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Gremio v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jul, 22:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Gremio are in Serie A action on Sunday night, as Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro looks to get one over on Luis Francisco Zubeldía and his Fluminense side at the Arena do Grêmio. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
45%
--
Draw
25%
--
Fluminense
29%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Gremio 1-0
10%
--
Gremio 2-1
9%
--
Fluminense 1-0
8%
--
Gremio 2-0
8%
--
Fluminense 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Gremio 3-1
5%
--
Fluminense 2-0
5%
--
Gremio 3-0
4%
--
Fluminense 3-1
3%
--
Gremio 3-2
3%
--
Fluminense 3-2
2%
--
Fluminense 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Gremio win to nil
24%
--
Fluminense win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 3Corinthians
Gremio3 - 2Santos
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio1 - 3Corinthians
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 1Fluminense
Mirassol1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Santos2 - 3Fluminense
Cortiba1 - 1Fluminense
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
Remo0 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Ceara2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino4 - 2Fluminense
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense1 - 1Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Mirassol
HFluminense2 - 1Sao Paulo
HFluminense2 - 2Vitoria
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
AFluminense3 - 2Santos
HFluminense1 - 2Flamengo
AFluminense1 - 1Cortiba
HFluminense3 - 1Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fluminense have beaten Gremio in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
GRE
4
D
1
FLU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
4 - 5Fluminense
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
GRE
4
D
1
FLU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1
0 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics

Gremio's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Fluminense have conceded in each of their last 10 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for L. Ribeiro de Castro's side suggests that run should continue.

Gremio 16th Fluminense 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
GRE
FLU
30%
better
view stats
Games scored12
16
Failed to score6
2
Scored first6
11
Goals scored20
28
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
6%
better
GRE
FLU
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%

Gremio v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17934
WevertonC ViníciusF AmuzuC Pavón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK171
1
-
J Enamorado FWD172
3
-
C Vinícius FWD179
3
-
C Pavón DEF162
4
-
F Amuzu FWD1613
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID142
3
-
Tetê FWD142
-
E Mola MID1311
2
-
G Martins DEF112
3
-
J Nardoni MID1111
1
-
M Braithwaite FWD11
-
L. Pérez MID10
2
-
Wagner DEF9
2
1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF91
3
-
Willian  FWD8
-
F Balbuena DEF7
-
C Paulista DEF7
-
M Monsalve MID7
1
-
Marlon DEF611
1
-
Dodi MID6
2
-
J Pedro DEF5
-
M Rocha DEF4
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID2
1
1
Roger FWD2
-
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
T. Gonçalves MID1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18944
F FábioJ KennedyL AcostaL Acosta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK18
1
-
K Serna FWD1811
1
-
J Kennedy FWD1791
-
H Hércules MID163
1
-
J Freytes DEF15
3
-
J Savarino MID1532
2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF141
3
-
L Acosta MID1434
4
-
G Arana DEF1311
2
-
S Xavier DEF12
3
-
Ganso MID12
1
-
Martinelli MID121
3
-
R Castillo FWD1231
1
-
Y Soteldo FWD12
-
Renê DEF112
1
-
Guga DEF112
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1141
2
1
Alisson MID81
3
-
Ignacio DEF71
1
-
Nonato MID611
3
-
O Otávio MID5
1
-
G Cano FWD4
-
J Millán DEF3
1
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD3
1
-