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Sao Paulo v Coritiba : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 01:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Sao Paulo and their boss Dorival Silvestre Júnior will be hoping for victory against Fernando Seabra and his Coritiba side on Sunday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in the Serie A. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Sao Paulo and Cortiba will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Dorival Silvestre Júnior or Fernando Seabra has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.33 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
52%
5/8-
Draw
25%
13/5-
Cortiba
23%
17/4-
Sao Paulo 1-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
10%
13/2-
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
Cortiba 1-0
7%
12/1-
Cortiba 2-1
6%
16/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
11/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Cortiba 2-0
4%
25/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
28/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
25/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
28/1-
Cortiba 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20-
BTTS - No
49%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/1-
Home/draw
77%
1/6-
Away/draw
48%
23/20-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2-
Home DNB
70%
1/4-
Away DNB
40%
11/4-
Sao Paulo win to nil
30%
13/8-
Cortiba win to nil
12%
8/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
32%
8/5-
Sao Paulo / Cortiba
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
10/3-
Draw / Cortiba
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Cortiba / Sao Paulo
4%
22/1-
Cortiba / Cortiba
9%
8/1-
Cortiba / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win form
8
Sao Paulo have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Sao Paulo 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Cortiba 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Sao Paulo have not lost to Cortiba in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2021
Sao Paulo
Cortiba
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
SAO
2
D
1
League games at Cortiba since 2020
Cortiba
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
SAO
1
D
3
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 12th Cortiba 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Cortiba scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Sao Paulo have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+25
Cortiba have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Cortiba
1.6
1
Attack rating
7%
better
SAO
COR
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score4
7
Scored first10
10
Goals scored26
27
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
SAO
COR
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first11
11
Goals conceded25
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

Sao Paulo v Cortiba Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21737
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK21
1
-
Danielzinho MID1911
1
-
J Calleri FWD1971
4
-
Luciano FWD1762
4
-
Sabino DEF1611
1
-
D Bobadilla MID162
3
-
Ferreira FWD164
2
-
Wendell DEF153
4
-
L Ramon DEF151
1
2
M Antônio MID1512
1
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
P Maia MID13
1
-
Cauly MID131
-
A Silva FWD13
4
-
Artur FWD1221
1
-
G Tapia FWD11
1
-
R Arboleda DEF9
1
-
C Soares DEF8
1
-
L Moura FWD811
-
Luan MID7
1
-
R Tolói DEF6
3
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF51
1
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF5
-
P. dos Santos FWD4
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
V Sá FWD3
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID2
-
D. Ferreira MID2
1
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID1
-
Cortiba Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21895
P RochaB LopesJosuéT Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Josué MID2119
2
1
V Paulista MID21
3
-
P Rocha FWD2151
1
1
B Melo DEF2011
2
1
J Lavega FWD2052
3
-
Jacy DEF191
2
1
T Coser DEF192
1
1
B Lopes FWD1981
3
-
S Gomez MID18
3
-
L Pires FWD1812
3
-
P Rangel GLK17
1
-
Tinga DEF152
-
T Santos DEF15
5
-
F Jonatan DEF15
-
Maicon DEF14
1
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF12
-
Wallisson MID12
3
-
W Oliveira MID10
-
Fabinho FWD7
1
-
P Silva GLK6
1
-
R Marques FWD6
2
Keno FWD6
-
Gustavo MID4
-
R Moledo DEF31
-
F Sobral MID3
-
B Ocampo FWD3
-
J. da Silva Almeida DEF1
-
R Rodrigues FWD1
-