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Bahia v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 23:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rafael Silva Guanaes leads his Mirassol charges to the Arena Fonte Nova in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia waiting for them. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% probability of Bahia and Mirassol scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this Serie A clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
52%
5/8-
Draw
24%
11/4-
Mirassol
24%
15/4-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
Bahia 1-0
10%
7/1-
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Bahia 2-0
9%
15/2-
Mirassol 1-0
7%
14/1-
Mirassol 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1-
Bahia 3-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Bahia 3-0
5%
12/1-
Mirassol 2-0
4%
25/1-
Bahia 3-2
3%
22/1-
Bahia 4-1
2%
22/1-
Mirassol 3-1
2%
33/1-
Bahia 4-0
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10-
BTTS - No
46%
21/20-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/11-
Away/draw
48%
23/20-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Home DNB
68%
2/7-
Away DNB
41%
5/2-
Bahia win to nil
27%
2/1-
Mirassol win to nil
12%
8/1-
Bahia / Bahia
32%
8/5-
Bahia / Mirassol
2%
33/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Bahia
17%
15/4-
Draw / Mirassol
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Mirassol / Bahia
4%
20/1-
Mirassol / Mirassol
10%
7/1-
Mirassol / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Remo
Bahia3 - 2Internacional
Bahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Chapecoense
Bahia2 - 1Botafogo
Bahia1 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 2Santos
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Bahia2 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 2Athletico PR
HBahia2 - 1Remo
ABahia3 - 2Bragantino
HBahia3 - 2Internacional
ABahia2 - 0Vitoria
ABahia3 - 3Chapecoense
HBahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABahia0 - 0Fluminense
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 0Chapecoense
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Mirassol 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba1 - 2Mirassol
Flamengo2 - 0Mirassol
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Cruzeiro3 - 1Mirassol
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Mirassol
Athletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro3 - 1Mirassol
Sao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Internacional1 - 2Mirassol
Botafogo3 - 2Mirassol
Vitoria1 - 0Mirassol
Palmeiras1 - 0Mirassol
Remo2 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Fluminense1 - 0Mirassol
S. Recife1 - 2Mirassol
Corinthians3 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol2 - 0Botafogo
HMirassol2 - 2Vitoria
AMirassol2 - 1Cortiba
AMirassol0 - 2Flamengo
HMirassol1 - 1Palmeiras
AMirassol1 - 1Santos
HMirassol1 - 5Flamengo
AMirassol1 - 3Cruzeiro
HMirassol2 - 1Remo
AMirassol1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HMirassol2 - 1Gremio
AMirassol0 - 1Athletico PR
HMirassol1 - 0Fluminense
AMirassol1 - 3A Mineiro
HMirassol1 - 1Chapecoense
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Sao Paulo
AMirassol2 - 1Internacional
HMirassol1 - 2Bahia
HMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
Goal Statistics

Bahia have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Mirassol on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Bahia 5th Mirassol 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Mirassol have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Mirassol
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
19%
better
BAH
view stats
Games scored25
21
Failed to score3
7
Scored first11
12
Goals scored43
33
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
24%
better
BAH
view stats
Games conceded20
26
Clean sheets8
2
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded35
42
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+24%

Bahia v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26948
E PulgaL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Pulga FWD2732
5
-
N Acevedo MID2611
8
-
Ademir FWD2611
2
-
L Juba DEF2491
4
-
J Lucas MID2443
3
-
W José FWD2231
1
-
D Duarte DEF2131
4
-
R Nestor MID2114
3
-
Erick MID214
6
-
C Olivera FWD2012
3
-
Ronaldo  GLK19
2
-
S Suay MID194
1
-
M Araújo FWD181
2
1
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
C Alexandre MID17
1
-
M Sanabria FWD1421
2
-
R. Gómez DEF131
2
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
A Véliz FWD931
-
M Victor DEF7
-
K. Furquim FWD7
1
-
J Costa DEF6
3
-
Kanu DEF5
2
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
-
Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27657
J VictorC Eduardo I FormigaJ Aldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Victor DEF2721
3
-
I Formiga DEF2545
2
-
Reinaldo DEF2515
5
-
Walter GLK24
3
-
Alesson FWD244
3
-
W Machado DEF2311
4
-
Shaylon MID2112
2
-
C Eduardo  MID206
1
1
Denilson MID1911
6
-
Edson FWD183
5
-
J Aldo MID171
7
-
C Eduardo FWD1711
-
N Moura  MID16
6
-
A Luis FWD161
1
-
B Santos FWD113
-
L Oliveira DEF101
3
-
Chico MID9
-
Fernandinho FWD9
1
-
Negueba FWD92
4
-
Gabriel DEF8
2
-
V Luis DEF7
2
-
G Cazonatti MID7
1
-
D Borges DEF6
1
-
J. de Oliveira MID6
-
Wallisson MID6
1
1
G Mosquito  FWD61
-
A Muralha GLK3
2
-
C. Lecciolle Thomazella GLK2
-
Elias DEF2
1
-
Z Roberto FWD1
-