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Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th Oct, 01:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Thursday morning, as Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim and his Cruzeiro side host Dorival Silvestre Júnior’s Sao Paulo at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cruzeiro or Sao Paulo are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruzeiro
57%
81/100
3%
-
Draw
24%
13/5
6%
-
Sao Paulo
19%
16/5
3%
-
Cruzeiro 1-0
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Cruzeiro 2-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Cruzeiro 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
11%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Cruzeiro 3-0
6%
14/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
6%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
20/1-
Cruzeiro 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Cruzeiro 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Cruzeiro 4-1
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19/20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
17/20
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
51%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
7/1
11%
-
Home/draw
81%
2/9
2%
-
Away/draw
43%
10/11
2%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/2
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
11%
-
Home DNB
74%
4/11
2%
-
Away DNB
36%
2/1
8%
-
Cruzeiro win to nil
33%
9/4
8%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
10%
6/1-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
28%
2/1
4%
-
Cruzeiro / Sao Paulo
2%
33/1-
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Cruzeiro
18%
15/4-
Draw / Sao Paulo
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Sao Paulo / Cruzeiro
4%
22/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
12%
6/1
7%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Cruzeiro have won 3 consecutive home league games
3
Sao Paulo have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Cruzeiro 6TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro3 - 1Athletico PR
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Cruzeiro3 - 1Mirassol
Cruzeiro0 - 1Botafogo
Cruzeiro1 - 1Fluminense
Cruzeiro2 - 1Chapecoense
Cruzeiro1 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro2 - 0Gremio
Cruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
Cruzeiro3 - 0Vitoria
Cruzeiro0 - 0Santos
Cruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
Cruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Cruzeiro1 - 0Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
ACruzeiro1 - 2Santos
HCruzeiro3 - 1Athletico PR
ACruzeiro1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HCruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
ACruzeiro2 - 1Corinthians
HCruzeiro3 - 1Mirassol
ACruzeiro1 - 0Cortiba
HCruzeiro0 - 1Botafogo
ACruzeiro2 - 1Internacional
HCruzeiro1 - 1Fluminense
HCruzeiro2 - 1Chapecoense
ACruzeiro1 - 1Palmeiras
ACruzeiro2 - 1Bahia
HCruzeiro1 - 3A Mineiro
ACruzeiro1 - 0Remo
HCruzeiro2 - 0Gremio
HCruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
ACruzeiro1 - 4Sao Paulo
HCruzeiro3 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo 10TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
Chapecoense1 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Flamengo1 - 1Sao Paulo
Remo1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo1 - 2Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 1Chapecoense
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cortiba
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Athletico PR
ASao Paulo0 - 1Remo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
ASao Paulo1 - 2Fluminense
ASao Paulo2 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
2 / 5
CRU
3
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1 - 0
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Cruzeiro1 - 0
0 - 2Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
D
2
SAO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Cruzeiro have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.7 against Sao Paulo on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Cruzeiro 6th Sao Paulo 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-33
Sao Paulo have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Cruzeiro
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
12%
better
CRU
SAO
view stats
Games scored24
22
Failed to score4
6
Scored first14
15
Goals scored42
33
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
CRU
SAO
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded40
32
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%

Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23949
M PereiraM PereiraM PereiraM Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Henrique MID251
3
-
M Pereira MID2594
9
-
F Bruno DEF24
8
-
Gerson MID243
5
-
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD2344
5
1
K Jorge FWD2171
2
-
Fagner DEF204
3
-
L Romero MID1923
3
-
Wanderson FWD182
-
J Alves DEF17
4
-
L Silva MID17
5
-
O Otávio GLK15
2
-
L Villalba DEF1512
2
-
B Rodrigues FWD1412
-
N. Villareal FWD1431
-
William DEF13
2
1
J Marcelo DEF131
2
-
K. Takamura Correa FWD111
3
-
K. Moraes Silva DEF1021
2
-
G Rojas DEF8
1
-
L Sinisterra  FWD81
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID7
-
J. e Costa Cesco FWD6
-
Wesley FWD61
2
-
C Cássio GLK5
-
F. de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos MID41
2
-
L Rodriguez FWD42
1
-
Marquinhos FWD2
-
G Pec FWD1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26937
RafaelLucianoWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK26
1
-
Danielzinho MID2511
2
-
J Calleri FWD2381
6
-
Luciano FWD2392
5
-
Ferreira FWD224
2
-
M Antônio MID2112
1
-
Sabino DEF2011
1
-
L Ramon DEF202
2
1
Wendell DEF193
4
-
P Maia MID191
3
-
Artur FWD1922
1
-
D Bobadilla MID172
3
-
A Silva FWD16
5
-
R Arboleda DEF15
1
-
Cauly MID151
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
R Tolói DEF9
3
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
L Moura FWD811
-
Iago DEF71
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF61
1
1
D. Ferreira MID6
2
-
V Sá FWD61
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
G. Domingos Santana FWD51
-
P. dos Santos FWD5
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID4
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID3
-
C Coronel GLK2
-
P. Cardoso de Lima DEF2
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD2
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
A Buta DEF1
-