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Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez pays counterpart Odair Hellmann a visit on Friday morning in the Serie A, as their Atlético Mineiro and Athletico PR teams face each other at the Arena de Baixada. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

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Athletico PR's next match is v Palmeiras at 23:30 on Saturday 17th October
Atlético Mineiro's next match is v Cortiba at 22:30 on Saturday 17th October
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Athletico PR and A Mineiro was on Friday 9th October 2026
Brazillian Serie A
October 9th 2026
Athletico PR 2
2 A Mineiro
 
K. Calderón Vargas 8'27' B. Anício Caldeira Duarte
K. Viveros Rodallega 90'90' L. Silveira Neves Vojnović
 
APR
AMN
Shots On
10
9
Shots Off
13
5
Corners
10
3
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
2/1
 
Athletico PRA Mineiro
 

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Athletico PR and A Mineiro have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
47%
1/1
5%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
6%
-
A Mineiro
27%
13/5
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Athletico PR 1-0
12%
7/1
23%
-
Athletico PR 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Athletico PR 2-0
9%
9/1
11%
-
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1
29%
-
A Mineiro 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
-
Athletico PR 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
A Mineiro 2-0
4%
18/1-
Athletico PR 3-0
4%
16/1-
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Athletico PR 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
17/20
12%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
19/20
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
5/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
3/4
10%
-
BTTS - No
49%
1/1
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
13%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
53%
8/11
4%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/4
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/5
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/11
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/8
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
29%
-
Home DNB
65%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
45%
13/8
4%
-
Athletico PR win to nil
27%
5/2
8%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
15%
11/2-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
26%
11/5-
Athletico PR / A Mineiro
3%
28/1
15%
-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Athletico PR
17%
4/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
A Mineiro / Athletico PR
4%
22/1
12%
-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
14%
5/1
8%
-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Athletico PR 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
A Mineiro 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
APR
2
D
1
AMN
4
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
APR
3
AMN
5
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Atlético Mineiro on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Athletico PR 3rd A Mineiro 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Athletico PR will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
A Mineiro have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
APR
AMN
view stats
Games scored22
19
Failed to score6
9
Scored first15
15
Goals scored43
37
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
3%
better
APR
AMN
view stats
Games conceded20
21
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded32
32
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Athletico PR v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302157
S MendozaK ViverosJ. Machado CruzA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Mendoza FWD3051
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF281
7
-
K Viveros FWD28213
6
-
J Aguirre DEF251
3
-
Santos GLK24
3
-
L Gustavo MID244
4
-
J Jádson MID242
5
-
J. Machado Cruz MID2325
3
-
G Benavídez DEF2215
6
-
L Esquivel DEF2125
1
1
J Portilla MID21
4
-
E Anastacio MID2012
-
B Zapelli MID201
4
1
C Terán DEF17
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD165
1
-
L Derik DEF11
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD11
-
Gilberto DEF103
1
-
A Costa MID10
2
-
C. de Jesus Passos DEF81
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID8
1
-
K Vargas FWD723
-
Mycael GLK6
2
-
J. Silva Dantas de Oliveira DEF61
2
-
D. Rivas do Nascimento MID5
1
-
J. Rivaldo Pinto FWD51
1
-
L Léo DEF3
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24546
R LodiT CuelloBernardA Franco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lodi DEF253
4
1
Bernard FWD2544
-
T Cuello FWD2552
3
-
Everson GLK231
-
V Hugo MID2341
1
-
M Cassierra FWD2232
1
-
Natanael DEF212
1
Reinier MID2142
1
-
A Franco MID211
6
-
R Tressoldi DEF202
6
-
Maycon MID1921
-
M. Cissé MID181
2
-
Dudu FWD182
-
A Minda FWD1723
-
V Hugo DEF163
2
-
T Pérez MID15
2
1
G Scarpa MID131
-
A Preciado DEF121
4
-
I Gomes MID1211
2
-
Lyanco DEF111
3
1
K. Resende DEF10
1
-
Alexsander MID10
1
-
G Delfim GLK7
-
K Castaño MID7
2
-
V. Fernandes Chaves Teixeira DEF61
1
-
Fred MID6
2
-
C. Soares FWD5
-
T Borbas FWD521
1
-
L Duarte DEF2
-