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Corinthians v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 23:30 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Fernando Diniz Silva and Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim pit their wits in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Corinthians face Cruzeiro at the Arena Corinthians. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of Corinthians and Cruzeiro 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 47%	6/5	-
Draw 27%	11/5	-
Cruzeiro 26%	21/10	-
Corinthians 1-0 13%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Draw 0-0 10%	15/2	-
Corinthians 2-0 9%	9/1	-
Cruzeiro 1-0 9%	15/2	-
Corinthians 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Cruzeiro 2-1 6%	11/1	-
Cruzeiro 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Corinthians 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	-
Corinthians 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Corinthians 4-0 1%	40/1	-
Corinthians 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	6/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	13/20	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	6/5	-
No 1st Goal 6%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 54%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	6/1	-
Home/draw 74%	4/11	-
Away/draw 53%	8/13	-
Home/away 73%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	2/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	15/2	-
Home DNB 66%	8/13	-
Away DNB 45%	6/5	-
Corinthians win to nil 29%	11/4	-
Cruzeiro win to nil 15%	4/1	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 22%	11/4	-
Corinthians / Cruzeiro 2%	33/1	-
Corinthians / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Corinthians 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Cruzeiro 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	-
Cruzeiro / Corinthians 3%	28/1	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 17%	4/1	-
Cruzeiro / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Corinthians have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Cruzeiro have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Corinthians have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

CTH

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Corinthians	2 - 1
Corinthians	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0

Cruzeiro

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

1 / 6

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Cruzeiro	3 - 0
Cruzeiro	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Cruzeiro	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Cruzeiro's defensive record is very strong, Artur Jorge's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Corinthians makes sense in this context.

	Corinthians 9th	Cruzeiro 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CTH

CRU

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		17
Failed to score	6		4
Scored first	9		11
Goals scored	22		27
Avg. goals scored	1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	0.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+14%

26%

better

CTH

CRU

view stats

Games conceded	12		16
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	8		9
Goals conceded	20		30
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate against	11%		17%
Avg. XG against	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+26%

Corinthians v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	3	6	5
H Souza	A. Santos Dias	R Garro	Raniele

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Garro MID	20	2	6	4 -
H Souza GLK	19			2 -
B Bidon MID	19	2	1	2 -
Raniele MID	18	1		5 -
G Henrique DEF	17			3 -
Matheuzinho DEF	17	1	1	4 1
A Carrillo MID	17		1	3 -
A. Santos Dias MID	17	3	2	1 2
Y Alberto FWD	17	3	2	2 -
M Bidu DEF	16	2	1	5 -
G Paulista DEF	16	1		4 -
Allan MID	16			4 1
M Pereira MID	14			1 -
J Lingard MID	11		1	2 -
Z Labyad MID	11	1	2	1 -
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	10	1		-
K César FWD	9	2	1	2 -
F Angileri DEF	8	1		3 -
P Raul FWD	8			1 -
Vitinho FWD	8			-
M Depay FWD	8	1		-
A Ramalho DEF	7			4 -
K Guimarães FWD	6			-
P Milans DEF	5			-
G. Silva Inácio FWD	5			-
Charles MID	4			-
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	2			2 -
J Rodrigues DEF	2	1		1 -
A Santana MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	17	6	5
A. Santos Dias	Y Alberto	R Garro	R Garro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Santos Dias MID	3	4	2
Y Alberto FWD	3	17	2	4
R Garro MID	2	14	6	5
B Bidon MID	2	3	1	2
M Bidu DEF	2	3	1	2
K César FWD	2	6	1
Raniele MID	1	2		1
Matheuzinho DEF	1	5	1	2
G Paulista DEF	1	2
Z Labyad MID	1	1	2	3
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	1	1
F Angileri DEF	1	1
M Depay FWD	1	2		2
J Rodrigues DEF	1	1
G Henrique DEF		4
A Carrillo MID			1
Allan MID		2		2
M Pereira MID		1
J Lingard MID		3	1	1
Vitinho FWD		2
K Guimarães FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
803	34	99
G Paulista	Raniele	M Bidu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Paulista DEF	803	15	60
G Henrique DEF	758	20	81
Matheuzinho DEF	709	28	56
R Garro MID	662	11	77
M Bidu DEF	657	28	99
B Bidon MID	566	23	94
Allan MID	538	11	29
Raniele MID	529	34	96
H Souza GLK	484	1	2
A Carrillo MID	453	21	42
A Ramalho DEF	419	5	37
M Pereira MID	367	10	17
A. Santos Dias MID	246	21	57
Y Alberto FWD	238	7	55
F Angileri DEF	214	9	22
J Lingard MID	184	4	13
M Depay FWD	167		16
K César FWD	148	16	58
P Milans DEF	119	7	19
J Rodrigues DEF	106	2	10
Vitinho FWD	100	4	22
Z Labyad MID	88	4	10
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	65		9
K Guimarães FWD	65	9	16
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	57		1
Charles MID	55	6	12
P Raul FWD	29		11
G. Silva Inácio FWD	18	5	6
A Santana MID	7		2

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	3	9
F Bruno	M Pereira	Fagner	M Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Bruno DEF	20			5 -
M Henrique MID	20			3 -
Gerson MID	19		2	3 -
M Pereira MID	18	5	2	9 -
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	17	2	2	5 1
Wanderson FWD	16	1		-
K Jorge FWD	15	5		1 -
Fagner DEF	14		3	3 -
L Romero MID	14	1	3	3 -
L Silva MID	14			5 -
J Alves DEF	13			2 -
N. Villareal FWD	12	3	1	-
B Rodrigues FWD	12		1	-
William DEF	11			2 1
K. Moraes Silva DEF	10	2	1	2 -
L Villalba DEF	10			1 -
O Otávio GLK	8			2 -
L Sinisterra FWD	8	1		-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	8	1		2 -
Chico FWD	7		1	-
J Marcelo DEF	6			-
C Cássio GLK	5			-
G Rojas DEF	3			-
Marquinhos FWD	2			-
K. de Almeida DEF	1			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	1			-
G Pec FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	3	5
M Pereira	M Pereira	Fagner	M Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Pereira MID	5	15	2	5
K Jorge FWD	5	12		3
N. Villareal FWD	3	8	1	1
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	2	12	2	4
K. Moraes Silva DEF	2	4	1	1
Wanderson FWD	1	4		1
L Romero MID	1	6	3
L Sinisterra FWD	1	3		1
K. Takamura Correa FWD	1	3		1
F Bruno DEF		3		2
M Henrique MID		1
Gerson MID		7	2	3
Fagner DEF			3	1
L Silva MID				1
J Alves DEF		1
B Rodrigues FWD		1	1
William DEF		2		2
L Villalba DEF		1
Chico FWD		2	1	1
G Rojas DEF				1
Marquinhos FWD				1
G Pec FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1196	27	105
F Bruno	Gerson	M Pereira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	1196	18	76
Gerson MID	983	27	96
M Pereira MID	761	13	105
L Romero MID	668	23	49
J Alves DEF	609	18	50
M Henrique MID	546	23	52
L Villalba DEF	507	3	17
Fagner DEF	356	13	36
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	323	13	56
William DEF	315	15	37
L Silva MID	311	10	17
K Jorge FWD	219	3	32
J Marcelo DEF	207	4	19
O Otávio GLK	188		2
K. Moraes Silva DEF	171	19	37
B Rodrigues FWD	143	7	32
Wanderson FWD	128	11	20
G Rojas DEF	102	7	14
L Sinisterra FWD	92	2	12
C Cássio GLK	86		3
K. Takamura Correa FWD	65	4	10
N. Villareal FWD	58	8	29
Chico FWD	36	3	12
Marquinhos FWD	27	1	6
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	7	1	2
G Pec FWD	6	1	4
K. de Almeida DEF	5