	G Barbosa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	16			4 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	16		2	2 -
L Peres DEF	15			2 1
Álvaro Barreal FWD	15	3		3 1
B Rollheiser FWD	14	3		1 -
Rony FWD	14			3 -
I Vinícius DEF	13		1	4 -
W Arão MID	13			1 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
G Escobar DEF	12		1	5 -
C Oliva MID	12		2	-
G Barbosa FWD	12	7	2	5 1
L Veríssimo DEF	11			1 -
Thaciano MID	11	2		1 -
J Schmidt MID	10			2 -
A Frías DEF	8	1		1 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	8			3 1
Miguelito MID	8	1	2	1 -
Neymar MID	8	4	2	5 -
G Menino MID	8	1		2 -
L Díaz FWD	8	1		-
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
Z Ivaldo DEF	5			1 -
Z Rafael MID	5	1	1	1 -
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	4			-
Mayke DEF	3			1 -
J. Ananias Bento DEF	3			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	2			1 -
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
G Caballero FWD	1			-
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	7	2	4
G Barbosa	B Rollheiser	G. Silva Bontempo	G. Silva Bontempo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	7	7	2	2
Neymar MID	4	7	2	2
Álvaro Barreal FWD	3	6		1
B Rollheiser FWD	3	7		4
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
Thaciano MID	2	3		1
A Frías DEF	1	3
Miguelito MID	1	2	2	2
G Menino MID	1	3
L Díaz FWD	1	2
Z Rafael MID	1	1	1	1
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		1	2	4
Rony FWD		2		1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
G Escobar DEF		2	1	1
C Oliva MID			2	1
L Veríssimo DEF		1
G. Henrique Pereira MID				1
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Z Ivaldo DEF		2
Mayke DEF		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
551	31	62
L Peres	I Vinícius	I Vinícius

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	551	20	49
I Vinícius DEF	502	31	62
G Escobar DEF	497	25	58
G. Silva Bontempo MID	460	22	57
L Veríssimo DEF	432	11	45
C Oliva MID	364	25	44
Álvaro Barreal FWD	363	23	51
W Arão MID	350	21	38
J Schmidt MID	347	13	31
Neymar MID	314	4	54
A Frías DEF	292	12	36
B Rollheiser FWD	285	4	19
G Brazão GLK	274		8
G Barbosa FWD	266	4	17
G. Henrique Pereira MID	232	19	35
Rony FWD	216	15	61
G Menino MID	210	9	32
Miguelito MID	160	14	23
Z Ivaldo DEF	128	5	15
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
Thaciano MID	102	9	32
Mayke DEF	96	2	9
Z Rafael MID	91	4	13
A Duarte DEF	55		4
L Díaz FWD	48	4	14
D Diógenes GLK	39
J. Ananias Bento DEF	37	10	13
G Caballero FWD	19
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	18	2	3
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	2	3	6
E Domachowski	Rafael	B Pacheco	E. Souza da Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Marcinho FWD	16	1	1	-
E Domachowski DEF	15	1		4 1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	15			1 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	14		1	5 1
B Leonardo DEF	14			3 -
Rafael MID	14	2		2 -
Camilo MID	14			3 -
Y Bolasie FWD	14	1	1	3 -
G Augusto MID	10			1 -
M Vinicius DEF	9		1	2 -
B Pacheco DEF	9		3	1 -
Enio FWD	9	1		2 -
N Pessoa FWD	8	2	1	1 -
M Garcez FWD	8			-
V Becker DEF	7			2 -
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	7	1		1 -
A Paixão GLK	6			-
J Paulo DEF	6	1		2 -
R Santos GLK	4			-
D. Antunes da Silva MID	3			-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	2			1 -
R Thyere DEF	2			-
K Ramírez FWD	2			-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	3	3
Rafael	Y Bolasie	B Pacheco	B Pacheco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Rafael MID	2	4
N Pessoa FWD	2	4	1
Marcinho FWD	1	5	1
E Domachowski DEF	1	3		1
Y Bolasie FWD	1	7	1
Enio FWD	1	5		3
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	1	2
J Paulo DEF	1	1		1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD		2		1
E. Souza da Cruz DEF		2	1	1
B Leonardo DEF		1		1
Camilo MID		2		1
G Augusto MID				1
M Vinicius DEF			1	1
B Pacheco DEF			3	3
M Garcez FWD		1		1
K Ramírez FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
712	32	62
E Domachowski	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Domachowski DEF	712	14	51
B Leonardo DEF	631	9	53
Camilo MID	584	32	62
J Paulo DEF	289	4	22
B Pacheco DEF	277	15	47
Rafael MID	266	14	20
Marcinho FWD	253	14	47
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	241	9	50
Enio FWD	225	3	38
V Becker DEF	223	11	31
G Augusto MID	189	5	29
M Vinicius DEF	187	3	13
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	154	6	30
A Paixão GLK	139		2
Y Bolasie FWD	130	1	40
R Santos GLK	92		1
M Garcez FWD	73	5	29
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	55	1	9
N Pessoa FWD	36	3	10
R Thyere DEF	36		2
K Ramírez FWD	20		3
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	18	1	2
D. Antunes da Silva MID	14	2	4
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	5	1	1