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Palmeiras v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and Fernando Diniz Silva clash in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Palmeiras face Corinthians at the Allianz Parque. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Palmeiras's next match is v Athletico PR at 23:30 on Saturday 17th October
Corinthians's next match is v Vitoria at 00:00 on Tuesday 20th October
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Palmeiras and Corinthians was on Sunday 11th October 2026
Brazillian Serie A
October 11th 2026
Palmeiras 4
1 Corinthians
 
A. Barboza Ullúa 16'90' G. Vernes
A. Giay 45'
M. Lima Beltrão Oliveira (OG) 46'
A. Giay 51'
 
PAL
CTH
Shots On
8
3
Shots Off
8
6
Corners
7
3
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
17
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
PalmeirasCorinthians
 
C. dos Santos Pereira
A. Barboza Ullúafootball icon
A. Giayfootball iconfootball icon
A. Hoelgebaum Pereira
V. Roque Ferreira (R. Sosa 69')
J. Arias Andrade
G. Gómez Portillo (B. de Lara Fuchs 83')
J. Piquerez Moreira
M. Cerqueira Paim
L. Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (E. Martínez Toranza 69')
J. López (M. Magalhães Prado 69')
H. de Souza Nogueira
M. França Silva
G. de Abreu
football iconG. Vernes
(V. Coelho Santos 57') B. de Souza Bidon
(P. Garay da Silva 69') Y. Monteiro da Silva
M. Depay
(D. da Cruz Lopes 83') R. Almeida Melo
football iconM. Lima Beltrão Oliveira
(A. Rodrigues de Souza 57') A. Carrillo Díaz
(A. Ramalho Silva 69') A. Santos Dias

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Palmeiras and Corinthians combined during 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of it coming in. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
54%
14/25
7%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
10%
-
Corinthians
20%
6/1
12%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
14%
4/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
Palmeiras 2-0
11%
5/1
8%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
6/1
26%
-
Corinthians 1-0
8%
12/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
6%
10/1
10%
-
Corinthians 2-1
5%
22/1
10%
-
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
10%
-
Corinthians 2-0
3%
33/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
2%
22/1
10%
-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
33/1
31%
-
Corinthians 3-1
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/20
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/8
13%
-
BTTS - No
55%
8/15
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
16/1
31%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/10
3%
-
Away/draw
46%
13/10
8%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
19%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/2
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
43%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
40%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/1
26%
-
Home DNB
72%
1/6
1%
-
Away DNB
38%
4/1
11%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
34%
6/5
2%
-
Corinthians win to nil
12%
9/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
33%
6/4
9%
-
Palmeiras / Corinthians
2%
50/1
24%
-
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Palmeiras
21%
3/1-
Draw / Corinthians
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
14%
-
Corinthians / Palmeiras
3%
25/1
13%
-
Corinthians / Corinthians
7%
10/1-
Corinthians / Draw
4%
18/1-
Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Corinthians 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Palmeiras have beaten Corinthians in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
16
3
Games: Scored
8 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
0 / 8
PAL
6
D
2
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
PAL
2
D
4
CTH
3
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Corinthians have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.6 for A. Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.8, Corinthians look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Palmeiras haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Serie A games, and it could be a long night for F. Diniz Silva's men.

Palmeiras 2nd Corinthians 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Palmeiras have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
28%
better
PAL
CTH
view stats
Games scored25
22
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
11
Goals scored48
30
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
30%
better
PAL
CTH
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets13
10
Conceded first5
14
Goals conceded21
34
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
8
Conversion rate against8%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%

Palmeiras v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299116
C MiguelJ LópezA Pereira A Barboza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miguel GLK
-
Murilo DEF2521
4
1
G Portillo DEF2741
3
-
A Barboza DEF811
3
1
A Giay MID242
6
-
A Pereira  MID29111
3
-
L Evangelista MID
-
J Piquerez MID154
2
-
J Arias FWD
-
J López FWD2794
2
-
V Roque FWD1851
1
-
Subs
M Lomba GLK1
-
Khellven DEF211
4
-
A. Santana Marcolino DEF20
2
1
B Fuchs DEF
-
M Freitas MID
-
F Anderson MID2221
1
-
M Maurício MID
-
E Martínez MID14
1
-
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID6
1
-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID4
2
-
Paulinho FWD
-
R Sosa FWD2242
4
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26427
H SouzaA. Santos DiasMatheuzinhoG Paulista
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Souza GLK26
3
-
Matheuzinho DEF
-
G Paulista DEF221
7
-
G Henrique DEF2531
4
-
M Bidu DEF2431
5
-
A Carrillo MID221
4
-
Raniele MID252
7
-
A. Santos Dias MID2042
2
2
M Depay MID141
3
-
B Bidon MID2721
5
-
Y Alberto FWD1932
2
-
Subs
K. de Souza Camargo GLK4
2
-
J Rodrigues DEF51
1
-
A Ramalho DEF8
4
-
F Angileri DEF101
3
-
I. Machado DEF2
-
Allan MID
-
Charles MID5
1
-
D. da Cruz Lopes MID161
-
J Lingard MID171
2
-
Vitinho FWD102
1
-
P Raul FWD161
1
-
G. Silva Inácio FWD121
1
-