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Bahia v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 23:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rafael Silva Guanaes will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday night, as he takes his Mirassol side to the Arena Fonte Nova to visit Bahia and Rogério Mücke Ceni. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bahia 51%	-	-
Draw 25%	-	-
Mirassol 24%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Bahia 1-0 12%	-	-
Bahia 2-1 10%	-	-
Bahia 2-0 9%	-	-
Mirassol 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Mirassol 2-1 6%	-	-
Bahia 3-1 5%	-	-
Bahia 3-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Mirassol 2-0 4%	-	-
Bahia 3-2 3%	-	-
Mirassol 3-1 2%	-	-
Bahia 4-1 2%	-	-
Bahia 4-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	-
BTTS - No 49%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	-
Home/draw 76%	-	-
Away/draw 49%	-	-
Home/away 75%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 68%	-	-
Away DNB 42%	-	-
Bahia win to nil 29%	-	-
Mirassol win to nil 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia	2 - 1	Remo
Bahia	3 - 2	Internacional
Bahia	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Bahia	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Bahia	2 - 1	Botafogo
Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Bahia	3 - 0	Athletico PR
Bahia	2 - 0	Bragantino
Bahia	1 - 1	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	2 - 0	S. Recife
Bahia	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	2 - 3	Fortaleza
Bahia	2 - 1	Bragantino
Bahia	1 - 0	Internacional
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Remo
A	Bahia	3 - 2	Bragantino
H	Bahia	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Bahia	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Bahia	3 - 3	Chapecoense
H	Bahia	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	0 - 0	Fluminense
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Bahia	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Botafogo
A	Bahia	2 - 3	Cortiba
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
A	Bahia	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Mirassol
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba	1 - 2	Mirassol
Flamengo	2 - 0	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Mirassol
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Mirassol
Athletico PR	1 - 0	Mirassol
A Mineiro	3 - 1	Mirassol
Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Mirassol
Internacional	1 - 2	Mirassol
Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
Remo	2 - 2	Mirassol
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
S. Recife	1 - 2	Mirassol
Corinthians	3 - 0	Mirassol
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mirassol	2 - 0	Botafogo
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 1	Cortiba
A	Mirassol	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Santos
H	Mirassol	1 - 5	Flamengo
A	Mirassol	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Remo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Mirassol	1 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	1 - 2	Bahia
H	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino

Goal Statistics

Bahia have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Mirassol on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Bahia 5th	Mirassol 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-21 Mirassol have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

19%

better

BAH

view stats

Games scored	25		21
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	43		33
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+19%

24%

better

BAH

view stats

Games conceded	20		26
Clean sheets	8		2
Conceded first	15		16
Goals conceded	35		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+24%

Bahia v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	9	4	8
E Pulga	L Juba	R Nestor	N Acevedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Pulga FWD	27	3	2	5 -
N Acevedo MID	26	1	1	8 -
Ademir FWD	26	1	1	2 -
L Juba DEF	24	9	1	4 -
J Lucas MID	24	4	3	3 -
W José FWD	22	3	1	1 -
D Duarte DEF	21	3	1	4 -
R Nestor MID	21	1	4	3 -
Erick MID	21	4		6 -
C Olivera FWD	20	1	2	3 -
Ronaldo GLK	19			2 -
S Suay MID	19		4	1 -
Everaldo FWD	18	4		2 -
M Araújo FWD	18		1	2 1
C Alexandre MID	17			1 -
M Sanabria FWD	14	2	1	2 -
R. Gómez DEF	13	1		2 -
L Vieira GLK	9			-
A Véliz FWD	9	3	1	-
M Victor DEF	7			-
K. Furquim FWD	7			1 -
J Costa DEF	6			3 -
Kanu DEF	5			2 -
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	4			1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID	3			-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	18	4	8
L Juba	C Olivera	R Nestor	R Nestor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	9	17	1	3
J Lucas MID	4	7	3	3
Erick MID	4	7		1
Everaldo FWD	4	8
E Pulga FWD	3	15	2	2
W José FWD	3	8	1	3
D Duarte DEF	3	8	1	2
A Véliz FWD	3	6	1	1
M Sanabria FWD	2	4	1	1
N Acevedo MID	1	9	1	1
Ademir FWD	1	9	1	3
R Nestor MID	1	9	4	8
C Olivera FWD	1	18	2	5
R. Gómez DEF	1	1		1
S Suay MID		4	4	1
M Araújo FWD		2	1	2
M Victor DEF				1
K. Furquim FWD		1		1
J Costa DEF		1		1
Kanu DEF		1
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1628	66	152
N Acevedo	N Acevedo	N Acevedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Acevedo MID	1628	66	152
D Duarte DEF	1225	22	103
L Juba DEF	1040	32	72
S Suay MID	643	24	70
R Nestor MID	600	22	53
Ronaldo GLK	577	2	9
J Lucas MID	576	34	72
R. Gómez DEF	516	26	70
C Alexandre MID	515	12	29
Erick MID	474	35	86
E Pulga FWD	468	22	123
C Olivera FWD	430	16	82
Kanu DEF	300	3	11
Ademir FWD	265	19	74
W José FWD	247	5	38
L Vieira GLK	223		3
M Victor DEF	185	9	14
M Araújo FWD	183	15	36
J Costa DEF	161	13	32
A Véliz FWD	102	3	48
Everaldo FWD	84	11	44
M Sanabria FWD	75	5	27
K. Furquim FWD	69	5	19
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID	23	2	2
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	13	2	12
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	11	1	2

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	6	5	7
J Victor	C Eduardo	I Formiga	J Aldo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Victor DEF	27	2	1	3 -
I Formiga DEF	25	4	5	2 -
Reinaldo DEF	25	1	5	5 -
Walter GLK	24			3 -
Alesson FWD	24		4	3 -
W Machado DEF	23	1	1	4 -
Shaylon MID	21	1	2	2 -
C Eduardo MID	20	6		1 1
Denilson MID	19	1	1	6 -
Edson FWD	18	3		5 -
J Aldo MID	17		1	7 -
C Eduardo FWD	17	1	1	-
N Moura MID	16			6 -
A Luis FWD	16	1		1 -
B Santos FWD	11	3		-
L Oliveira DEF	10	1		3 -
Chico MID	9			-
Fernandinho FWD	9			1 -
Negueba FWD	9	2		4 -
Gabriel DEF	8			2 -
V Luis DEF	7			2 -
G Cazonatti MID	7			1 -
D Borges DEF	6			1 -
J. de Oliveira MID	6			-
Wallisson MID	6			1 1
G Mosquito FWD	6	1		-
A Muralha GLK	3			2 -
C. Lecciolle Thomazella GLK	2			-
Elias DEF	2			1 -
Z Roberto FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	5	12
C Eduardo	Alesson	I Formiga	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Eduardo MID	6	10		1
I Formiga DEF	4	10	5	5
Edson FWD	3	6		2
B Santos FWD	3	7		2
J Victor DEF	2	4	1	1
Negueba FWD	2	6		2
Reinaldo DEF	1	6	5	12
W Machado DEF	1	7	1	2
Shaylon MID	1	5	2	3
Denilson MID	1	3	1	3
C Eduardo FWD	1	2	1	3
A Luis FWD	1	2
L Oliveira DEF	1	2
G Mosquito FWD	1	4		1
Alesson FWD		15	4	6
J Aldo MID		5	1	2
N Moura MID		2		2
Chico MID		1
Fernandinho FWD		1		1
G Cazonatti MID		1
D Borges DEF		2
J. de Oliveira MID		3
Z Roberto FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1367	68	154
J Victor	I Formiga	I Formiga

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Victor DEF	1367	17	105
W Machado DEF	1241	34	111
Reinaldo DEF	877	23	73
I Formiga DEF	847	68	154
J Aldo MID	769	22	61
Denilson MID	749	21	51
N Moura MID	654	22	39
Walter GLK	565		4
Shaylon MID	520	9	24
Alesson FWD	458	41	118
C Eduardo MID	416	8	36
Negueba FWD	300	10	48
Gabriel DEF	289	7	31
L Oliveira DEF	246	8	18
Chico MID	224	6	19
Edson FWD	206	13	52
V Luis DEF	190	3	9
G Cazonatti MID	178	7	19
B Santos FWD	165	6	29
D Borges DEF	151	9	26
Wallisson MID	150	9	25
A Luis FWD	133	2	33
C Eduardo FWD	129	7	39
J. de Oliveira MID	109	8	19
Fernandinho FWD	95	11	30
G Mosquito FWD	94	6	16
C. Lecciolle Thomazella GLK	66
A Muralha GLK	49		1
Elias DEF	31	2	4
Z Roberto FWD			2