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Flamengo v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jul, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Dorival Silvestre Júnior will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday night, as he takes his Sao Paulo side to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho to visit Flamengo and José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim. All the odds are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
59%
--
Draw
23%
--
Sao Paulo
18%
--
Flamengo 1-0
13%
--
Flamengo 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Flamengo 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Flamengo 3-0
7%
--
Sao Paulo 1-0
6%
--
Flamengo 3-1
6%
--
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Flamengo 4-0
3%
--
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
--
Flamengo 4-1
3%
--
Flamengo 3-2
2%
--
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
76%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Flamengo win to nil
36%
--
Sao Paulo win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win form
5
Sao Paulo have lost 5 consecutive away league games
7
Sao Paulo have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo3 - 0Cortiba
Flamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Flamengo3 - 1Santos
Flamengo3 - 0Remo
Flamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo1 - 0Ceara
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 2Santos
Flamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 1Mirassol
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo3 - 0Cortiba
HFlamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
AFlamengo1 - 1Athletico PR
AFlamengo1 - 0Gremio
HFlamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo4 - 0A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo2 - 1Fluminense
HFlamengo3 - 1Santos
AFlamengo0 - 3Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo3 - 0Remo
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo0 - 1Remo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
ASao Paulo1 - 2Fluminense
ASao Paulo2 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Flamengo have not lost to Sao Paulo in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
FLA
4
D
2
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 0
Flamengo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo5 - 1
1 - 4Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
FLA
2
D
3
SAO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
0 - 2Flamengo
0 - 4Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Sao Paulo have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.8 for J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's side suggests that run should continue.

Flamengo 2nd Sao Paulo 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Sao Paulo have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
23%
better
FLA
SAO
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score2
4
Scored first12
8
Goals scored31
23
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
23%
better
FLA
SAO
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded16
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+23%

Flamengo v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171066
A RossiPedroS LinoL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK17
-
L Ortiz  DEF1711
-
S Lino FWD1746
2
-
Pedro FWD17104
1
-
G Varela DEF143
3
-
L Pereira DEF141
6
-
A Sandro DEF13
3
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID131
4
1
J Carrascal MID1321
1
2
L Paquetá MID123
1
-
B Henrique FWD121
2
-
Jorginho MID112
3
1
L Araújo FWD1111
1
-
N Cruz MID10
1
-
G Arrascaeta MID1031
1
-
G Plata FWD1022
1
-
Ayrton DEF91
-
Éverton FWD911
2
-
E Royal DEF81
-
E Farfán MID81
4
1
V Vitão DEF6
1
-
S Ñíguez MID61
-
W Barreto FWD6
1
-
Danilo DEF4
1
1
J. de Souza Cunha DEF1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18637
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK18
1
-
Danielzinho MID1611
1
-
J Calleri FWD1661
3
-
Sabino DEF1511
1
-
D Bobadilla MID142
3
-
Luciano FWD1461
3
-
A Franco DEF13
3
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
Ferreira FWD134
2
-
Wendell DEF123
3
-
L Ramon DEF121
1
M Antônio MID122
1
-
Cauly MID121
-
G Tapia FWD11
1
-
P Maia MID10
1
-
Artur FWD1011
1
-
A Silva FWD10
3
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
L Moura FWD811
-
Luan MID7
1
-
R Arboleda DEF6
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF5
-
R Tolói DEF5
3
-
P. dos Santos FWD4
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF2
1
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID2
-
D. Ferreira MID2
1
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID1
-