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Chapecoense v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 01:30 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim will be hoping for a precious away win in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as he takes his Flamengo side to the Arena Condá to visit Chapecoense and Rafael dos Santos Lacerda. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% probability of Chapecoense and Flamengo delivering at least two goals in this Serie A clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chapecoense 20%	11/2 8%	11/2
Draw 22%	16/5 5%	10/3 8%
Flamengo 58%	21/50 3%	1/2 2%
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2 6%	6/1
Flamengo 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Flamengo 1-0 9%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%
Flamengo 2-0 9%	11/2 13%	11/2 7%
Flamengo 3-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Flamengo 3-0 6%	17/2 14%	8/1 5%
Chapecoense 2-1 5%	20/1 11%	14/1
Draw 2-2 5%	20/1 24%	14/1 15%
Chapecoense 1-0 5%	14/1 12%	11/1 8%
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1 8%	10/1 10%
Flamengo 3-2 4%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Flamengo 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1 12%
Flamengo 4-0 3%	18/1 10%	14/1
Chapecoense 2-0 3%	33/1	22/1
Chapecoense 3-1 2%	50/1 24%	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	17/20 3%	4/5 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	19/20 3%	10/11 2%
Home 1st Goal 42%	21/10 8%	23/10 3%
Away 1st Goal 55%	2/5 3%	2/5
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1 8%	10/1 10%
BTTS - Yes 57%	1/1 5%	19/20 5%
BTTS - No 43%	3/4 8%	3/4 5%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	12/1 18%	10/1 10%
BTTS - Draw 17%	5/1 9%	17/4 5%
BTTS - Away Win 29%	5/2 3%	23/10 2%
Home/draw 42%	13/8 5%	6/4 2%
Away/draw 80%	1/9 2%	1/9
Home/away 78%	2/9	1/5 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	3/1	13/5 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	11/5 7%	2/1 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/11 3%	7/20 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	9/2	9/2 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/7	1/8 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	12/1 18%	10/1 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/25 1%	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20 1%	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1 8%	10/1
Home DNB 35%	4/1 11%	18/5 2%
Away DNB 73%	1/6 1%	1/6
Chapecoense win to nil 9%	10/1	-
Flamengo win to nil 29%	5/4 10%	-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense 8%	11/1 20%	8/1
Chapecoense / Flamengo 4%	20/1	16/1 11%
Chapecoense / Draw 5%	18/1 12%	14/1
Draw / Chapecoense 6%	12/1 8%	11/1
Draw / Flamengo 20%	3/1 8%	16/5 5%
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1 9%
Flamengo / Chapecoense 2%	40/1	33/1
Flamengo / Flamengo 37%	6/5 4%	6/5
Flamengo / Draw 5%	14/1	14/1 15%

Win / draw / win form

Chapecoense have lost 3 consecutive league games

Chapecoense have not won in 16 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro
Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	3 - 3	Cortiba
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Atletico Go
Chapecoense	0 - 1	America
Chapecoense	2 - 0	Operario
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Botafogo
Chapecoense	1 - 0	Novorizontin
Chapecoense	0 - 1	Avai
Chapecoense	2 - 3	Athletico PR
Chapecoense	2 - 2	Vila Nova
Chapecoense	2 - 0	Paysandu
Chapecoense	3 - 2	CRB
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Volta Redonda

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Cortiba
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
H	Chapecoense	1 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Volta Redonda
H	Chapecoense	0 - 1	America

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Flamengo
Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A Mineiro	0 - 4	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
Bragantino	3 - 0	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Flamengo
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Flamengo
Mirassol	3 - 3	Flamengo
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
S. Recife	1 - 5	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
Fortaleza	1 - 0	Flamengo
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Juventude	0 - 2	Flamengo
Internacional	1 - 3	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Cortiba
H	Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	4 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos
A	Flamengo	0 - 3	Bragantino
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Remo
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Flamengo	3 - 3	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo have not lost to Chapecoense in 5 consecutive league meetings

Chapecoense

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

CHP

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Chapecoense	3 - 2

Flamengo

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo		2 - 1
Flamengo		2 - 1
Flamengo		2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Flamengo in their clash with Chapecoense, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 30 consecutive Serie A games.

	Chapecoense 20th	Flamengo 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Chapecoense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+32 Flamengo have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CHP

FLA

42%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		15
Failed to score	6		2
Scored first	4		12
Goals scored	17		31
Avg. goals scored	1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	10		6
Conversion rate for	10		17
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+42%

CHP

FLA

45%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		10
Clean sheets	1		7
Conceded first	12		5
Goals conceded	33		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	14		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+45%

Chapecoense v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	2	3	6
E Domachowski	Rafael	B Pacheco	E. Souza da Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Marcinho FWD	16	1	1	-
E Domachowski DEF	15	1		4 1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	15			1 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	14		1	5 1
B Leonardo DEF	14			3 -
Rafael MID	14	2		2 -
Camilo MID	14			3 -
Y Bolasie FWD	14	1	1	3 -
G Augusto MID	10			1 -
M Vinicius DEF	9		1	2 -
B Pacheco DEF	9		3	1 -
Enio FWD	9	1		2 -
N Pessoa FWD	8	2	1	1 -
M Garcez FWD	8			-
V Becker DEF	7			2 -
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	7	1		1 -
A Paixão GLK	6			-
J Paulo DEF	6	1		2 -
R Santos GLK	4			-
D. Antunes da Silva MID	3			-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	2			1 -
R Thyere DEF	2			-
K Ramírez FWD	2			-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	3	3
Rafael	Y Bolasie	B Pacheco	B Pacheco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Rafael MID	2	4
N Pessoa FWD	2	4	1
Marcinho FWD	1	5	1
E Domachowski DEF	1	3		1
Y Bolasie FWD	1	7	1
Enio FWD	1	5		3
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	1	2
J Paulo DEF	1	1		1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD		2		1
E. Souza da Cruz DEF		2	1	1
B Leonardo DEF		1		1
Camilo MID		2		1
G Augusto MID				1
M Vinicius DEF			1	1
B Pacheco DEF			3	3
M Garcez FWD		1		1
K Ramírez FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
712	32	62
E Domachowski	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Domachowski DEF	712	14	51
B Leonardo DEF	631	9	53
Camilo MID	584	32	62
J Paulo DEF	289	4	22
B Pacheco DEF	277	15	47
Rafael MID	266	14	20
Marcinho FWD	253	14	47
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	241	9	50
Enio FWD	225	3	38
V Becker DEF	223	11	31
G Augusto MID	189	5	29
M Vinicius DEF	187	3	13
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	154	6	30
A Paixão GLK	139		2
Y Bolasie FWD	130	1	40
R Santos GLK	92		1
M Garcez FWD	73	5	29
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	55	1	9
N Pessoa FWD	36	3	10
R Thyere DEF	36		2
K Ramírez FWD	20		3
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	18	1	2
D. Antunes da Silva MID	14	2	4
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	5	1	1

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	10	6	6
A Rossi	Pedro	S Lino	L Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	17			-
L Ortiz DEF	17	1	1	-
Pedro FWD	17	10	4	1 -
S Lino FWD	17	4	6	2 -
G Varela DEF	14		3	3 -
L Pereira DEF	14	1		6 -
A Sandro DEF	13			3 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	13		1	4 1
J Carrascal MID	13	2	1	1 2
L Paquetá MID	12	3		1 -
B Henrique FWD	12		1	2 -
Jorginho MID	11	2		3 1
L Araújo FWD	11	1	1	1 -
N Cruz MID	10			1 -
G Arrascaeta MID	10	3	1	1 -
G Plata FWD	10	2	2	1 -
Ayrton DEF	9		1	-
Éverton FWD	9	1	1	2 -
E Royal DEF	8		1	-
E Farfán MID	8	1		4 1
V Vitão DEF	6			1 -
S Ñíguez MID	6		1	-
W Barreto FWD	6			1 -
Danilo DEF	4			1 1
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	19	6	6
Pedro	Pedro	S Lino	Pedro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Pedro FWD	10	19	4	6
S Lino FWD	4	11	6	6
L Paquetá MID	3	8
G Arrascaeta MID	3	9	1	1
J Carrascal MID	2	6	1	2
Jorginho MID	2	2		2
G Plata FWD	2	12	2	3
L Ortiz DEF	1	2	1	1
L Pereira DEF	1	3
L Araújo FWD	1	3	1	2
Éverton FWD	1	2	1	1
E Farfán MID	1	2		1
G Varela DEF			3	4
A Sandro DEF				2
E. Fernandes Araújo MID			1	1
B Henrique FWD		2	1	2
Ayrton DEF		2	1
E Royal DEF		1	1	1
S Ñíguez MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1000	26	69
L Ortiz	S Lino	L Paquetá

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Ortiz DEF	1000	11	45
L Pereira DEF	995	14	40
Jorginho MID	768	14	36
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	646	10	21
A Sandro DEF	551	19	52
G Varela DEF	524	13	46
L Paquetá MID	491	20	69
S Lino FWD	462	26	67
E Farfán MID	443	12	28
A Rossi GLK	398		5
G Arrascaeta MID	332	15	34
J Carrascal MID	266	10	38
Pedro FWD	262	16	63
E Royal DEF	242	9	25
G Plata FWD	233	17	44
Ayrton DEF	217	5	13
L Araújo FWD	197	17	30
V Vitão DEF	185	1	7
N Cruz MID	137	7	22
Danilo DEF	131	4	7
Éverton FWD	120	5	24
B Henrique FWD	112	5	25
S Ñíguez MID	64	4	6
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	63
W Barreto FWD	14		9