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Fluminense v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Sunday evening sees Luis Francisco Zubeldía’s Fluminense and Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Statistics for our tip of Fluminense to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Fluminense and Bahia was on Sunday 7th December 2025
Brazillian Serie A
December 7th 2025
Fluminense 2
0 Bahia
 
P. Chagas de Lima 75'
T. da Silva 83'
 
FLU
BAH
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
5
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
12
22
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
FluminenseBahia
 
F. Lopes Maciel
S. Brito
T. da Silvafootball icon
R. Rodrigues Martins
M. Martinelli (F. Bernal Cruz 87')
E. Stum (J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 60')
G. Santana (H. Pereira do Nascimento 60')
J. Freytes
L. Acosta (P. Chagas de Lima 74')
A. Canobbio Graviz
K. Serna Jaramillo (Y. Soteldo Martínez 60')
R. de Oliveira Strada
V. Soares dos Santos
S. Arias Naranjo
J. de Souza Oliveira
(R. Bertalia 67') É. de Barros Ribeiro
(T. Souza de Lima 46') A. da Silva Santos Junior
(C. Oliveira Souza 84') W. da Silva
(R. Barbosa Sousa 84') E. da Costa Farias
S. Ramos Mingo
Luciano
(C. Souza e Silva 67') N. Acevedo Tabárez

Best Tip: Fluminense to win

As training goes on this week and the Fluminense players prepare themselves for this fixture, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho has not been a successful away day for Bahia in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
65%
19/251/1000
Draw
21%
5/270/1
Bahia
14%
15/4750/1
Fluminense 1-0
13%
6/14/7
Fluminense 2-0
12%
15/22/11
Draw 1-1
10%
11/25/1
Fluminense 2-1
10%
15/29/1
Fluminense 3-0
8%
14/16/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/18/11
Fluminense 3-1
6%
14/140/1
Bahia 1-0
5%
12/111/2
Fluminense 4-0
4%
28/145/1
Bahia 2-1
4%
14/128/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/170/1
Fluminense 4-1
3%
28/1150/1
Fluminense 3-2
2%
25/1200/1
Bahia 2-0
2%
22/128/1
Fluminense 5-0
2%
50/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/207/2
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/202/11
Home 1st Goal
59%
8/1319/10
Away 1st Goal
37%
8/54/1
No 1st Goal
4%
9/18/11
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/58/1
BTTS - No
53%
19/201/20
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/417/2
BTTS - Draw
14%
7/260/1
BTTS - Away Win
7%
8/1100/1
Home/draw
86%
2/111/1000
Away/draw
35%
19/2055/1
Home/away
79%
2/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/105/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/24/7
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/525/1
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/31/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/280/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/200
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/300
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/1
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/13/4
Home DNB
80%
3/101/1000
Away DNB
29%
12/5100/1
Fluminense win to nil
39%
2/1-
Bahia win to nil
8%
7/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
29%
15/817/2
Fluminense / Bahia
3%
33/150/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / Fluminense
17%
15/429/20
Draw / Bahia
9%
17/24/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/27/4
Bahia / Fluminense
4%
22/133/1
Bahia / Bahia
11%
13/218/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Win / draw / win form
8
Fluminense have won 8 consecutive home league games
8
Fluminense have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
9
Bahia have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 5TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Fluminense have beaten Bahia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
6
Fluminense have not lost to Bahia in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
FLU
5
D
1
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
FLU
1
D
1
BAH
5
Goal Statistics
Fluminense 5th Bahia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
2
0.8
Attack rating
FLU
BAH
7%
better
view stats
Games scored27
31
Failed to score10
6
Scored first21
21
Goals scored48
50
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
5%
better
FLU
BAH
view stats
Games conceded22
24
Clean sheets15
13
Conceded first13
15
Goals conceded39
44
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Fluminense v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38769
F FábioK SernaK SernaJ Freytes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK38
2
-
S Xavier DEF2941
5
-
T Silva DEF252
1
-
J Freytes DEF331
8
1
Renê DEF282
3
-
Nonato MID2021
4
-
Martinelli MID3332
6
-
A Canobbio MID3042
6
-
L Acosta MID1632
5
-
K Serna MID3376
3
-
Everaldo FWD282
2
-
Subs
Marcelo GLK
-
Ignacio DEF19
2
1
Guga DEF1711
1
-
F Cruz MID22
7
-
Y Soteldo MID1722
-
Ganso MID171
2
-
R. Silva de Almeida MID61
1
-
T Santos MID10
2
-
H Hércules MID3431
1
-
Keno FWD1812
1
-
J Lavega FWD2
-
J Kennedy FWD1722
1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331168
S MingoW JoséAdemirS Mingo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK281
1
-
S Arias DEF21
3
-
Kanu DEF8
1
S Mingo DEF33
7
1
L Juba DEF3564
2
-
S Suay MID3124
4
1
N Acevedo MID321
6
-
J Lucas MID3431
3
2
Ademir FWD3026
7
-
W José FWD33116
3
-
E Pulga FWD2433
2
-
Subs
J Paulo GLK
-
Gilberto DEF231
6
-
G Xavier DEF13
4
-
Iago DEF151
2
-
Rezende MID11
-
Cauly MID2913
2
-
R Nestor MID225
5
-
Erick MID161
3
-
C Alexandre MID211
4
-
Kayky FWD2612
2
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD5
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD211
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds