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Fluminense v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Aug, 20:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Saturday night sees Luis Francisco Zubeldía’s Fluminense and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira’s Palmeiras go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of Fluminense and Palmeiras 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.22.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 31%	9/5 6%	-
Draw 27%	21/10	-
Palmeiras 43%	6/4 6%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Palmeiras 1-0 11%	13/2	-
Fluminense 1-0 9%	7/1 7%	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	9/1 9%	-
Draw 0-0 8%	7/1	-
Palmeiras 2-0 8%	11/1	-
Fluminense 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Fluminense 2-0 5%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Palmeiras 3-1 4%	20/1 9%	-
Palmeiras 3-0 4%	25/1	-
Fluminense 3-1 3%	25/1 13%	-
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Fluminense 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	5/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/13	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	11/10 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	20/21 3%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	7/1	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 49%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	11/2 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	9/2 8%	-
Home/draw 57%	1/2 4%	-
Away/draw 69%	2/5 3%	-
Home/away 73%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	2/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	10/3	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	7/1	-
Home DNB 49%	1/1 9%	-
Away DNB 61%	8/11 5%	-
Fluminense win to nil 17%	7/2 4%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 24%	3/1 8%	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 18%	15/4 10%	-
Fluminense / Palmeiras 3%	28/1	-
Fluminense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Fluminense 13%	11/2 8%	-
Draw / Palmeiras 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	-
Palmeiras / Fluminense 3%	28/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 21%	3/1 8%	-
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Palmeiras have won 3 consecutive away league games

Fluminense have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Palmeiras have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	3 - 2	Athletico PR
Fluminense	1 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Fluminense	3 - 2	Santos
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	3 - 2	Athletico PR
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	Remo
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Botafogo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
Cortiba	1 - 3	Palmeiras
Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Remo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Internacional	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Mirassol	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Juventude	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Internacional

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

0 / 8

FLU

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0

Palmeiras

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

3 / 9

Clean sheets

6 / 9

2 / 9

FLU

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	2 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Fluminense of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Palmeiras.

	Fluminense 4th	Palmeiras 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Fluminense have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	+46 Palmeiras have scored 46% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

FLU

PAL

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		20
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	12		16
Goals scored	31		38
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		18
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+22%

FLU

PAL

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		13
Clean sheets	4		8
Conceded first	9		4
Goals conceded	26		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		12
Conversion rate against	13%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+35%

Fluminense v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	9	4	5
F Fábio	J Kennedy	L Acosta	L Acosta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	22			1 -
K Serna FWD	21	1	2	1 -
H Hércules MID	20	3		2 -
J Freytes DEF	18			4 -
J Savarino MID	18	3	2	2 -
L Acosta MID	18	3	4	5 -
J Kennedy FWD	18	9	1	1
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	16		1	3 -
Renê DEF	15		2	1 -
Martinelli MID	15		1	3 -
A Canobbio FWD	15	4	2	3 1
Y Soteldo FWD	15			-
G Arana DEF	14	1	1	2 -
S Xavier DEF	14			4 -
Guga DEF	13		2	2 -
Ganso MID	13			1 -
R Castillo FWD	13	3	1	1 -
Ignacio DEF	11	2	1	3 -
Nonato MID	9	1	1	4 -
Alisson MID	8		1	3 -
G Cano FWD	7			-
O Otávio MID	6			1 -
J Millán DEF	4			1 -
Hulk FWD	4	1		-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	3			1 -
T Silva DEF	2			1 -
I Rabello DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	26	4	8
J Kennedy	J Kennedy	L Acosta	L Acosta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Kennedy FWD	9	26	1	3
A Canobbio FWD	4	12	2	3
H Hércules MID	3	10		1
J Savarino MID	3	14	2	5
L Acosta MID	3	9	4	8
R Castillo FWD	3	7	1
Ignacio DEF	2	2	1	1
K Serna FWD	1	9	2	2
G Arana DEF	1	5	1	1
Nonato MID	1	2	1	2
Hulk FWD	1	5
J Freytes DEF		2		1
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF			1
Renê DEF		3	2	1
Martinelli MID		4	1	2
Y Soteldo FWD		4		2
S Xavier DEF		2		3
Guga DEF			2	2
Ganso MID		2
Alisson MID		1	1
G Cano FWD		3		1
O Otávio MID		1
J Millán DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1202	35	82
J Freytes	Renê	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1202	18	57
Martinelli MID	939	18	43
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	784	19	63
Renê DEF	756	35	76
H Hércules MID	692	33	55
L Acosta MID	684	15	65
S Xavier DEF	673	22	58
G Arana DEF	577	13	30
J Savarino MID	572	8	39
Guga DEF	518	14	34
Ignacio DEF	455	13	45
A Canobbio FWD	448	21	69
F Fábio GLK	408	1	9
K Serna FWD	365	20	82
Nonato MID	359	16	28
Ganso MID	321	6	11
Y Soteldo FWD	296	3	33
J Kennedy FWD	222	11	57
O Otávio MID	213	4	10
Alisson MID	199	4	13
R Castillo FWD	190	6	48
J Millán DEF	174	4	14
T Silva DEF	68		3
Hulk FWD	64	4	16
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	29	2	6
I Rabello DEF	18	1	2
G Cano FWD	17		1

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	10	4
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	21			3 -
M Freitas MID	21	2	1	4 -
A Pereira MID	21	1	10	3 -
Murilo DEF	19	1	1	3 1
G Portillo DEF	19	3		-
M Maurício MID	19	4	1	2 -
L Evangelista MID	19		1	1 -
A. Andrade Elias FWD	19	4	2	3 1
J López FWD	19	6	3	2 -
R Sosa FWD	18	4	2	3 -
A Giay DEF	17			3 -
J Arias FWD	17	4	2	4 -
Khellven DEF	15			3 -
F Anderson FWD	15	2	1	1 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	14			-
J Piquerez DEF	10		3	-
E Martínez MID	10			1 -
V Roque FWD	10	3	1	1 -
B Fuchs DEF	7			-
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
Paulinho FWD	6	2		1 -
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	4			-
A Barboza DEF	3			1 -
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	3			2 -
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	3			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			1 -
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	10	5
J López	M Maurício	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	6	14	3	3
M Maurício MID	4	14	1
A. Andrade Elias FWD	4	13	2	2
R Sosa FWD	4	7	2	2
J Arias FWD	4	12	2	2
G Portillo DEF	3	6		2
V Roque FWD	3	8	1	1
M Freitas MID	2	3	1	5
F Anderson FWD	2	3	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	2
A Pereira MID	1	6	10	5
Murilo DEF	1	4	1	1
L Evangelista MID		1	1	1
A Giay DEF		2
Khellven DEF				1
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		1
J Piquerez DEF		2	3	2
E Martínez MID		2
J Dias DEF			1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1256	30	123
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1256	21	35
Murilo DEF	960	19	75
A Pereira MID	923	19	52
G Portillo DEF	767	18	68
J Arias FWD	586	29	85
A Giay DEF	504	30	60
C Miguel GLK	452		21
M Maurício MID	436	14	44
A. Andrade Elias FWD	381	26	110
Khellven DEF	369	21	41
J Piquerez DEF	369	15	30
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	324	20	37
J López FWD	311	17	123
E Martínez MID	274	10	32
B Fuchs DEF	254	9	13
L Evangelista MID	253	10	30
R Sosa FWD	239	4	58
F Anderson FWD	186	18	36
A Barboza DEF	138	6	16
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	78		8
V Roque FWD	41	8	35
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	41		1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	32	1	2
R. Fillipi Marinho de Souza FWD	27	3	9
M Lomba GLK	27		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1