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Santos v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th Oct, 23:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim leads his Flamengo charges to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A on Thursday night, with Alexi Stival's Santos the opponent. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Santos and Flamengo will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Alexi Stival or José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 78% probability.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 26%	31/10 5%	-
Draw 24%	13/5 3%	-
Flamengo 50%	19/25 3%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Flamengo 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Flamengo 1-0 10%	7/1	-
Flamengo 2-0 8%	17/2 6%	-
Santos 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Santos 1-0 7%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1 9%	-
Flamengo 3-1 5%	12/1 13%	-
Flamengo 3-0 5%	14/1 12%	-
Santos 2-0 4%	22/1 10%	-
Flamengo 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Santos 3-1 3%	33/1 17%	-
Flamengo 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Santos 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	3/4 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	21/20 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	7/5 1%	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/13 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	7/10 3%	-
BTTS - No 43%	21/20 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	13/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 24%	13/5 4%	-
Home/draw 50%	19/20 2%	-
Away/draw 74%	2/9 2%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/4 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	3/1 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2/1 6%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	2/5 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	9/2 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/7 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1 15%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11/1 9%	-
Home DNB 43%	2/1 9%	-
Away DNB 66%	4/11 3%	-
Santos win to nil 13%	7/1 14%	-
Flamengo win to nil 25%	12/5	-
Santos / Santos 12%	6/1 8%	-
Santos / Flamengo 4%	20/1 9%	-
Santos / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Santos 9%	8/1 6%	-
Draw / Flamengo 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
Flamengo / Santos 2%	33/1	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 29%	15/8 4%	-
Flamengo / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Flamengo have won 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 0	Remo
Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Santos	3 - 0	S. Recife
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Santos	0 - 1	Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Santos	2 - 1	Remo
H	Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	1 - 0	Corinthians
H	Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Santos	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
A	Santos	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	1 - 3	Flamengo
H	Santos	2 - 0	Remo
A	Santos	0 - 0	Cruzeiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo	0 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Mirassol	1 - 5	Flamengo
Internacional	1 - 1	Flamengo
Chapecoense	0 - 4	Flamengo
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Flamengo
Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A Mineiro	0 - 4	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
Bragantino	3 - 0	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Flamengo
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Flamengo
Mirassol	3 - 3	Flamengo
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
S. Recife	1 - 5	Flamengo
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
Fortaleza	1 - 0	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Remo
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	5 - 1	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Flamengo	4 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Cortiba
H	Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	4 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Santos

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

STS

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Flamengo
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	0 - 4	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Santos	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Flamengo

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

1 / 8

STS

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo	3 - 1
Flamengo	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	4 - 1
Flamengo	1 - 0
Flamengo	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Flamengo's defensive record is to be admired, J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Santos makes sense in this context.

Flamengo have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Santos on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Santos 8th	Flamengo 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+30 Flamengo have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

STS

FLA

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	24		26
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	17		22
Goals scored	41		55
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		18
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.7
KickOff rating		+16%

STS

FLA

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		16
Clean sheets	6		12
Conceded first	9		6
Goals conceded	40		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		11
Conversion rate against	15%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+35%

Santos v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	11	3	8
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G Barbosa	G Barbosa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	24			5 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	24		2	3 -
L Peres DEF	22	1		4 1
B Rollheiser FWD	22	4	2	2 -
Rony FWD	22	1		4 -
W Arão MID	21	1		2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	21	5	1	6 1
G Escobar DEF	20		1	7 -
I Vinícius DEF	20		1	4 -
C Oliva MID	20	2	2	-
Thaciano MID	19	2		2 -
G Barbosa FWD	19	11	3	7 1
L Veríssimo DEF	15		1	3 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	15			5 1
J Schmidt MID	15			3 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
G Menino DEF	12	1		2 -
Neymar MID	12	6	3	7 -
Miguelito MID	11	1	2	1 -
G Caballero FWD	7			-
J. Ananias Bento DEF	6			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	3			1 -
Lima MID	3			-
Arthur MID	3			-
Rodinei DEF	2			-
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	1			-
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-
Éverton FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	18	3	7
G Barbosa	Neymar	G Barbosa	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	11	13	3	2
Neymar MID	6	18	3	3
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	13	1	5
B Rollheiser FWD	4	8	2	7
C Oliva MID	2	3	2	1
Thaciano MID	2	4		1
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
L Peres DEF	1	1
Rony FWD	1	6		2
W Arão MID	1	2
G Menino DEF	1	6
Miguelito MID	1	3	2	2
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		5	2	4
G Escobar DEF		2	1	1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
L Veríssimo DEF		2	1	1
G. Henrique Pereira MID		2		1
J Schmidt MID		1
G Caballero FWD		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Rodinei DEF				1
Éverton FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
917	50	100
L Peres	I Vinícius	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	917	38	92
G Escobar DEF	907	47	100
I Vinícius DEF	819	50	91
G. Silva Bontempo MID	786	32	88
W Arão MID	750	33	64
L Veríssimo DEF	632	15	59
B Rollheiser FWD	626	12	41
C Oliva MID	610	34	64
Álvaro Barreal FWD	589	40	81
J Schmidt MID	538	24	49
Neymar MID	524	8	82
G Brazão GLK	443		13
G. Henrique Pereira MID	415	39	69
G Barbosa FWD	413	5	23
Rony FWD	318	21	81
G Menino DEF	289	14	44
Miguelito MID	192	19	37
Arthur MID	155		8
J. Ananias Bento DEF	151	14	19
Thaciano MID	133	11	37
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
Rodinei DEF	90	2	9
G Caballero FWD	71	3	9
D Diógenes GLK	65		1
A Duarte DEF	55		4
Éverton FWD	50		5
Lima MID	34	1	2
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	10	3	6
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	16	7	7
A Rossi	Pedro	S Lino	E Farfán

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	28			-
Pedro FWD	28	16	5	1 -
S Lino FWD	27	9	7	3 -
L Ortiz DEF	24	1	1	-
L Pereira DEF	23	2	1	6 -
J Carrascal MID	22	5	7	2 2
Jorginho MID	22	2	3	4 1
G Varela DEF	21	1	3	4 -
G Arrascaeta MID	21	3	4	2 -
B Henrique FWD	21	2	3	4 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	20		1	4 1
L Paquetá MID	19	5		3 -
Ayrton DEF	18		2	-
A Sandro DEF	18			5 -
E Farfán MID	18	2		6 1
G Plata FWD	16	2	3	2 -
L Araújo FWD	15	2	1	1 -
E Royal DEF	13		1	-
N Cruz MID	12			2 -
V Vitão DEF	9			2 -
Danilo DEF	9			1 1
S Ñíguez MID	9		1	-
J. Freitas FWD	3		1	-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	1			-
A Valencia FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	35	7	14
Pedro	Pedro	S Lino	S Lino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Pedro FWD	16	35	5	10
S Lino FWD	9	21	7	14
J Carrascal MID	5	16	7	9
L Paquetá MID	5	13		1
G Arrascaeta MID	3	13	4	6
L Pereira DEF	2	5	1
Jorginho MID	2	2	3	5
B Henrique FWD	2	6	3	5
E Farfán MID	2	3		1
G Plata FWD	2	14	3	6
L Araújo FWD	2	4	1	2
L Ortiz DEF	1	2	1	1
G Varela DEF	1	2	3	5
E. Fernandes Araújo MID			1	1
Ayrton DEF		5	2	4
A Sandro DEF				2
E Royal DEF		2	1	2
S Ñíguez MID			1	1
J. Freitas FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1691	43	111
L Pereira	S Lino	S Lino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	1691	24	73
Jorginho MID	1553	24	62
L Ortiz DEF	1513	15	62
E Farfán MID	1010	31	66
L Paquetá MID	888	37	105
S Lino FWD	875	43	111
G Varela DEF	867	17	71
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	780	14	27
G Arrascaeta MID	753	24	59
A Sandro DEF	739	25	67
A Rossi GLK	711		6
Ayrton DEF	607	19	48
J Carrascal MID	565	24	78
Pedro FWD	481	21	84
E Royal DEF	468	22	50
V Vitão DEF	426	1	15
Danilo DEF	422	7	12
G Plata FWD	382	26	68
L Araújo FWD	264	22	42
B Henrique FWD	195	10	53
N Cruz MID	149	7	22
S Ñíguez MID	144	8	11
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	63
J. Freitas FWD	9	1	6
A Valencia FWD	4