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Atlético Mineiro v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jul, 23:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

The Serie A is the focus for both Atlético Mineiro and Bahia on Tuesday night, as managers Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez and Rogério Mücke Ceni battle it out at the Arena MRV. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that A Mineiro and Bahia will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookmakers have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Mineiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
43%
21/206/5
Draw
24%
23/10
2%
11/5
Bahia
32%
12/55/2
Draw 1-1
11%
11/29/2
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
8/17/1
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
6/1
Bahia 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Bahia 1-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
A Mineiro 2-0
7%
9/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 0-0
5%
9/1
5%
8/1
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Bahia 2-0
5%
16/114/1
A Mineiro 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Bahia 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
A Mineiro 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Bahia 3-0
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
19/20
3%
19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
17/20
3%
3/4
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/113/4
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/4
2%
13/10
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
5%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
3/4
3%
3/4
BTTS - No
41%
1/1
3%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/3
4%
10/3
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/2
7%
11/2
Home/draw
68%
3/103/10
Away/draw
57%
7/104/6
Home/away
76%
1/37/20
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/7
3%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
10%
23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
12/5
3%
23/10
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/3
2%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/1
14%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/8
3%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
13%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
9/1
5%
8/1
Home DNB
60%
1/21/2
Away DNB
49%
6/47/5
A Mineiro win to nil
21%
11/4
7%
-
Bahia win to nil
15%
5/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
25%
12/523/10
A Mineiro / Bahia
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
A Mineiro / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Draw / A Mineiro
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Bahia
11%
13/27/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
Bahia / A Mineiro
4%
22/1
12%
22/1
Bahia / Bahia
15%
9/29/2
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
A Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
A Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro3 - 3Remo
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
A Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
A Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Santos
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
AA Mineiro3 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Cortiba
AA Mineiro0 - 1Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro4 - 0Chapecoense
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba3 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Remo4 - 1Bahia
Internacional0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Juventude1 - 1Bahia
Internacional2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Botafogo2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Ceara1 - 1Bahia
Mirassol5 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A Mineiro have not lost to Bahia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Bahia
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
AMN
4
D
2
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro1 - 0
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
17
9
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
AMN
1
D
2
BAH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
Bahia3 - 0
Bahia4 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because Bahia have conceded in each of their last 9 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.6 for E. Domínguez's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlético Mineiro's defensive record is very strong, E. Domínguez's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

A Mineiro 9th Bahia 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
AMN
BAH
17%
better
view stats
Games scored11
16
Failed to score7
1
Scored first9
7
Goals scored22
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
0%
better
AMN
BAH
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
0%

A Mineiro v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18325
EversonV HugoR LodiR Tressoldi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK181
-
R Lodi DEF172
2
1
T Cuello FWD1721
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF151
5
-
A Franco MID151
3
-
V Hugo MID1531
-
Bernard FWD1512
-
Reinier MID1411
1
-
M Cassierra FWD1421
1
-
Dudu FWD122
-
Natanael DEF112
1
J Alonso  DEF10
2
-
G Scarpa MID101
-
T Pérez MID10
2
-
Maycon MID102
-
A Minda FWD92
-
M. Cissé MID81
-
Lyanco DEF7
3
1
A Preciado DEF7
1
-
V Hugo DEF61
1
-
I Román DEF61
3
-
I Gomes MID5
1
-
C. Soares FWD5
-
K. Resende DEF4
-
Alexsander MID4
1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16746
E PulgaL JubaS SuayN Acevedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ademir FWD171
2
-
E Pulga FWD171
2
-
C Olivera FWD1611
1
-
W José FWD1631
1
-
L Juba DEF1571
2
-
S Mingo DEF15
3
-
J Lucas MID1522
2
-
N Acevedo MID15
6
-
Erick MID142
4
-
Everaldo FWD144
2
-
S Suay MID134
1
-
M Araújo FWD12
1
1
D Duarte DEF112
2
-
C Alexandre MID11
1
-
M Sanabria FWD1121
1
-
R Nestor MID10
2
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
Ronaldo  GLK8
1
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
Kanu DEF3
2
-
Iago DEF3
-
R. Gómez DEF3
1
-
J Costa DEF1
-
M Victor DEF1
-