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Chapecoense v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 15:00 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

Chapecoense and their boss Rafael dos Santos Lacerda will be looking to get one over on Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Arena Condá in the Serie A. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping , but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Chapecoense and Bahia will score at least 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Bahia coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chapecoense 29%	12/5	-
Draw 24%	12/5	-
Bahia 48%	1/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Bahia 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Bahia 1-0 8%	7/1	-
Bahia 2-0 7%	9/1	-
Chapecoense 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Chapecoense 1-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Bahia 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1	-
Bahia 3-0 4%	18/1	-
Chapecoense 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Bahia 3-2 4%	25/1	-
Chapecoense 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Chapecoense 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Bahia 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	17/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	19/20	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	5/4	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/11	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	7/10	-
BTTS - No 40%	21/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 25%	3/1	-
Home/draw 52%	8/11	-
Away/draw 71%	3/10	-
Home/away 76%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Home DNB 45%	6/4	-
Away DNB 64%	1/2	-
Chapecoense win to nil 13%	11/2	-
Bahia win to nil 22%	11/4	-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense 15%	9/2	-
Chapecoense / Bahia 4%	22/1	-
Chapecoense / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Chapecoense 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Bahia 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Bahia / Chapecoense 3%	28/1	-
Bahia / Bahia 25%	9/4	-
Bahia / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Chapecoense have lost 4 consecutive home league games

Chapecoense have not won in 9 consecutive home league games

Bahia have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Chapecoense

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

CHP

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Chapecoense	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Bahia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bahia

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

CHP

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Bahia	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bahia	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Bahia's defensive record is very strong, R. Mücke Ceni's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Chapecoense makes sense in this context.

Bahia's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Chapecoense have conceded in each of their last 14 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.7 for R. Mücke Ceni's side suggests that run should continue.

	Chapecoense 20th	Bahia 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CHP

BAH

36%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		19
Failed to score	8		2
Scored first	4		8
Goals scored	19		29
Avg. goals scored	1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	10		8
Conversion rate for	10		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+36%

CHP

BAH

32%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		15
Clean sheets	1		6
Conceded first	15		12
Goals conceded	41		25
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	15%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+32%

Chapecoense v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	2	3	6
E Domachowski	Marcinho	B Pacheco	E. Souza da Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Marcinho FWD	19	2	1	-
E Domachowski DEF	18	1		4 1
Camilo MID	17			4 -
Y Bolasie FWD	17	1	1	3 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	16		1	5 1
B Leonardo DEF	15			3 -
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	15			1 -
Rafael MID	14	2		2 -
G Augusto MID	13		1	1 -
B Pacheco DEF	12		3	2 -
Enio FWD	12	1		2 -
M Vinicius DEF	10		1	2 -
N Pessoa FWD	10	2	1	1 -
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	9	1		1 -
M Garcez FWD	8			-
V Becker DEF	7			2 -
A Paixão GLK	6			-
J Paulo DEF	6	1		2 -
D. Antunes da Silva MID	6			-
R Santos GLK	4			-
R Thyere DEF	4			-
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	3			1 -
B Matias MID	3			1 -
K Ramírez FWD	3			-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	2			1 -
Max MID	1			-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	3	4
Marcinho	Y Bolasie	B Pacheco	Enio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marcinho FWD	2	7	1
Rafael MID	2	4
N Pessoa FWD	2	5	1
E Domachowski DEF	1	3		2
Y Bolasie FWD	1	9	1
Enio FWD	1	5		4
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	1	2
J Paulo DEF	1	1		1
Camilo MID		2		1
E. Souza da Cruz DEF		2	1	1
B Leonardo DEF		1		1
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD		2		1
G Augusto MID		2	1	2
B Pacheco DEF			3	3
M Vinicius DEF			1	1
M Garcez FWD		1		1
K Ramírez FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
849	39	76
E Domachowski	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Domachowski DEF	849	15	57
Camilo MID	684	39	76
B Leonardo DEF	662	13	58
B Pacheco DEF	346	19	63
Marcinho FWD	290	16	55
J Paulo DEF	289	4	22
G Augusto MID	283	9	39
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	278	13	61
Enio FWD	270	3	44
Rafael MID	266	14	20
V Becker DEF	223	11	31
M Vinicius DEF	204	5	17
Y Bolasie FWD	176	3	52
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD	154	6	30
A Paixão GLK	139		2
R Thyere DEF	99	2	10
R Santos GLK	92		1
M Garcez FWD	73	5	29
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	72		1
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	65	3	11
D. Antunes da Silva MID	56	6	11
B Matias MID	53	4	6
N Pessoa FWD	45	5	16
Max MID	26	2	2
K Ramírez FWD	25		4
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	18	1	2
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	5	1	1

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	7	4	6
E Pulga	L Juba	S Suay	N Acevedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Ademir FWD	21	1	1	1 -
E Pulga FWD	21		1	3 -
W José FWD	20	3	1	1 -
S Mingo DEF	19			3 -
N Acevedo MID	19			6 -
J Lucas MID	18	2	2	2 -
L Juba DEF	17	7	1	3 -
S Suay MID	17		4	1 -
Erick MID	16	2		4 -
C Olivera FWD	16	1	1	1 -
Everaldo FWD	15	4		2 -
D Duarte DEF	14	3	1	3 -
R Nestor MID	14	1	2	2 -
M Araújo FWD	13			1 1
Ronaldo GLK	12			2 -
M Sanabria FWD	12	2	1	1 -
C Alexandre MID	11			1 -
L Vieira GLK	9			-
R. Gómez DEF	7	1		1 -
Iago DEF	4			-
J Costa DEF	4			3 -
M Victor DEF	4			-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	4			1
Kanu DEF	3			2 -
A Véliz FWD	2			-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	4	3
L Juba	C Olivera	S Suay	W José

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	7	12	1	1
Everaldo FWD	4	7
W José FWD	3	8	1	3
D Duarte DEF	3	7	1	1
J Lucas MID	2	5	2	3
Erick MID	2	5
M Sanabria FWD	2	4	1	1
Ademir FWD	1	8	1	2
C Olivera FWD	1	14	1	2
R Nestor MID	1	4	2	3
R. Gómez DEF	1	1
E Pulga FWD		7	1	1
S Mingo DEF		5		1
N Acevedo MID		8		1
S Suay MID		4	4	1
M Araújo FWD		1
Iago DEF				2
J Costa DEF		1
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD		1
A Véliz FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1208	48	112
N Acevedo	N Acevedo	N Acevedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Acevedo MID	1208	48	112
S Mingo DEF	944	12	53
D Duarte DEF	779	17	72
L Juba DEF	709	20	45
S Suay MID	621	24	69
J Lucas MID	465	29	59
Erick MID	391	21	62
C Alexandre MID	390	11	26
R Nestor MID	366	16	37
C Olivera FWD	343	13	68
Ronaldo GLK	338		6
E Pulga FWD	328	20	93
R. Gómez DEF	306	13	43
W José FWD	231	5	36
L Vieira GLK	223		3
Ademir FWD	221	17	63
Kanu DEF	143	2	7
M Araújo FWD	129	13	26
J Costa DEF	124	10	27
Everaldo FWD	80	11	44
M Victor DEF	80	2	4
Iago DEF	72	3	5
M Sanabria FWD	66	3	22
A Véliz FWD	14	1	4
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	13	2	12
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	3		1