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Palmeiras v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira welcomes Rogério Mücke Ceni to the Allianz Parque on Friday morning, as their Palmeiras and Bahia charges go head to head in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Palmeiras's next match is v Athletico PR at 23:30 on Saturday 17th October
Bahia's next match is v Flamengo at 22:30 on Sunday 18th October
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Palmeiras and Bahia was on Friday 9th October 2026
Brazillian Serie A
October 9th 2026
Palmeiras 1
0 Bahia
 
J. López 7'
 
PAL
BAH
Shots On
11
1
Shots Off
11
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
PalmeirasBahia
 

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Palmeiras or Bahia are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.49.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
52%
51/100
3%
-
Draw
24%
16/5
8%
-
Bahia
24%
19/4
10%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
8/1
20%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/2-
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
Bahia 1-0
6%
18/1
27%
-
Bahia 2-1
6%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Palmeiras 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
5%
11/1-
Bahia 2-0
4%
33/1
17%
-
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
-
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
20/1
9%
-
Bahia 3-1
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
20/1
9%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
13/10
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - No
44%
11/10
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
2/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
17/2-
Home/draw
76%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
48%
11/8
3%
-
Home/away
76%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
6/4
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
8/15
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
69%
1/5
2%
-
Away DNB
41%
10/3
8%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
27%
7/4-
Bahia win to nil
12%
10/1
10%
-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
36%
13/10
4%
-
Palmeiras / Bahia
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
18%
7/2-
Draw / Bahia
7%
11/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
Bahia / Palmeiras
4%
18/1
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
9%
8/1-
Bahia / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras4 - 1Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras0 - 0Internacional
Palmeiras1 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras1 - 0Chapecoense
Palmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
Palmeiras1 - 1Santos
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
Palmeiras2 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 1Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Mirassol
Palmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Santos
Palmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras4 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras0 - 0Gremio
HPalmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
HPalmeiras4 - 1Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 3Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras4 - 0Vitoria
HPalmeiras1 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Cortiba
HPalmeiras1 - 0Chapecoense
APalmeiras3 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
APalmeiras1 - 1Remo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
APalmeiras0 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras2 - 1Gremio
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR2 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 3Bahia
Vitoria0 - 2Bahia
Chapecoense3 - 3Bahia
Fluminense0 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Cortiba3 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Remo4 - 1Bahia
Internacional0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Juventude1 - 1Bahia
Internacional2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 2Athletico PR
HBahia2 - 1Remo
ABahia3 - 2Bragantino
HBahia3 - 2Internacional
ABahia2 - 0Vitoria
ABahia3 - 3Chapecoense
HBahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABahia0 - 0Fluminense
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 0Chapecoense
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
PAL
5
D
1
BAH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palmeiras3 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
PAL
2
D
4
BAH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0
1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

Palmeiras 2nd Bahia 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
5%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games scored24
25
Failed to score4
3
Scored first19
11
Goals scored47
43
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
34%
better
PAL
BAH
view stats
Games conceded16
20
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first5
15
Goals conceded21
35
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
9
Conversion rate against8%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+34%

Palmeiras v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299116
C MiguelJ LópezA Pereira M Freitas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miguel GLK29
3
-
A Pereira  MID29111
3
-
G Portillo DEF2741
3
-
M Freitas MID2721
6
-
J López FWD2794
2
-
Murilo DEF2521
4
1
L Evangelista MID252
2
-
M Maurício MID2571
2
-
A Giay DEF242
6
-
J Arias FWD2444
5
-
R Sosa FWD2242
4
-
F Anderson FWD2221
1
-
Khellven DEF211
4
-
A. Santana Marcolino DEF20
2
1
V Roque FWD1851
1
-
J Piquerez DEF154
2
-
E Martínez MID14
1
-
B Fuchs DEF9
-
A Barboza DEF811
3
1
J Dias DEF71
1
-
Paulinho FWD72
1
-
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID6
1
-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID4
2
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
1
-
M Lomba GLK1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281049
E PulgaL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Pulga FWD2932
5
-
Ademir FWD2811
2
-
N Acevedo MID2711
9
-
L Juba DEF26101
4
-
J Lucas MID2643
5
-
W José FWD2431
1
-
D Duarte DEF2331
4
-
R Nestor MID2314
4
-
Erick MID234
6
-
C Olivera FWD2212
3
-
Ronaldo  GLK21
2
-
S Suay MID204
1
-
C Alexandre MID19
1
-
M Araújo FWD181
2
1
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
R. Gómez DEF151
2
-
M Sanabria FWD1521
2
-
A Véliz FWD1131
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
M Victor DEF8
-
K. Furquim FWD7
1
-
J Costa DEF6
3
-
Kanu DEF6
2
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
-
M Moreno DEF1
-