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Gremio v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

the Arena do Grêmio is the setting on Sunday night, as Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio host Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense in the Serie A. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Gremio's next match is v A Mineiro at 20:00 on Sunday 16th August
Fluminense's next match is v Palmeiras at 20:30 on Saturday 15th August
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Fluminense was on Sunday 26th July 2026
Brazillian Serie A
July 26th 2026
Gremio 1
1 Fluminense
 
D. Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos 89'65' G. Vieira de Souza
 
GRE
FLU
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
9
2
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
GremioFluminense
 
W. Kannemann
G. Hamester Grando
G. Martins de Souza Santos
C. Pavón (D. Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos 69')
M. Rodrigues Xavier (P. Crisostomo Pinheiro 80')
J. Nardoni
E. Noriega (M. Braithwait 69')
M. Villasanti Rolón
F. Amuzu (J. Borges Cabral 78')
Tetê (J. Enamorado Gómez 78')
C. Alves Morais
F. Lopes Maciel
T. da Silva
(R. Rodrigues Martins 21') G. Arana Lopes
J. Freytes
M. Martinelli
(G. Cano 75') football iconG. Vieira de Souza
C. Rodrigues Gomes
(G. Santana 75') L. Acosta
(Y. Soteldo Martínez 87') H. Pereira do Nascimento
(I. da Silva Oliveira 86') K. Serna Jaramillo
A. Canobbio Graviz

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Gremio or Fluminense are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
39%
5/210/3
Draw
26%
11/510/11
3%
Fluminense
35%
11/102/1
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/17/1
Gremio 1-0
9%
9/117/4
Fluminense 1-0
9%
6/13/1
Gremio 2-1
9%
12/128/1
6%
Fluminense 2-1
8%
8/122/1
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
15/25/4
16%
Gremio 2-0
7%
16/118/1
Fluminense 2-0
6%
9/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/155/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
28/170/1
Fluminense 3-1
3%
18/160/1
Gremio 3-0
3%
40/155/1
Gremio 3-2
3%
40/1150/1
9%
Fluminense 3-0
2%
18/140/1
10%
Fluminense 3-2
2%
28/1125/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
11/109/1
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
7/101/25
3%
Home 1st Goal
49%
13/1012/5
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/58/5
No 1st Goal
4%
15/25/4
5%
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/1119/4
2%
BTTS - No
45%
10/111/8
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
13/222/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/313/2
BTTS - Away Win
17%
15/418/1
4%
Home/draw
65%
4/67/20
3%
Away/draw
61%
2/71/5
Home/away
74%
4/115/6
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/1113/5
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/51/4
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3/128/1
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/41/1000
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/160/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/121/200
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/190/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/200
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/144/7
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/113/10
16%
Home DNB
57%
6/45/4
1%
Away DNB
53%
1/24/7
3%
Gremio win to nil
20%
5/1-
Fluminense win to nil
18%
5/2-
Gremio / Gremio
16%
9/218/1
Gremio / Fluminense
3%
25/145/1
9%
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/133/1
Draw / Gremio
11%
13/214/5
Draw / Fluminense
15%
9/29/5
Draw / Draw
17%
4/129/20
4%
Fluminense / Gremio
3%
33/155/1
Fluminense / Fluminense
23%
5/214/1
5%
Fluminense / Draw
7%
12/133/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 3Corinthians
Gremio3 - 2Santos
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio1 - 2Mirassol
HGremio1 - 3Corinthians
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
Fluminense 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 1Fluminense
Mirassol1 - 0Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Santos2 - 3Fluminense
Cortiba1 - 1Fluminense
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
Remo0 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Ceara2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino4 - 2Fluminense
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense1 - 1Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Mirassol
HFluminense2 - 1Sao Paulo
HFluminense2 - 2Vitoria
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
AFluminense3 - 2Santos
HFluminense1 - 2Flamengo
AFluminense1 - 1Cortiba
HFluminense3 - 1Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Fluminense have beaten Gremio in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
GRE
4
D
1
FLU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
4 - 5Fluminense
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
GRE
4
D
1
FLU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense2 - 1
Fluminense1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1
0 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics
Gremio 14th Fluminense 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
GRE
FLU
26%
better
view stats
Games scored13
17
Failed to score6
2
Scored first6
11
Goals scored21
29
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
5%
better
GRE
FLU
view stats
Games conceded14
16
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded25
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

Gremio v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201034
C ViníciusC ViníciusC PavónC Pavón
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Grando GLK1
-
C Pavón DEF1913
4
-
G Martins DEF142
4
-
W Kannemann DEF3
2
-
Marlon DEF811
2
-
J Nardoni MID1411
2
-
M Villasanti MID3
1
-
E Mola MID1511
2
-
Tetê FWD162
-
C Vinícius FWD20101
4
-
F Amuzu FWD1913
-
Subs
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
Wagner DEF9
2
1
D Santos DEF21
1
-
L. Guedes de Souza DEF2
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF111
3
-
Dodi MID7
2
-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID3
1
1
M Braithwaite FWD14
-
M Nascimento FWD
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho FWD152
3
-
J Cabral FWD21
-
J Enamorado FWD182
3
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22445
F FábioA CanobbioL AcostaL Acosta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK22
1
-
Guga DEF132
2
-
T Silva DEF2
1
-
J Freytes DEF18
4
-
G Arana DEF1411
2
-
H Hércules MID203
2
-
Martinelli MID151
3
-
K Serna MID2112
1
-
L Acosta MID1834
5
-
A Canobbio MID1542
3
1
Hulk  FWD41
-
Subs
Marcelo GLK
-
S Xavier DEF14
4
-
Ignacio DEF1121
3
-
Renê DEF152
1
-
I Rabello  DEF1
-
J. Lima Fidelis DEF
-
O Otávio MID6
1
-
Ganso MID13
1
-
Nonato MID911
4
-
G Cano FWD7
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD3
1
-
Y Soteldo FWD15
-