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Santos v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th Oct, 23:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Alexi Stival and José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim pit their wits in the Serie A on Thursday night, as Santos face Flamengo at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our expansive database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Santos and Flamengo will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Alexi Stival or José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
26%
7/2
15%
-
Draw
24%
13/5
3%
-
Flamengo
50%
19/25
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Flamengo 2-1
10%
15/2-
Flamengo 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Flamengo 2-0
8%
17/2
6%
-
Santos 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
-
Santos 1-0
7%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Flamengo 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Flamengo 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Santos 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Flamengo 3-2
3%
22/1-
Santos 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Flamengo 4-1
2%
28/1-
Santos 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/4
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
21/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/5
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - No
43%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
13/5
4%
-
Home/draw
50%
19/20
2%
-
Away/draw
74%
2/11
6%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
9%
-
Home DNB
43%
9/4
18%
-
Away DNB
67%
1/3
5%
-
Santos win to nil
13%
7/1
14%
-
Flamengo win to nil
25%
12/5-
Santos / Santos
12%
6/1
8%
-
Santos / Flamengo
4%
20/1
9%
-
Santos / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Santos
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw / Flamengo
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Flamengo / Santos
2%
33/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
29%
15/8
4%
-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Santos have won 5 consecutive league games
5
Flamengo have won 5 consecutive league games
Santos 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos2 - 1Cruzeiro
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Santos0 - 2Athletico PR
Santos2 - 2Chapecoense
Santos3 - 1Vitoria
Santos0 - 3Cortiba
Santos2 - 0Bragantino
Santos2 - 3Fluminense
Santos1 - 0A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0Remo
Santos1 - 2Internacional
Santos1 - 1Corinthians
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Santos1 - 1Fortaleza
Santos0 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASantos2 - 1Sao Paulo
ASantos2 - 1Remo
HSantos2 - 1Cruzeiro
ASantos3 - 2Internacional
ASantos1 - 0Corinthians
HSantos1 - 1Mirassol
ASantos3 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSantos0 - 2Athletico PR
HSantos2 - 2Chapecoense
ASantos1 - 2Botafogo
HSantos3 - 1Vitoria
ASantos2 - 3Gremio
HSantos0 - 3Cortiba
HSantos2 - 0Bragantino
ASantos1 - 1Palmeiras
ASantos2 - 2Bahia
HSantos2 - 3Fluminense
HSantos1 - 0A Mineiro
ASantos1 - 3Flamengo
HSantos2 - 0Remo
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo0 - 1Flamengo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Mirassol1 - 5Flamengo
Internacional1 - 1Flamengo
Chapecoense0 - 4Flamengo
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
A Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 2Flamengo
Bragantino3 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Mirassol3 - 3Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
S. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Fortaleza1 - 0Flamengo
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo2 - 1Bragantino
HFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
AFlamengo1 - 0Remo
HFlamengo2 - 0Mirassol
HFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
AFlamengo1 - 2Cruzeiro
AFlamengo5 - 1Mirassol
HFlamengo2 - 0Vitoria
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo1 - 1Sao Paulo
AFlamengo4 - 0Chapecoense
HFlamengo3 - 0Cortiba
HFlamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
AFlamengo1 - 1Athletico PR
AFlamengo1 - 0Gremio
HFlamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo4 - 0A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo2 - 1Fluminense
HFlamengo3 - 1Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
STS
2
D
1
FLA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos1 - 0
2 - 3Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
0 - 4Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
Santos4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Santos
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
STS
2
FLA
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo3 - 2
1 - 2Santos
Flamengo3 - 2
0 - 1Santos
Flamengo4 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's defensive record is very strong, J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Santos makes sense in this context.

Flamengo have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Santos on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Santos 8th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Flamengo have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
STS
FLA
15%
better
view stats
Games scored25
26
Failed to score3
2
Scored first17
22
Goals scored43
55
Avg. goals scored1.5
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
18
Avg. XG for1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
STS
FLA
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
16
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded41
23
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against15%
9%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+35%

Santos v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241338
G BrazãoG BarbosaG BarbosaG Barbosa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Brazão GLK24
5
-
G. Silva Bontempo MID242
3
-
Rony FWD231
4
-
L Peres DEF221
4
1
W Arão MID221
2
-
B Rollheiser FWD2242
2
-
Álvaro Barreal FWD2251
6
1
G Escobar DEF212
7
-
C Oliva MID2122
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF201
4
-
Thaciano MID202
2
-
G Barbosa FWD20133
7
1
L Veríssimo DEF161
4
-
G. Henrique Pereira MID16
5
1
J Schmidt MID15
3
-
G Menino DEF131
2
-
M Moisés FWD1321
-
Neymar MID1263
7
-
Miguelito MID1112
1
-
G Caballero FWD7
-
J. Ananias Bento DEF6
1
-
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF5
1
-
D Diógenes GLK4
1
-
Lima MID4
-
Arthur MID4
-
Rodinei DEF3
-
Éverton FWD21
2
-
A Duarte DEF1
1
-
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID1
-
P Coutinho MID1
-
M. de Sousa FWD1
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281677
A RossiPedroS LinoE Farfán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK28
-
Pedro FWD28165
1
-
S Lino FWD2797
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF2411
-
L Pereira DEF2321
6
-
J Carrascal MID2257
2
2
Jorginho MID2223
4
1
G Varela DEF2113
4
-
G Arrascaeta MID2134
2
-
B Henrique FWD2123
4
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID201
4
1
L Paquetá MID195
3
-
Ayrton DEF182
-
A Sandro DEF18
5
-
E Farfán MID182
6
1
G Plata FWD1623
2
-
L Araújo FWD1521
1
-
E Royal DEF131
-
N Cruz MID12
2
-
Danilo DEF9
1
1
V Vitão DEF9
2
-
S Ñíguez MID91
-
J. Freitas FWD31
-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF1
-
A Valencia FWD1
-