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Sao Paulo v Athletico PR : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 01:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Sao Paulo side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Odair Hellmann's Athletico PR arrive at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Sao Paulo and Athletico PR have rarely been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
55%
81/1001/1
5%
Draw
25%
23/1023/10
Athletico PR
20%
31/1029/10
10%
Sao Paulo 1-0
14%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/219/4
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
7/17/1
7%
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/27/1
Athletico PR 1-0
7%
9/18/1
5%
Sao Paulo 3-0
6%
14/112/1
Athletico PR 2-1
5%
14/110/1
8%
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Athletico PR 2-0
3%
20/114/1
12%
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
33/125/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Athletico PR 3-1
1%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
23/2023/20
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/613/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/64/6
3%
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/46/4
7%
No 1st Goal
6%
15/27/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
19/2010/11
2%
BTTS - No
54%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/217/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/410/3
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/113/2
6%
Home/draw
80%
2/91/4
2%
Away/draw
45%
10/114/5
3%
Home/away
75%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/114/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/42/9
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/27/1
Home DNB
72%
4/112/5
4%
Away DNB
38%
2/117/10
10%
Sao Paulo win to nil
34%
2/1-
Athletico PR win to nil
12%
11/2-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
27%
2/12/1
4%
Sao Paulo / Athletico PR
3%
33/128/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/110/1
8%
Draw / Sao Paulo
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Athletico PR
10%
15/27/1
11%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Athletico PR / Sao Paulo
3%
25/120/1
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
12%
6/15/1
8%
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Sao Paulo have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Sao Paulo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo0 - 1Remo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
ASao Paulo1 - 2Fluminense
ASao Paulo2 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Athletico PR 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo1 - 2Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Athletico PR
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Bragantino1 - 1Athletico PR
Internacional0 - 1Athletico PR
Ferroviaria1 - 2Athletico PR
Goias0 - 1Athletico PR
Cortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
Remo2 - 1Athletico PR
Atletico Go3 - 0Athletico PR
Athletic Club0 - 3Athletico PR
Chapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 3Athletico PR
CRB0 - 1Athletico PR
Criciuma4 - 2Athletico PR
America 2 - 2Athletico PR
Volta Redonda3 - 2Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
AAthletico PR2 - 1Remo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
AAthletico PR0 - 1Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
HAthletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
HAthletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
HAthletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
AAthletico PR2 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
HAthletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 1Santos
AAthletico PR1 - 0Internacional
HAthletico PR1 - 0America
AAthletico PR2 - 1Ferroviaria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Athletico PR in 3 consecutive home league meetings
5
Sao Paulo have not lost to Athletico PR in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
4 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
3 / 7
SAO
4
D
2
APR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
0 - 1Athletico PR
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
SAO
4
D
2
APR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Athletico PR1 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 8th Athletico PR 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Athletico PR scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Sao Paulo have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Athletico PR have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Athletico PR
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
2%
better
SAO
APR
view stats
Games scored14
13
Failed to score4
5
Scored first8
9
Goals scored23
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
SAO
APR
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded20
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%

Sao Paulo v Athletico PR Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18637
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK18
1
-
Danielzinho MID1611
1
-
J Calleri FWD1661
3
-
Sabino DEF1511
1
-
D Bobadilla MID142
3
-
Luciano FWD1461
3
-
A Franco DEF13
3
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
Ferreira FWD134
2
-
Wendell DEF123
3
-
L Ramon DEF121
1
Cauly MID121
-
M Antônio MID122
1
-
G Tapia FWD11
1
-
P Maia MID10
1
-
Artur FWD1011
1
-
A Silva FWD10
3
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
L Moura FWD811
-
Luan MID7
1
-
R Arboleda DEF6
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF5
-
R Tolói DEF5
3
-
P. dos Santos FWD4
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF2
1
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID2
-
D. Ferreira MID2
1
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID1
-
Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181155
SantosK ViverosG BenavídezA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Santos GLK18
2
-
S Mendoza FWD185
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF17
5
-
K Viveros FWD17111
3
-
G Benavídez DEF155
4
-
B Zapelli MID151
4
1
J Portilla MID15
3
-
L Esquivel DEF1413
1
1
J Aguirre DEF141
1
-
E Anastacio MID1311
-
L Gustavo MID132
3
-
C Terán DEF12
-
J Jádson MID121
4
-
J. Machado Cruz MID123
2
-
L Derik DEF10
-
B. Ramos FWD9
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID8
1
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD8
-
A Costa MID7
2
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD5
1
-
L Léo DEF2
-
Dudu DEF1
-
I Lima FWD1
-