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Flamengo v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo side will have home backing in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Maximiliano Pablo Cuberas's Sao Paulo travel to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Flamengo's next match is v Santos at 00:00 on Thursday 17th July
Sao Paulo's next match is v Bragantino at 01:30 on Thursday 17th July
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Flamengo and Sao Paulo was on Saturday 12th July 2025
Brazillian Serie A
July 12th 2025
Flamengo 2
0 Sao Paulo
 
L. de Araujo Guimarães Neto 61'
W. de Souza Barreto 90'
 
FLA
SAO
Shots On
10
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
7
1
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
FlamengoSao Paulo
 
A. Rossi
L. Rech Ortiz
L. Pereira
W. França Lima
A. Lobo Silva (A. Dantas de Medeiros 8')
A. Rodrigues de Souza
J. Frello Filho (D. De La Cruz Arcosa 83')
G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (W. de Souza Barreto 83')
B. Pinto (E. Sousa Soares 83')
G. Plata Jiménez
L. de Araujo Guimarães Netofootball icon
R. Monteiro
R. Arboleda Escobar
A. Franco
E. Díaz
J. Chagas Monteiro
C. Alves Soares
(D. Bobadilla 66') P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
O. dos Santos Emboaba Júnior
(A. dos Santos Ferreira 63') M. Silva Santos
A. de Freitas Castro
(R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva 81') A. Oliveira Silva

Best Tip: Flamengo to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Flamengo. Their latest form stats show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Sao Paulo too. The odds point towards Filipe Luis Kasmirski's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
72%
9/20
1%
1/1000
15%
Draw
20%
3/1
5%
750/1
11%
Sao Paulo
9%
15/2
6%
750/1
67%
Flamengo 1-0
17%
15/4
14%
2/9
20%
Flamengo 2-0
16%
9/211/2
21%
Flamengo 3-0
10%
8/140/1
23%
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1
6%
9/1
15%
Draw 0-0
9%
6/1
18%
29/20
13%
Flamengo 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
33/1
6%
Flamengo 3-1
5%
14/1125/1
Flamengo 4-0
5%
18/1150/1
29%
Sao Paulo 1-0
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
20%
Flamengo 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
250/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
2%
25/1
13%
70/1
62%
Draw 2-2
2%
28/1
12%
150/1
40%
Flamengo 5-0
2%
40/1150/1
29%
Flamengo 3-2
1%
40/1200/1
26%
Sao Paulo 2-0
1%
40/145/1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
27/20
12%
50/1
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/7
8%
1/1000
8%
Home 1st Goal
64%
3/104/5
11%
Away 1st Goal
30%
15/4
10%
6/1
39%
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1
18%
29/20
13%
BTTS - Yes
35%
13/8
11%
16/1
31%
BTTS - No
65%
4/9
6%
1/150
17%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
19%
33/1
10%
BTTS - Draw
11%
11/29/1
30%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
20/1
24%
60/1
67%
Home/draw
91%
1/121/1000
9%
Away/draw
28%
13/816/1
28%
Home/away
80%
2/91/300
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/9
6%
7/1
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
7/4
14%
1/14
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
7/2
13%
70/1
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/5
4%
1/1000
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
25%
100/1
21%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
2%
1/1000
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
24%
100/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/1000
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
3%
1/2
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1
22%
29/20
13%
Home DNB
85%
1/81/1000
14%
Away DNB
23%
5/155/1
69%
Flamengo win to nil
51%
10/11
5%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
6%
10/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
37%
6/55/1
19%
Flamengo / Sao Paulo
2%
50/1
24%
80/1
59%
Flamengo / Draw
5%
16/133/1
31%
Draw / Flamengo
21%
11/4
6%
1/1
12%
Draw / Sao Paulo
6%
14/110/1
44%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
15/8
Sao Paulo / Flamengo
3%
28/1
12%
40/1
21%
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
6%
14/128/1
57%
Sao Paulo / Draw
4%
20/133/1
31%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
10
Flamengo have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
5
Flamengo have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
Flamengo0 - 0Botafogo
Flamengo1 - 0Bahia
Flamengo4 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo6 - 0Juventude
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Flamengo3 - 2Internacional
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo4 - 2Juventude
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 0Palmeiras
HFlamengo0 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo1 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo1 - 2Cruzeiro
HFlamengo4 - 0Corinthians
AFlamengo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo6 - 0Juventude
AFlamengo2 - 0Gremio
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo2 - 2Vitoria
AFlamengo3 - 0Criciuma
HFlamengo3 - 2Internacional
AFlamengo0 - 0Fortaleza
AFlamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
HFlamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
AFlamengo1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo4 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo1 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
FLA
3
D
2
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo5 - 1
1 - 4Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
FLA
2
D
2
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
0 - 2Flamengo
0 - 4Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sao Paulo have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.9 for F. Kasmirski's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.5, Sao Paulo look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive Serie A games, and it could be a long night for M. Cuberas's men.

Flamengo 1st Sao Paulo 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
3
4+
There is a 60% probability that Sao Paulo will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Flamengo have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294572/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.9
0.5
Attack rating
46%
better
FLA
SAO
view stats
Games scored9
7
Failed to score2
5
Scored first7
3
Goals scored24
10
Avg. goals scored2.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for20
10
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
58%
better
FLA
SAO
view stats
Games conceded3
9
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first2
6
Goals conceded4
14
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded17
8
Conversion rate against6%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+58%

Flamengo v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12943
A RossiG ArrascaetaG ArrascaetaWesley
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK12
1
-
Wesley DEF92
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF111
1
-
L Pereira DEF111
1
-
A Sandro DEF10
1
-
Jorginho MID1
-
Allan MID6
-
L Araújo MID1131
-
G Arrascaeta MID1094
-
B Henrique MID121
1
-
G Plata FWD71
-
Subs
M Cunha GLK
-
G Varela DEF72
-
Ayrton DEF61
1
-
Danilo DEF41
-
M Viña DEF1
-
Cleiton DEF
-
N Cruz MID8
3
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID51
-
Éverton FWD1211
-
Juninho FWD6
-
Michael FWD1013
-
W Barreto FWD411
2
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13324
RafaelA SilvaFerreiraA Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK13
2
-
C Soares DEF121
1
-
A Franco DEF10
2
-
R Arboleda DEF81
2
-
Sabino DEF7
2
-
E Díaz DEF121
3
-
Alisson MID121
3
-
M Antônio MID9
3
-
P Maia MID6
2
-
Oscar FWD4
1
-
A Silva FWD1231
4
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK
-
Wendell DEF8
-
N Ferraresi  DEF10
2
-
Patryck DEF
-
Rodrigo MID5
3
-
D Bobadilla MID9
2
-
Luan MID
-
F Negrucci MID
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD3
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD82
-
Ferreira FWD932
2
-
J Dinenno FWD1
1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Juventude v S. Recife
Tue 15th Jul, 00:00
Bahia v Internacional
Wed 16th Jul, 16:00
Palmeiras v Mirassol
Wed 16th Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Corinthians
Wed 16th Jul, 23:30
Santos v Flamengo
Thu 17th Jul, 00:00
Botafogo v Vitoria
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Bragantino v Sao Paulo
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Fluminense v Cruzeiro
Thu 17th Jul, 23:30
Fortaleza v Bahia
Sat 19th Jul, 20:00
Vasco d Gama v Gremio
Sat 19th Jul, 21:30
Vitoria v Bragantino
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Santos
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
Sun 20th Jul, 01:00
Internacional v Ceara
Sun 20th Jul, 15:00
Cruzeiro v Juventude
Sun 20th Jul, 20:00
Palmeiras v A Mineiro
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
S. Recife v Botafogo
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Flamengo v Fluminense
Sun 20th Jul, 23:30
Gremio v Botafogo
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Vasco d Gama v Bahia
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v Fortaleza
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Fluminense v Palmeiras
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Mirassol
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:30
Bragantino v Flamengo
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Vitoria v S. Recife
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Santos v Internacional
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Sao Paulo
Thu 24th Jul, 23:00
S. Recife v Santos
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Vitoria
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Botafogo v Corinthians
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Fortaleza v Bragantino
Sat 26th Jul, 22:30
Palmeiras v Gremio
Sun 27th Jul, 01:00
Sao Paulo v Fluminense
Sun 27th Jul, 20:00
Cruzeiro v Ceara
Sun 27th Jul, 20:00
Internacional v Vasco d Gama
Sun 27th Jul, 22:30
Bahia v Juventude
Sun 27th Jul, 22:30