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Vitória v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th Oct, 00:00 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vitória are in Serie A action on Thursday morning, as Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura attempts to outsmart Rafael dos Santos Lacerda and his Chapecoense side at the Estádio Manoel Barradas. Form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Vitoria and Chapecoense combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.66.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vitoria 51%	4/6 2%	-
Draw 25%	27/10 3%	-
Chapecoense 24%	7/2 10%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
Vitoria 1-0 12%	13/2 7%	-
Vitoria 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Vitoria 2-0 9%	7/1 7%	-
Chapecoense 1-0 8%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	10/1 10%	-
Chapecoense 2-1 6%	14/1 12%	-
Vitoria 3-1 5%	12/1	-
Vitoria 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	-
Chapecoense 2-0 4%	22/1 12%	-
Vitoria 3-2 2%	25/1	-
Chapecoense 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Vitoria 4-0 2%	25/1	-
Vitoria 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	17/20 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	19/20 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/7 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	8/5 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	4/5 6%	-
BTTS - No 50%	19/20 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	13/5 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	15/2 15%	-
Home/draw 76%	2/11 1%	-
Away/draw 49%	11/10 2%	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	2/7 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	11/4 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	11/5 6%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	4/11 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	5/1 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/8 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1 10%	-
Home DNB 68%	2/7 3%	-
Away DNB 42%	5/2 7%	-
Vitoria win to nil 29%	2/1 9%	-
Chapecoense win to nil 13%	7/1 11%	-
Vitoria / Vitoria 31%	13/8 1%	-
Vitoria / Chapecoense 2%	33/1 17%	-
Vitoria / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Vitoria 18%	7/2	-
Draw / Chapecoense 9%	17/2 5%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
Chapecoense / Vitoria 4%	20/1 9%	-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense 10%	7/1 6%	-
Chapecoense / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	0 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 1	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Remo
A	Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Chapecoense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
Gremio	3 - 1	Chapecoense
Cortiba	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
Bahia	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Athletico PR	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Internacional	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Volta Redonda	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Remo	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Goias	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Ferroviaria	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Amazonas	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Cuiaba	1 - 0	Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Chapecoense	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Chapecoense	1 - 3	Gremio
H	Chapecoense	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cortiba
A	Chapecoense	2 - 2	Santos
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	Flamengo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Chapecoense

Vitoria

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

0 / 3

Clean sheets

3 / 3

1 / 3

VIT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Vitoria	1 - 0

Chapecoense

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

VIT

CHP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chapecoense	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Vitoria

Goal Statistics

	Vitoria 13th	Chapecoense 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Vitoria will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

VIT

CHP

view stats

Games scored	19		19
Failed to score	9		8
Scored first	13		7
Goals scored	28		29
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+5%

26%

better

VIT

CHP

view stats

Games conceded	18		25
Clean sheets	10		2
Conceded first	13		19
Goals conceded	42		53
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+26%

Vitoria v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	9	5	8
L Arcanjo	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Erick FWD	26	3	5	2 -
Matheuzinho MID	25	3	2	4 -
L Arcanjo GLK	24		1	1 -
Caique MID	23			5 -
D. Tarzia FWD	23	2	2	2 -
E Martínez MID	22			8 -
Cacá DEF	21	1		5 1
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	21	9	1	2 -
Ramon DEF	20	2		5 -
L Cândido DEF	20		2	1 1
R Kayzer FWD	20	4	1	3 -
J. Silva Neves MID	19	1		4 -
G Baralhas MID	18	2	3	4 -
Jamerson DEF	16			1 -
Marinho FWD	14			2 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
F Fabrício FWD	11		1	-
T Pochettino MID	10			-
E Brítez DEF	9			2 -
Matheusinho DEF	8		1	1 -
Camutanga DEF	8			-
Walace MID	6			-
L Silva FWD	5			1 -
A. Santos FWD	4			1 -
F Silva DEF	3			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Alex Bruno FWD	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
Edu DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	27	5	10
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	9	27	1	1
R Kayzer FWD	4	9	1	1
Erick FWD	3	11	5	10
Matheuzinho MID	3	16	2	2
D. Tarzia FWD	2	10	2	2
Ramon DEF	2	5
G Baralhas MID	2	5	3	5
Cacá DEF	1	2		1
J. Silva Neves MID	1	6		1
Dudu MID	1	1
L Arcanjo GLK			1	1
Caique MID		1
E Martínez MID		2
L Cândido DEF		4	2	1
Jamerson DEF		2
Marinho FWD		2
N Mendes DEF			1	1
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
T Pochettino MID		3		1
E Brítez DEF		1
Matheusinho DEF		1	1	2
Camutanga DEF		1		1
Walace MID		1		1
A. Santos FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1
Alex Bruno FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
807	52	178
Caique	J. Silva Neves	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Caique MID	807	48	97
E Martínez MID	762	32	79
L Arcanjo GLK	692		6
Cacá DEF	681	18	55
J. Silva Neves MID	680	52	178
Erick FWD	654	15	96
Ramon DEF	647	35	72
L Cândido DEF	614	21	67
G Baralhas MID	538	28	64
Matheuzinho MID	515	13	83
Jamerson DEF	399	29	81
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
D. Tarzia FWD	216	19	68
E Brítez DEF	205	11	26
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	190	10	78
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
Matheusinho DEF	153	11	29
Walace MID	129	3	6
R Kayzer FWD	114	3	33
Marinho FWD	106	16	43
T Pochettino MID	81	13	18
Dudu MID	75	4	18
F Silva DEF	73	2	9
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	28	10	26
L Silva FWD	16	3	10
A. Santos FWD	16	5	8
Alex Bruno FWD	15		6
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	5	5	7
E Domachowski	Marcinho	G Augusto	E Domachowski

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Marcinho FWD	26	5	2	2 -
E Domachowski DEF	25	1		6 1
Camilo MID	23			7 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	21		1	5 1
Y Bolasie FWD	20	1	2	4 -
G Augusto MID	19	1	5	2 -
B Pacheco DEF	18	1	3	3 -
Rafael MID	14	2		2 -
A Paixão GLK	13			1 -
M Garcez FWD	13	2		-
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	11	1		2 -
B Matias MID	10			1 -
D. Antunes da Silva MID	9			-
Fernando DEF	8			2 -
K. Faria Gomes DEF	7			1 -
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	7	3		1 -
J Paulo DEF	6	1		2 -
Y Felipe MID	6		1	2 -
K Ramírez FWD	5		1	-
R Santos GLK	4			-
Heitor DEF	4		1	-
R Thyere DEF	4			-
M. Carvallho Vianna MID	4			-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	4			-
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	3			1 -
D Caicedo FWD	3			-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	2			1 -
Max MID	2			-
Dudu DEF	1		1	-
V. Carvalho Caetano DEF	1			3 -
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	1			-
B Tubarão FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	5	7
Marcinho	Marcinho	G Augusto	G Augusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marcinho FWD	5	11	2	4
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	3	7
Rafael MID	2	4
M Garcez FWD	2	5		1
E Domachowski DEF	1	3		2
Y Bolasie FWD	1	9	2	1
G Augusto MID	1	3	5	7
B Pacheco DEF	1	1	3	4
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	1	2
J Paulo DEF	1	1		1
Camilo MID		2		1
E. Souza da Cruz DEF		2	1	1
K. Faria Gomes DEF		1
Y Felipe MID		3	1
K Ramírez FWD		3	1	2
Heitor DEF			1
M. Carvallho Vianna MID		1
F. Rossi Donazar FWD		3
Dudu DEF			1	1
B Tubarão FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1238	52	97
E Domachowski	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Domachowski DEF	1238	22	79
Camilo MID	929	52	97
G Augusto MID	527	18	62
B Pacheco DEF	484	30	92
Marcinho FWD	452	21	81
A Paixão GLK	365		7
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	353	18	77
K. Faria Gomes DEF	330	5	26
J Paulo DEF	289	4	23
Rafael MID	265	14	20
Y Felipe MID	226	16	26
B Matias MID	197	10	16
Y Bolasie FWD	191	5	59
M Garcez FWD	162	11	58
Fernando DEF	136	4	20
Heitor DEF	111	6	9
R Thyere DEF	99	2	10
R Santos GLK	92		1
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	86	4	14
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	72		1
D. Antunes da Silva MID	70	8	13
M. Carvallho Vianna MID	63	2	7
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD	57	3	26
K Ramírez FWD	51	2	11
Max MID	39	1	2
B Tubarão FWD	39	4	7
V. Carvalho Caetano DEF	28	11	31
Dudu DEF	24	3	4
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	21	1	10
D Caicedo FWD	21	1	1
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	18	1	2
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	5	1	1