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Bahia v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Jul, 01:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Sunday morning sees Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia and Alexi Stival’s Atlético Mineiro go up against one another in a Serie A clash at the Arena Fonte Nova. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're tipping a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Bahia and A Mineiro go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
44%
-2.45
2%
Draw
28%
-3.00
A Mineiro
27%
-3.20
Bahia 1-0
14%
-7.00
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
-5.75
Draw 0-0
11%
-7.00
7%
A Mineiro 1-0
10%
-8.00
6%
Bahia 2-0
9%
-10.00
Bahia 2-1
8%
-8.50
A Mineiro 2-1
6%
-10.00
A Mineiro 2-0
5%
-13.00
Draw 2-2
4%
-12.00
Bahia 3-0
4%
-19.00
12%
Bahia 3-1
4%
-17.00
13%
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
-21.00
11%
Bahia 3-2
2%
-23.00
10%
A Mineiro 3-0
2%
-26.00
A Mineiro 3-2
1%
-26.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
-2.15
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
-1.65
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
-1.91
Away 1st Goal
42%
-2.25
No 1st Goal
7%
-7.00
7%
BTTS - Yes
44%
-1.85
6%
BTTS - No
56%
-1.85
5%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
-4.80
7%
BTTS - Draw
18%
-4.20
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
-6.00
4%
Home/draw
73%
-1.35
2%
Away/draw
56%
-1.53
1%
Home/away
72%
-1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
-1.36
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
-2.88
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
-3.70
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
-1.25
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
-7.50
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
-1.07
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
-15.00
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
-1.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
-1.08
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
-7.00
7%
Home DNB
64%
-1.65
2%
Away DNB
47%
-2.10
2%
Bahia win to nil
28%
--
A Mineiro win to nil
17%
--
Bahia / Bahia
20%
-3.90
3%
Bahia / A Mineiro
3%
-26.00
13%
Bahia / Draw
6%
-12.00
Draw / Bahia
15%
-5.25
Draw / A Mineiro
12%
-6.50
Draw / Draw
19%
-4.00
5%
A Mineiro / Bahia
3%
-23.00
10%
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
15%
-5.00
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
-12.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Bahia have won 4 consecutive home league games
8
Bahia have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
8
A Mineiro have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
4
A Mineiro have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia3 - 0Bragantino
HBahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara0 - 1A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Juventude0 - 1A Mineiro
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Atletico Go1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Criciuma2 - 1A Mineiro
Juventude1 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional1 - 2A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
HA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
AA Mineiro1 - 0Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Mirassol
HA Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Santos
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 0Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
BAH
3
D
2
AMN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia3 - 0
Bahia4 - 1
2 - 3A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Bahia
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
1
D
2
AMN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro1 - 0
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th A Mineiro 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Bahia have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-26
A Mineiro have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294578/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
19%
better
BAH
AMN
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score3
4
Scored first8
4
Goals scored14
13
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
BAH
AMN
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
5
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded11
10
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
10
Conversion rate against9%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+10%

Bahia v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12234
S MingoL JubaL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF1223
1
-
S Mingo DEF12
2
-
E Pulga FWD1223
1
-
S Suay MID111
3
1
Gilberto DEF101
2
-
C Alexandre MID101
4
-
Cauly MID1012
1
-
J Lucas MID10
1
1
L Rodriguez FWD10
1
-
W José FWD1021
1
-
M Felipe GLK9
-
D Duarte DEF9
1
-
Ademir FWD9
2
-
Erick MID81
3
-
N Acevedo MID7
1
-
Kayky FWD71
1
-
Iago DEF5
-
S Arias DEF5
1
-
R Nestor MID5
-
M Araújo MID52
-
Ronaldo  GLK4
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
Rezende MID1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12326
EversonRonyHulk Lyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK12
2
-
Rubens DEF121
2
-
J Alonso  DEF121
2
-
Natanael DEF12
1
-
G Scarpa MID121
1
-
Rony FWD123
3
-
Hulk  FWD1112
3
-
I Gomes MID1021
-
Bernard MID9
1
-
Lyanco DEF8
4
2
G Menino MID81
-
A Franco MID8
1
-
T Cuello FWD81
3
-
F Vera MID71
1
-
J Santos FWD72
1
-
R Saravia DEF6
-
J. Soares de Freitas FWD6
-
V Hugo DEF5
-
C Paulista MID5
1
-
G Arana DEF4
1
-
I Rabello  DEF3
-
P. da Silva Campos MID3
-
I Román DEF2
1
-
R Junior DEF2
-
Dudu FWD1
-
B Palacios FWD1
-