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Sao Paulo v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Oct, 00:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Alexi Stival pays counterpart Dorival Silvestre Júnior a visit on Saturday morning in the Serie A, as their Santos and Sao Paulo sides go head to head at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Sao Paulo and Santos will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Dorival Silvestre Júnior or Alexi Stival has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.33 equating to about a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sao Paulo 44%	24/25	21/20 3%
Draw 26%	9/4 2%	23/10 3%
Santos 30%	11/4 1%	11/4 1%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	19/4
Sao Paulo 1-0 10%	6/1 8%	5/1
Sao Paulo 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Santos 1-0 8%	10/1 16%	15/2
Sao Paulo 2-0 8%	8/1	7/1
Santos 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 6%	7/1 6%
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	12/1
Santos 2-0 5%	18/1 12%	14/1
Sao Paulo 3-1 4%	16/1	14/1
Sao Paulo 3-0 4%	16/1	14/1
Santos 3-1 3%	33/1	25/1 13%
Sao Paulo 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Santos 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Santos 3-0 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	21/20 5%	23/20
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	3/4 5%	13/20
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	7/10
Away 1st Goal 45%	7/5 1%	6/4 2%
No 1st Goal 4%	8/1 6%	7/1 6%
BTTS - Yes 54%	10/11 2%	10/11
BTTS - No 46%	10/11 6%	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 20%	10/3 9%	17/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 5%	10/3 2%
BTTS - Away Win 15%	7/1	6/1
Home/draw 70%	1/4 3%	1/4 3%
Away/draw 56%	4/5	3/4
Home/away 74%	1/3	1/3 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/3 2%	4/11 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	12/5 6%	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	11/4 6%	29/10
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	2/7 3%	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6/1 13%	13/2 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/10 2%	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1 12%	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 6%	15/2
Home DNB 62%	4/9	4/9
Away DNB 48%	13/8	8/5
Sao Paulo win to nil 24%	12/5 5%	-
Santos win to nil 16%	11/2 8%	-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo 25%	9/4	21/10
Sao Paulo / Santos 3%	33/1	25/1
Sao Paulo / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Draw / Sao Paulo 16%	4/1	4/1 4%
Draw / Santos 10%	7/1	13/2
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	18/5 4%
Santos / Sao Paulo 4%	22/1 12%	20/1 11%
Santos / Santos 14%	5/1	19/4
Santos / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Sao Paulo have won 3 consecutive home league games

Santos have won 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Internacional
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino
Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cortiba
Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Athletico PR
Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Botafogo
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bahia
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
Sao Paulo	4 - 1	Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Internacional
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Juventude
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Bragantino
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Bahia
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Ceara

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cortiba
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Gremio
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Remo
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Corinthians
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Vitoria
H	Sao Paulo	4 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo	1 - 2	Santos
Internacional	2 - 3	Santos
Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Santos
Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Santos
Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
Athletico PR	2 - 1	Santos
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
Juventude	0 - 3	Santos
Internacional	1 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Bragantino	2 - 2	Santos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Santos	2 - 1	Remo
H	Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	1 - 0	Corinthians
H	Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Santos	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
A	Santos	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	1 - 3	Flamengo
H	Santos	2 - 0	Remo
A	Santos	0 - 0	Cruzeiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Sao Paulo have beaten Santos in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Sao Paulo

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

SAO

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo	2 - 1
Sao Paulo	4 - 1
Sao Paulo	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Santos
Sao Paulo	3 - 2
Sao Paulo	1 - 0

Santos

Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

2 / 8

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Santos	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Santos	1 - 0
Santos	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Sao Paulo 11th	Santos 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+42 Santos have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

SAO

STS

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		24
Failed to score	6		3
Scored first	14		17
Goals scored	32		41
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

better

SAO

STS

view stats

Games conceded	21		21
Clean sheets	6		6
Conceded first	13		9
Goals conceded	30		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+7%

Sao Paulo v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	8	3	7
Rafael	J Calleri	Wendell	E Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	26			1 -
Danielzinho MID	24	1	1	2 -
J Calleri FWD	23	8	1	6 -
Ferreira FWD	22	4		2 -
Luciano FWD	22	8	2	4 -
L Ramon DEF	20		2	2 1
Sabino DEF	20	1	1	1 -
M Antônio MID	20	1	2	1 -
Wendell DEF	18		3	4 -
P Maia MID	18	1		3 -
Artur FWD	18	2	2	1 -
D Bobadilla MID	16		2	3 -
A Silva FWD	16			5 -
Cauly MID	15	1		-
R Arboleda DEF	14			1 -
E Díaz DEF	13		1	7 -
C Soares DEF	8			1 -
R Tolói DEF	8			3 -
L Moura FWD	8	1	1	-
Iago DEF	6	1		-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	6		1	1 1
D. Ferreira MID	6			2 -
D Duarte DEF	5			-
P. dos Santos FWD	5			1 -
V Sá FWD	5		1	-
G. Domingos Santana FWD	4	1		-
L. Marques Alencar FWD	4			-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	3			-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	3			-
C Coronel GLK	1			-
P. Cardoso de Lima DEF	1			-
A Buta DEF	1			-
N. Bosshardt DEF	1			-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	18	3	7
J Calleri	J Calleri	Wendell	M Antônio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Calleri FWD	8	18	1	4
Luciano FWD	8	16	2	3
Ferreira FWD	4	9		3
Artur FWD	2	13	2	5
Danielzinho MID	1	2	1	2
Sabino DEF	1	3	1	1
M Antônio MID	1	3	2	7
P Maia MID	1	1
Cauly MID	1	5		1
L Moura FWD	1	3	1	1
Iago DEF	1	3		1
G. Domingos Santana FWD	1	4
L Ramon DEF		4	2	4
Wendell DEF		2	3	3
D Bobadilla MID		6	2	4
A Silva FWD		5
R Arboleda DEF		3
E Díaz DEF		2	1	1
R Tolói DEF		1
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF			1	1
D Duarte DEF		2
V Sá FWD		1	1
L. Marques Alencar FWD				2
P. da Silva Ferreira MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1162	36	125
Danielzinho	Sabino	J Calleri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1162	24	77
M Antônio MID	1145	30	61
Sabino DEF	873	36	99
P Maia MID	735	16	43
Rafael GLK	667	2	11
Wendell DEF	644	23	52
L Ramon DEF	600	29	89
R Arboleda DEF	558	29	65
D Bobadilla MID	544	25	38
Luciano FWD	536	23	76
Artur FWD	502	22	67
E Díaz DEF	429	33	67
R Tolói DEF	381	17	36
Cauly MID	369	10	36
Ferreira FWD	350	9	67
J Calleri FWD	315	12	125
D Duarte DEF	281	6	19
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF	266	5	14
Iago DEF	158	6	16
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	125	2	8
C Soares DEF	118	6	12
A Silva FWD	113	5	25
L Moura FWD	108	1	16
D. Ferreira MID	92	8	13
V Sá FWD	72	5	19
C Coronel GLK	37		2
G. Domingos Santana FWD	34	1	10
L. Marques Alencar FWD	33	1	5
P. da Silva Ferreira MID	28	2	7
P. Cardoso de Lima DEF	28	1	6
P. dos Santos FWD	16	1	1
A Buta DEF	10	3	5
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	3
N. Bosshardt DEF	2

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	11	3	8
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G Barbosa	G Barbosa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	24			5 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	24		2	3 -
L Peres DEF	22	1		4 1
B Rollheiser FWD	22	4	2	2 -
Rony FWD	22	1		4 -
W Arão MID	21	1		2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	21	5	1	6 1
I Vinícius DEF	20		1	4 -
G Escobar DEF	20		1	7 -
C Oliva MID	20	2	2	-
Thaciano MID	19	2		2 -
G Barbosa FWD	19	11	3	7 1
L Veríssimo DEF	15		1	3 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	15			5 1
J Schmidt MID	15			3 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
G Menino DEF	12	1		2 -
Neymar MID	12	6	3	7 -
Miguelito MID	11	1	2	1 -
G Caballero FWD	7			-
J. Ananias Bento DEF	6			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	3			1 -
Lima MID	3			-
Arthur MID	3			-
Rodinei DEF	2			-
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	1			-
Éverton FWD	1			1 -
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	18	3	7
G Barbosa	Neymar	G Barbosa	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	11	13	3	2
Neymar MID	6	18	3	3
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	13	1	5
B Rollheiser FWD	4	8	2	7
C Oliva MID	2	3	2	1
Thaciano MID	2	4		1
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
L Peres DEF	1	1
Rony FWD	1	6		2
W Arão MID	1	2
G Menino DEF	1	6
Miguelito MID	1	3	2	2
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		5	2	4
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
G Escobar DEF		2	1	1
L Veríssimo DEF		2	1	1
G. Henrique Pereira MID		2		1
J Schmidt MID		1
G Caballero FWD		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Rodinei DEF				1
Éverton FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
917	50	100
L Peres	I Vinícius	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	917	38	92
G Escobar DEF	907	47	100
I Vinícius DEF	819	50	91
G. Silva Bontempo MID	786	32	88
W Arão MID	750	33	64
L Veríssimo DEF	632	15	59
B Rollheiser FWD	626	12	41
C Oliva MID	610	34	64
Álvaro Barreal FWD	589	40	81
J Schmidt MID	538	24	49
Neymar MID	524	8	82
G Brazão GLK	443		13
G. Henrique Pereira MID	415	39	69
G Barbosa FWD	413	5	23
Rony FWD	318	21	81
G Menino DEF	289	14	44
Miguelito MID	192	19	37
Arthur MID	155		8
J. Ananias Bento DEF	151	14	19
Thaciano MID	133	11	37
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
Rodinei DEF	90	2	9
G Caballero FWD	71	3	9
D Diógenes GLK	65		1
A Duarte DEF	55		4
Éverton FWD	50		5
Lima MID	34	1	2
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	10	3	6
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1