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Palmeiras v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 22:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Palmeiras and their manager Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira will be hoping for victory against Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side on Sunday night, as the pair meet at the Allianz Parque in the Serie A. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Palmeiras to win

A Serie A win on home turf for Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Palmeiras win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
60%
4/7
5%
-
Draw
22%
31/10
3%
-
Bahia
18%
9/2
10%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
11/2
13%
-
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
6/1
13%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/2-
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Palmeiras 3-1
6%
12/1-
Bahia 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Bahia 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
27%
-
Palmeiras 4-0
3%
22/1-
Palmeiras 4-1
3%
25/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Bahia 2-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Bahia 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
9/10
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
9/10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
9/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
13/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
22%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
40%
13/10
5%
-
Home/away
78%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
76%
2/9
2%
-
Away DNB
33%
3/1
7%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
35%
6/4
9%
-
Bahia win to nil
9%
8/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
34%
6/4
4%
-
Palmeiras / Bahia
2%
40/1
21%
-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Bahia
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Bahia / Palmeiras
4%
20/1-
Bahia / Bahia
9%
17/2
12%
-
Bahia / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
Palmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
APalmeiras0 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
APalmeiras2 - 0Athletico PR
HPalmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Bahia 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 2Bahia
Juventude2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Atletico Go1 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Vitoria2 - 2Bahia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
ABahia2 - 0Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Palmeiras have beaten Bahia in 4 consecutive home league meetings
6
Palmeiras have not lost to Bahia in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
PAL
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palmeiras3 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
PAL
1
D
4
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Palmeiras 1st Bahia 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294504/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
25%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
2
Goals scored7
4
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
69%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
5
Conversion rate against5%
19%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+69%

Palmeiras v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
WevertonJ PiquerezMurilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK2
-
Micael DEF2
-
J Piquerez DEF21
-
Murilo DEF2
2
-
A Giay DEF2
-
B Fuchs DEF2
1
-
R Veiga MID2
-
E Martínez MID2
-
F Anderson FWD2
-
J López FWD21
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2
1
-
F Torres FWD2
1
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
A Moreno  MID1
-
R Ríos MID1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1112
KanuGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Kanu DEF1
-
Iago DEF1
-
Gilberto DEF11
-
L Juba DEF11
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
S Mingo DEF1
-
C Alexandre MID1
-
R Nestor MID1
-
S Suay MID1
1
1
J Lucas MID1
1
-
Erick MID1
-
N Acevedo MID1
-
Ademir FWD1
-
L Rodriguez FWD1
-
E Pulga FWD1
-