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Palmeiras v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 21:30 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras side will have home backing in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Fernando Diniz Silva's Corinthians travel to the Allianz Parque. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 53%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Corinthians 21%	-	-
Palmeiras 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-0 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	-	-
Corinthians 1-0 8%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-0 5%	-	-
Corinthians 2-1 5%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Corinthians 2-0 3%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-0 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	-	-
Palmeiras 4-1 2%	-	-
Corinthians 3-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	-	-
BTTS - No 55%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 79%	-	-
Away/draw 47%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 71%	-	-
Away DNB 39%	-	-
Palmeiras win to nil 33%	-	-
Corinthians win to nil 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Bragantino
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Juventude
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
Cortiba	2 - 1	Corinthians
Bragantino	0 - 2	Corinthians
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Corinthians
Athletico PR	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fortaleza	2 - 1	Corinthians
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Corinthians
Bragantino	2 - 1	Corinthians
Vitoria	0 - 1	Corinthians
Santos	3 - 1	Corinthians
Internacional	1 - 1	Corinthians
S. Recife	1 - 0	Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cortiba
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	2 - 0	Bragantino
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Remo
A	Corinthians	3 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Internacional
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras have beaten Corinthians in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Palmeiras

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

3 / 8

Clean sheets

5 / 8

0 / 8

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	2 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	1 - 0

Corinthians

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

PAL

CTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Corinthians	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Corinthians	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Corinthians have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.5 for A. Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.9, Corinthians look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Serie A games, and it could be a long night for F. Diniz Silva's men.

	Palmeiras 2nd	Corinthians 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-10 Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

27%

better

PAL

CTH

view stats

Games scored	24		21
Failed to score	4		7
Scored first	19		11
Goals scored	47		29
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+27%

28%

better

PAL

CTH

view stats

Games conceded	16		18
Clean sheets	12		10
Conceded first	5		13
Goals conceded	21		32
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		8
Conversion rate against	8%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		1
KickOff rating		+28%

Palmeiras v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	11	6
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	27			3 -
A Pereira MID	27	1	11	3 -
M Freitas MID	26	2	1	6 -
G Portillo DEF	25	4	1	2 -
J López FWD	25	8	4	2 -
M Maurício MID	24	7	1	2 -
Murilo DEF	23	2	1	4 1
A Giay DEF	23			5 -
L Evangelista MID	23		1	2 -
J Arias FWD	22	4	3	4 -
F Anderson FWD	21	2	1	1 -
Khellven DEF	20		1	3 -
R Sosa FWD	20	4	2	4 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	19			2 1
V Roque FWD	16	5	1	1 -
J Piquerez DEF	14		4	2 -
E Martínez MID	13			1 -
B Fuchs DEF	8			-
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
A Barboza DEF	6			3 1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	6			1 -
Paulinho FWD	6	2		1 -
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	4			2 -
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	11	8
J López	J López	A Pereira	A Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	8	22	4	6
M Maurício MID	7	20	1
V Roque FWD	5	15	1	1
G Portillo DEF	4	9	1	3
J Arias FWD	4	13	3	3
R Sosa FWD	4	8	2	2
M Freitas MID	2	4	1	5
Murilo DEF	2	6	1	2
F Anderson FWD	2	4	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	9	11	8
A Giay DEF		2		1
L Evangelista MID		1	1	1
Khellven DEF			1	2
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		2
J Piquerez DEF		2	4	3
E Martínez MID		2
J Dias DEF			1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1635	38	170
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1635	25	44
A Pereira MID	1254	28	69
Murilo DEF	1158	25	88
G Portillo DEF	1094	26	101
A Giay DEF	770	38	87
J Arias FWD	703	33	100
C Miguel GLK	588		21
M Maurício MID	553	19	53
J Piquerez DEF	505	21	40
J López FWD	459	25	170
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	446	27	53
L Evangelista MID	441	15	47
Khellven DEF	418	24	46
F Anderson FWD	332	28	59
B Fuchs DEF	317	12	20
E Martínez MID	313	11	34
A Barboza DEF	295	10	36
R Sosa FWD	249	4	69
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
V Roque FWD	101	12	63
Paulinho FWD	77		8
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	63		2
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	53	1	3
M Lomba GLK	27		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	3	6	8
H Souza	R Garro	R Garro	R Garro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Garro MID	26	3	6	8 -
B Bidon MID	25	2	1	4 -
H Souza GLK	24			3 -
G Henrique DEF	23	2	1	3 -
Matheuzinho DEF	23	1	2	5 1
Raniele MID	23	2		6 -
M Bidu DEF	22	3	1	5 -
Allan MID	21		1	4 1
A Carrillo MID	21		1	4 -
G Paulista DEF	20	1		6 -
M Pereira MID	20			2 -
A. Santos Dias MID	18	3	2	2 2
J Lingard MID	17		1	2 -
Y Alberto FWD	17	3	2	2 -
K César FWD	16	2	2	2 -
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	15	1		-
P Raul FWD	14	1		1 -
M Depay FWD	12	1		2 -
Z Labyad MID	11	1	2	1 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	11	1		-
F Angileri DEF	10	1		3 -
Vitinho FWD	8			-
P Milans DEF	7			-
A Ramalho DEF	7			4 -
K Guimarães FWD	6			-
J Rodrigues DEF	5	1		1 -
Charles MID	5			1 -
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	4			2 -
I. Machado DEF	2			-
A Santana MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	18	6	7
R Garro	R Garro	R Garro	R Garro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Garro MID	3	18	6	7
M Bidu DEF	3	4	1	3
A. Santos Dias MID	3	4	2	1
Y Alberto FWD	3	17	2	4
B Bidon MID	2	4	1	3
G Henrique DEF	2	8	1	1
Raniele MID	2	4		2
K César FWD	2	9	2	3
Matheuzinho DEF	1	5	2	3
G Paulista DEF	1	2
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	1	2		1
P Raul FWD	1	5
M Depay FWD	1	6		2
Z Labyad MID	1	1	2	3
G. Silva Inácio FWD	1	2
F Angileri DEF	1	1		1
J Rodrigues DEF	1	2
Allan MID		3	1	2
A Carrillo MID			1
M Pereira MID		1
J Lingard MID		3	1	1
Vitinho FWD		2
K Guimarães FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1125	43	128
G Henrique	Raniele	M Bidu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Henrique DEF	1125	23	97
G Paulista DEF	1033	15	64
Matheuzinho DEF	968	39	76
M Bidu DEF	950	35	128
R Garro MID	926	17	103
Allan MID	882	18	40
Raniele MID	784	43	121
B Bidon MID	774	30	116
H Souza GLK	620	1	2
A Carrillo MID	619	25	57
M Pereira MID	513	11	20
A Ramalho DEF	419	5	37
K César FWD	342	22	104
A. Santos Dias MID	282	23	60
F Angileri DEF	280	17	34
M Depay FWD	264		27
J Rodrigues DEF	261	6	21
J Lingard MID	246	6	17
Y Alberto FWD	238	7	55
P Milans DEF	144	9	24
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	133	3	19
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	115		1
Vitinho FWD	100	4	22
Z Labyad MID	89	3	9
Charles MID	78	10	19
I. Machado DEF	76		4
K Guimarães FWD	65	9	16
P Raul FWD	60	3	28
G. Silva Inácio FWD	42	10	15
A Santana MID	7		2