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Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 9th Oct, 00:00 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Athletico PR and their manager Odair Hellmann will be aiming to beat Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez and his Atlético Mineiro side on Friday morning, as the pair clash at the Arena de Baixada in the Serie A. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Athletico PR and A Mineiro have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
47%
1/1
5%
-
Draw
26%
9/4
2%
-
A Mineiro
27%
13/5
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Athletico PR 1-0
12%
6/1
8%
-
Athletico PR 2-1
9%
8/1-
Athletico PR 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
A Mineiro 1-0
9%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
6%
-
A Mineiro 2-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Athletico PR 3-1
4%
16/1-
A Mineiro 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Athletico PR 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
28/1-
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Athletico PR 4-1
2%
40/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
21/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
3/4
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/10
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
53%
8/11
4%
-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/4
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
65%
1/2
7%
-
Away DNB
45%
6/4
9%
-
Athletico PR win to nil
27%
5/2
8%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
15%
5/1
8%
-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
24%
12/5
6%
-
Athletico PR / A Mineiro
2%
33/1-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Athletico PR
17%
4/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
A Mineiro / Athletico PR
3%
25/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
14%
5/1
8%
-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Athletico PR 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR2 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
Athletico PR2 - 0Internacional
Athletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Athletico PR0 - 0Gremio
Athletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR2 - 1Santos
Athletico PR1 - 0America
Athletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
Athletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
Athletico PR1 - 1Avai
Athletico PR1 - 0Operario
Athletico PR2 - 0Vila Nova
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR2 - 1Bahia
AAthletico PR3 - 3Cortiba
AAthletico PR1 - 3Cruzeiro
HAthletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR3 - 2Botafogo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
AAthletico PR2 - 0Santos
AAthletico PR0 - 0Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 0Internacional
AAthletico PR2 - 1Sao Paulo
HAthletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
AAthletico PR2 - 1Remo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
AAthletico PR0 - 1Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
A Mineiro 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 0A Mineiro
Remo2 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras1 - 2A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama0 - 1A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Cruzeiro1 - 3A Mineiro
Cortiba2 - 0A Mineiro
Santos1 - 0A Mineiro
Chapecoense0 - 4A Mineiro
Fluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 0A Mineiro
Bragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
S. Recife2 - 4A Mineiro
Internacional0 - 0A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro1 - 1Chapecoense
HA Mineiro3 - 1Fluminense
AA Mineiro0 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro2 - 1Vitoria
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro3 - 0Gremio
AA Mineiro2 - 2Remo
AA Mineiro2 - 1Palmeiras
HA Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
AA Mineiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 1Botafogo
AA Mineiro3 - 1Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Cortiba
AA Mineiro0 - 1Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro4 - 0Chapecoense
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
APR
2
D
1
AMN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
Athletico PR1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Mineiro
0 - 1A Mineiro
0 - 1A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 0
1 - 2A Mineiro
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
APR
3
AMN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro1 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
2 - 3Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 0
0 - 2Athletico PR
0 - 1Athletico PR
A Mineiro3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Atlético Mineiro on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Athletico PR 3rd A Mineiro 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Athletico PR will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
A Mineiro have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.5
1
Attack rating
14%
better
APR
AMN
view stats
Games scored22
18
Failed to score6
9
Scored first15
14
Goals scored43
36
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
3%
better
APR
AMN
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded32
32
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Athletico PR v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281857
S MendozaK ViverosG BenavídezA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Mendoza FWD2851
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF261
7
-
K Viveros FWD26183
6
-
Santos GLK24
3
-
J Aguirre DEF241
3
-
G Benavídez DEF2215
6
-
L Gustavo MID223
4
-
J Jádson MID222
5
-
J. Machado Cruz MID2125
3
-
J Portilla MID20
4
-
L Esquivel DEF1925
1
1
E Anastacio MID1911
-
B Zapelli MID191
4
1
C Terán DEF16
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD144
1
-
L Derik DEF11
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD11
-
A Costa MID9
2
-
Gilberto DEF8
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID8
1
-
J. Silva Dantas de Oliveira DEF61
2
-
C. de Jesus Passos DEF61
-
K Vargas FWD613
-
Mycael GLK4
2
-
J. Rivaldo Pinto FWD41
1
-
L Léo DEF2
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23546
EversonT CuelloBernardR Tressoldi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK231
-
R Lodi DEF233
4
1
T Cuello FWD2352
2
-
Bernard FWD2324
-
M Cassierra FWD2132
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF202
6
-
V Hugo MID2041
1
-
A Franco MID201
5
-
Reinier MID1942
1
-
Natanael DEF182
1
Dudu FWD172
-
Maycon MID162
-
A Minda FWD1622
-
M. Cissé MID151
2
-
V Hugo DEF142
2
-
T Pérez MID14
2
-
G Scarpa MID131
-
A Preciado DEF111
4
-
K. Resende DEF9
1
-
Lyanco DEF9
3
1
I Gomes MID911
1
-
Alexsander MID8
1
-
V. Fernandes Chaves Teixeira DEF51
1
-
K Castaño MID5
1
-
C. Soares FWD5
-
G Delfim GLK4
-
Fred MID4
1
-
T Borbas FWD31
-