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Vasco da Gama v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 20:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Santos are away on Sunday night, as manager Alexi Stival takes his men to visit Vasco da Gama and Pedro Emanuel dos Santos Martins Silva at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da in the Serie A. Below you'll find unique statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% chance of Vasco d Gama and Santos scoring a minimum of two goals in this Serie A clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vasco d Gama 47%	20/23	-
Draw 24%	12/5	-
Santos 29%	14/5	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 9%	6/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 8%	8/1	-
Santos 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Santos 1-0 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Santos 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Santos 3-1 3%	33/1	-
Santos 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Vasco d Gama 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 43%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	13/2	-
Home/draw 71%	1/4	-
Away/draw 53%	5/6	-
Home/away 76%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9/1	-
Home DNB 64%	2/5	-
Away DNB 46%	7/4	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 24%	12/5	-
Santos win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 27%	21/10	-
Vasco d Gama / Santos 2%	33/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Santos 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Santos / Vasco d Gama 4%	22/1	-
Santos / Santos 13%	11/2	-
Santos / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Santos have not won in 9 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vasco d Gama

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

3 / 5

VDG

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Santos
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Santos
	0 - 3	Santos

Santos

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

VDG

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos	2 - 1
	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Santos	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Santos	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Santos have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.6 for P. dos Santos Martins Silva's side suggests that run should continue.

	Vasco d Gama 18th	Santos 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

VDG

STS

29%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		18
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	7		12
Goals scored	23		29
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	13		9
Avg. shots per goal	11		6
Conversion rate for	9		17
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+29%

VDG

STS

18%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		16
Clean sheets	1		4
Conceded first	13		7
Goals conceded	31		33
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+18%

Vasco d Gama v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	4	6
L Jardim	A Gomez	J Bebanz	A Gomez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	20			1 -
R Renan DEF	20	1		1 -
A Gomez FWD	18	4	2	6 -
C Luz MID	17	3		4 1
J Rojas MID	17		1	3 -
T Mendes MID	17	3	1	6 -
N Moreira FWD	17	1	1	3 -
David FWD	17	2	2	-
J Bebanz DEF	14	2	4	3 -
L Piton DEF	14			-
T Tchê MID	14	1		2 -
C Spinelli FWD	14	1		-
Brenner FWD	14	1	1	1 -
Cuiabano DEF	13	2	3	2 -
P Henrique DEF	12		2	3 -
H Moura MID	11	1		-
C Cuesta DEF	10		1	1 1
A Saldivia DEF	10			3 -
Adson FWD	10			-
M Hinestroza FWD	9			-
J. Silva DEF	4			-
L Freitas DEF	2			-
J. de Paula Morais MID	2			-
L. Zuccarello MID	1			-
Jair MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	18	4	7
A Gomez	A Gomez	J Bebanz	J Bebanz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Gomez FWD	4	18	2	6
C Luz MID	3	3		3
T Mendes MID	3	7	1	5
David FWD	2	8	2	1
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	4	7
Cuiabano DEF	2	9	3	4
R Renan DEF	1	2		1
N Moreira FWD	1	4	1	2
T Tchê MID	1	2		1
C Spinelli FWD	1	11
Brenner FWD	1	6	1	1
H Moura MID	1	1
J Rojas MID		9	1	1
L Piton DEF		1		1
P Henrique DEF		1	2	4
C Cuesta DEF		1	1	2
A Saldivia DEF		1
Adson FWD		5		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1119	38	114
R Renan	Cuiabano	C Luz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Renan DEF	1119	31	76
T Mendes MID	959	17	81
C Luz MID	807	29	114
C Cuesta DEF	540	10	40
J Rojas MID	511	8	35
A Saldivia DEF	486	13	50
J Bebanz DEF	436	12	58
L Jardim GLK	409		4
Cuiabano DEF	402	38	89
L Piton DEF	392	16	31
N Moreira FWD	386	10	31
H Moura MID	373	6	20
T Tchê MID	366	10	28
A Gomez FWD	358	24	99
P Henrique DEF	275	23	60
Adson FWD	263	13	37
David FWD	194	10	49
Brenner FWD	144	8	29
C Spinelli FWD	72	8	41
M Hinestroza FWD	72	6	24
J. Silva DEF	44	6	17
Jair MID	28	2	2
J. de Paula Morais MID	16	2	5
L. Zuccarello MID	9		2
L Freitas DEF	2

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	7	2	6
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G. Silva Bontempo	Álvaro Barreal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	18			4 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	18		2	2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	17	4	1	5 1
L Peres DEF	16			3 1
B Rollheiser FWD	16	3		1 -
Rony FWD	16			3 -
I Vinícius DEF	15		1	4 -
W Arão MID	15			1 -
G Escobar DEF	14		1	5 -
C Oliva MID	14		2	-
L Veríssimo DEF	13			2 -
Thaciano MID	13	2		2 -
G Barbosa FWD	13	7	2	5 1
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
G Menino MID	10	1		2 -
J Schmidt MID	10			2 -
Miguelito MID	9	1	2	1 -
Neymar MID	9	6	2	6 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	9			3 1
A Frías DEF	8	1		1 -
Z Ivaldo DEF	5			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
Z Rafael MID	5	1	1	1 -
J. Ananias Bento DEF	4			1 -
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	4			-
Mayke DEF	3			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	2			1 -
G Caballero FWD	2			-
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	12	2	5
G Barbosa	Neymar	G. Silva Bontempo	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	7	7	2	2
Neymar MID	6	12	2	2
Álvaro Barreal FWD	4	10	1	1
B Rollheiser FWD	3	7		5
Thaciano MID	2	3		1
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
G Menino MID	1	5
Miguelito MID	1	3	2	2
A Frías DEF	1	3
Z Rafael MID	1	1	1	1
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		2	2	4
Rony FWD		4		1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
G Escobar DEF		2	1	1
C Oliva MID			2	1
L Veríssimo DEF		2
G. Henrique Pereira MID				1
Z Ivaldo DEF		2
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1
Mayke DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
598	36	72
L Peres	I Vinícius	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	598	21	61
I Vinícius DEF	591	36	71
G Escobar DEF	586	31	72
G. Silva Bontempo MID	546	23	64
L Veríssimo DEF	508	12	53
Álvaro Barreal FWD	462	28	62
W Arão MID	454	27	49
C Oliva MID	403	25	46
B Rollheiser FWD	400	7	24
Neymar MID	376	5	61
J Schmidt MID	347	13	31
G Brazão GLK	303		8
G Barbosa FWD	292	5	18
A Frías DEF	292	12	36
G. Henrique Pereira MID	257	21	38
G Menino MID	231	10	34
Rony FWD	227	16	64
Miguelito MID	185	18	31
Z Ivaldo DEF	128	5	15
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
Thaciano MID	112	11	35
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
Mayke DEF	96	2	9
Z Rafael MID	91	4	13
J. Ananias Bento DEF	80	13	17
A Duarte DEF	55		4
D Diógenes GLK	39
G Caballero FWD	27	1	3
R. de Souza Júnior FWD	18	2	3
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1