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Gremio v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's Gremio side will have home backing in the Serie A on Wednesday morning, as Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense arrive at the Arena do Grêmio. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Gremio's next match is v S. Recife at 19:00 on Sunday 7th December
Fluminense's next match is v Bahia at 19:00 on Sunday 7th December

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Fluminense was on Wednesday 3rd December 2025

Brazillian Serie A

December 3rd 2025

Gremio 1	2 Fluminense

Andre Martins 54'	19' Y. Soteldo Martínez
	52' Y. Soteldo Martínez

	GRE FLU
Shots On	7 2
Shots Off	5 2
Corners	10
Possession	55% 45%
Fouls	13 10
Yellow/red cards	4/0 1/0

Gremio	Fluminense

T. Volpi W. Calvelo de Souza C. Pavón (E. Andrade dos Santos 75') M. Rocha Aquino M. Rodrigues Xavier D. Moreira Fagundes (A. Aravena Guzmán 68') Arthur G. Martins de Souza Santos A. da Rocha dos Santos (F. Cristaldo 56') Andre Martins (J. Maciel Libertino da Silva 76') W. Borges da Silva (G. Cuéllar Gallego 68')	F. Lopes Maciel (T. dos Santos 90') S. Brito I. da Silva Oliveira R. Rodrigues Martins J. Freytes M. Martinelli (H. Pereira do Nascimento 76') G. Santana (M. da Silva França 69') Y. Soteldo Martínez E. Stum (P. Chagas de Lima 69') L. Acosta (V. Moreira de Lima 76') K. Serna Jaramillo

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of Gremio and Fluminense no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gremio 45%	41/20	2/1
Draw 27%	11/5	11/5
Fluminense 28%	7/5	29/20
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Gremio 1-0 13%	15/2	13/2
Fluminense 1-0 9%	6/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 9%	7/1	6/1
Gremio 2-1 9%	11/1	9/1
Gremio 2-0 9%	14/1	11/1
Fluminense 2-1 6%	9/1	8/1
Fluminense 2-0 5%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	12/1
Gremio 3-1 4%	25/1	18/1
Gremio 3-0 4%	33/1	22/1
Fluminense 3-1 2%	20/1	16/1
Gremio 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Fluminense 3-0 2%	22/1	18/1
Fluminense 3-2 1%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	5/4	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	8/13	8/13
Home 1st Goal 51%	6/5	23/20
Away 1st Goal 43%	10/11	19/20
No 1st Goal 6%	7/1	6/1
BTTS - Yes 47%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - No 53%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 18%	11/2	19/4
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/2	4/1
Home/draw 72%	8/15	8/15
Away/draw 55%	4/11	2/5
Home/away 73%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	2/5	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	2/1	9/5
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	10/3	29/10
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	2/9	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	8/1	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7/1	6/1
Home DNB 64%	11/10	21/20
Away DNB 47%	4/6	7/10
Gremio win to nil 27%	4/1	-
Fluminense win to nil 16%	11/4	-
Gremio / Gremio 16%	4/1	18/5
Gremio / Fluminense 3%	28/1	22/1
Gremio / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Gremio 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Fluminense 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	16/5
Fluminense / Gremio 3%	33/1	25/1
Fluminense / Fluminense 21%	3/1	14/5
Fluminense / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Fluminense have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Fluminense have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Gremio	1 - 0	Santos
Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Gremio	0 - 3	Corinthians
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	2 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Gremio	0 - 4	Bahia
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Santos
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Gremio	3 - 2	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Fluminense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 2	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gremio have beaten Fluminense in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Gremio

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

1 / 6

GRE

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio	1 - 0
Gremio	2 - 1
Gremio	1 - 0
Gremio	1 - 0
	4 - 5	Fluminense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Fluminense

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

3 / 7

GRE

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Gremio

Goal Statistics

Fluminense's defensive record is very strong, L. Zubeldía's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Gremio makes sense in this context.

	Gremio 11th	Fluminense 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

GRE

FLU

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		26
Failed to score	11		10
Scored first	15		20
Goals scored	42		46
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		14
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+10%

GRE

FLU

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		21
Clean sheets	6		15
Conceded first	20		13
Goals conceded	48		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.6		0.9
KickOff rating		+22%

Gremio v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	5	4	10
T Volpi	André	C Pavón	Dodi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	32	2		2 -
M Rocha DEF	11			1 -
G Martins DEF	18	1		4 -
Wagner DEF	28		2	3 -
Marlon DEF	30	1	2	8 -
Arthur MID	13			3 1
Dodi MID	32		1	9 1
C Pavón MID	27		4	7 -
Willian MID	5	1	2	-
A. da Rocha dos Santos MID	30	1	2	5 -
André FWD	24	5	2	3 -
Subs
G Grando GLK	5			1 1
J Lucas DEF	10			1 -
W Kannemann DEF	20			8 1
Jemerson DEF	9	1		3 -
L Esteves DEF	9			1 -
V Lopes DEF	1			-
F Cristaldo MID	29		2	1 -
Camilo MID	15			1 -
G Cuéllar MID	16			2 -
Edenilson MID	30	3	1	6 -
A Guzmán FWD	22	3		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	4	8
André	André	C Pavón	Marlon

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
André FWD	5	15	2	2
Subs
Edenilson MID	3	11	1	5
A Guzmán FWD	3	6		2
T Volpi GLK	2	2
G Martins DEF	1	8		1
Marlon DEF	1	6	2	8
Willian MID	1	1	2	2
A. da Rocha dos Santos MID	1	13	2	5
Subs
Jemerson DEF	1	2
M Rocha DEF		1		2
Wagner DEF		6	2	2
Arthur MID		4		1
Dodi MID		2	1	2
C Pavón MID		8	4	8
Subs
J Lucas DEF				1
W Kannemann DEF		2		1
L Esteves DEF		1
F Cristaldo MID		7	2	4
Camilo MID		1		1
G Cuéllar MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	71	184
Marlon	Marlon	A. da Rocha dos Santos

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
Marlon DEF	1182	71	153
Wagner DEF	1112	28	99
Dodi MID	833	51	112
T Volpi GLK	810		19
Arthur MID	739	29	80
Subs
W Kannemann DEF	706	26	96
M Rocha DEF	554	37	66
Subs
Edenilson MID	548	18	78
G Martins DEF	548	25	71
C Pavón MID	523	24	71
Subs
F Cristaldo MID	472	23	79
G Cuéllar MID	471	29	53
A. da Rocha dos Santos MID	437	47	184
Subs
Jemerson DEF	336	18	43
L Esteves DEF	294	11	35
André FWD	259	12	54
Subs
Camilo MID	215	22	36
A Guzmán FWD	179	8	27
Willian MID	160	2	12
Subs
J Lucas DEF	157	13	27
G Grando GLK	117		5
V Lopes DEF	21	1	1

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	7	6	9
F Fábio	K Serna	K Serna	J Freytes

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	37			2 -
S Xavier DEF	28	4	1	4 -
Ignacio DEF	19			2 1
J Freytes DEF	32		1	8 1
Renê DEF	27	2		3 -
Nonato MID	19	2	1	3 -
Martinelli MID	32	3	2	6 -
K Serna MID	32	7	6	3 -
L Acosta MID	15	3	2	5 -
Y Soteldo MID	16	2	1	-
Everaldo FWD	27	2		2 -
Subs
Marcelo GLK				-
I Rabello DEF	4			1 1
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
F Cruz MID	21			7 -
Ganso MID	16			2 -
R. Silva de Almeida MID	6		1	1 -
T Santos MID	10			2 -
H Hércules MID	33	3	1	1 -
Lima MID	28	2	1	3 -
Keno FWD	18	1	2	1 -
J Lavega FWD	2			-
J Kennedy FWD	16	2	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	20	6	6
K Serna	K Serna	K Serna	K Serna

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Serna MID	7	20	6	6
S Xavier DEF	4	6	1	3
Martinelli MID	3	6	2	5
L Acosta MID	3	8	2	6
Subs
H Hércules MID	3	9	1
Renê DEF	2	2		3
Nonato MID	2	4	1	1
Y Soteldo MID	2	2	1	3
Everaldo FWD	2	10		3
Subs
Lima MID	2	6	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	2	9	1	1
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
Ignacio DEF		3		1
J Freytes DEF		5	1	1
Subs
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ganso MID				2
R. Silva de Almeida MID		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2085	53	144
J Freytes	Renê	K Serna

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	2085	23	108
Martinelli MID	1536	45	122
S Xavier DEF	1282	41	83
Renê DEF	1238	53	131
Subs
H Hércules MID	1026	53	108
F Fábio GLK	683		7
Ignacio DEF	678	24	73
K Serna MID	580	38	144
Subs
F Cruz MID	572	27	58
Guga DEF	568	30	64
L Acosta MID	512	17	68
Subs
Lima MID	500	18	68
Nonato MID	477	21	47
Subs
Ganso MID	475	11	36
Everaldo FWD	269	8	95
Y Soteldo MID	150	8	38
Subs
Keno FWD	139	10	48
T Santos MID	136	10	22
J Kennedy FWD	125		27
I Rabello DEF	119	2	8
R. Silva de Almeida MID	49	9	17
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6