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Botafogo v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th Oct, 00:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

the Estádio Nilton Santos is the setting on Thursday morning, as Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Botafogo are visited by Pedro Emanuel dos Santos Martins Silva's Vasco da Gama in the Serie A. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Botafogo and Vasco d Gama's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
44%
17/10
23%
-
Draw
26%
12/5
3%
-
Vasco d Gama
30%
7/5
23%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Botafogo 1-0
10%
9/1
25%
-
Botafogo 2-1
9%
9/1
11%
-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Botafogo 2-0
8%
14/1
36%
-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
7%
17/2
14%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Botafogo 3-1
5%
20/1
11%
-
Botafogo 3-0
4%
28/1
38%
-
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
18/1
27%
-
Botafogo 3-2
3%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
-
Vasco d Gama 3-0
2%
22/1
32%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/1
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
10/11
13%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/6
5%
-
BTTS - No
46%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7/2
25%
-
Home/draw
70%
8/15
13%
-
Away/draw
56%
2/5
14%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/4
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/1
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/5
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/2
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
20%
-
Home DNB
62%
1/1
23%
-
Away DNB
48%
8/11
21%
-
Botafogo win to nil
24%
4/1
33%
-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
16%
7/2
18%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
18%
7/2
25%
-
Botafogo / Vasco d Gama
3%
25/1
10%
-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Botafogo
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
14%
5/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Vasco d Gama / Botafogo
3%
25/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
21%
3/1
20%
-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Botafogo 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Botafogo1 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo2 - 3Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 1Fluminense
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Botafogo2 - 1Santos
Botafogo3 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo1 - 2Remo
Botafogo2 - 2Internacional
Botafogo2 - 2Cortiba
Botafogo3 - 2Mirassol
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2S. Recife
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo2 - 2Santos
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 2Mirassol
HBotafogo3 - 2Gremio
HBotafogo1 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
ABotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
HBotafogo2 - 3Athletico PR
ABotafogo0 - 1Vitoria
HBotafogo1 - 1Fluminense
ABotafogo1 - 0Cruzeiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo2 - 1Santos
ABotafogo1 - 2Bahia
ABotafogo1 - 1Sao Paulo
HBotafogo3 - 1Corinthians
ABotafogo1 - 1A Mineiro
HBotafogo1 - 2Remo
HBotafogo2 - 2Internacional
ABotafogo4 - 1Chapecoense
HBotafogo2 - 2Cortiba
ABotafogo2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Fluminense1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras4 - 1Vasco d Gama
Bahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Internacional4 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
Corinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Remo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cortiba1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama5 - 0Cortiba
AVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Fluminense
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Cruzeiro
AVasco d Gama1 - 4Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama0 - 3Santos
AVasco d Gama0 - 0Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Vitoria
HVasco d Gama0 - 1A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 3Bragantino
AVasco d Gama1 - 4Internacional
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Athletico PR
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Flamengo
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Corinthians
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Remo
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Botafogo have beaten Vasco d Gama in 4 consecutive league meetings
4
Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Vasco d Gama
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
BOT
5
D
1
VDG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo3 - 0
Botafogo3 - 0
Botafogo2 - 0
Botafogo2 - 0
2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Botafogo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
9
12
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
BOT
4
D
1
VDG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
1 - 2Botafogo
0 - 2Botafogo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
0 - 4Botafogo
Vasco d Gama3 - 0
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
1 - 2Botafogo
Goal Statistics
Botafogo 12th Vasco d Gama 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Botafogo have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Vasco d Gama have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
16%
better
BOT
VDG
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score7
8
Scored first13
9
Goals scored41
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
7%
better
BOT
VDG
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first13
17
Goals conceded45
41
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+7%

Botafogo v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25956
A Telles DaniloA Telles N Ferraresi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Vitinho DEF2613
3
-
A Telles  DEF2535
4
-
?. Montoro FWD2515
5
-
A Cabral FWD2371
3
1
N Ferraresi  DEF211
6
-
Danilo MID2192
2
-
M Martins FWD214
2
-
C Medina MID201
4
1
Edenilson MID1832
3
-
L Jaume FWD1711
2
-
J Santos FWD161
2
-
K. Barria FWD1411
3
-
E. Justino DEF131
3
-
V. de Melo Moura MID131
5
-
M Ponte DEF121
4
-
J Herrera MID121
-
Allan MID12
3
-
M Marçal DEF11
4
1
K. Almeida Toledo FWD92
1
-
Danilo FWD81
1
-
G Batista GLK6
-
L Lemos DEF6
2
-
Warleson GLK4
1
-
L. Emanuel FWD31
-
Paulinho DEF2
-
T Soares FWD2
-
A Chaves DEF1
-
J Mejia DEF1
-
D Andrade MID1
-
H Ziyech FWD1
-
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27549
L JardimA GomezJ BebanzA Gomez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK27
1
-
R Renan DEF261
4
-
T Mendes MID2441
8
-
A Gomez FWD2453
9
-
David  FWD2232
-
T Tchê MID202
3
-
P Henrique DEF192
5
-
C Luz MID193
5
1
N Moreira FWD1911
3
-
L Piton  DEF181
-
J Bebanz DEF1824
3
-
J Rojas MID181
3
-
Cuiabano DEF1723
4
-
C Spinelli FWD171
-
C Cuesta DEF161
1
1
Brenner FWD1511
1
-
M Hinestroza FWD151
-
Adson FWD15
1
-
A Saldivia DEF121
3
-
R. de Souza Barros MID812
-
S Sosa  MID6
-
F Colidio FWD631
1
-
Jair MID5
-
J. Silva DEF4
-
L Freitas DEF31
1
-
B Duarte FWD311
-
A Lescano MID21
-
L. Zuccarello MID1
-