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Santos v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 28th Oct, 22:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos and Palmeiras take on one another at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira on Wednesday night, with both Alexi Stival and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira seeking a win in the Serie A. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Santos or Palmeiras are in the sort of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 28%	2/1	-
Draw 26%	9/4	-
Palmeiras 47%	13/10	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	-
Palmeiras 1-0 11%	7/1	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Palmeiras 2-0 8%	10/1	-
Santos 1-0 8%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	17/2	-
Santos 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Palmeiras 3-1 5%	18/1	-
Santos 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Palmeiras 3-0 4%	22/1	-
Palmeiras 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Santos 3-1 2%	22/1	-
Santos 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Palmeiras 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	21/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	3/4	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	5/6	-
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 48%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	4/1	-
Home/draw 53%	4/7	-
Away/draw 72%	4/11	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	17/2	-
Home DNB 46%	11/10	-
Away DNB 65%	4/6	-
Santos win to nil 15%	4/1	-
Palmeiras win to nil 26%	3/1	-
Santos / Santos 17%	15/4	-
Santos / Palmeiras 3%	25/1	-
Santos / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Santos 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Palmeiras 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	-
Palmeiras / Santos 3%	28/1	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 22%	11/4	-
Palmeiras / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	2 - 2	Flamengo
Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 0	Remo
Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
Santos	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Santos	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Santos	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Santos	3 - 0	S. Recife
Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Santos	2 - 1	Fluminense
A	Santos	1 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Santos	2 - 2	Flamengo
A	Santos	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Santos	2 - 1	Remo
H	Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	1 - 0	Corinthians
H	Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Santos	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
A	Santos	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Gremio	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Fluminense	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
Cortiba	1 - 3	Palmeiras
Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Remo	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Bahia	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Internacional	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	2 - 2	Palmeiras
Ceara	1 - 3	Palmeiras
A Mineiro	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Santos	1 - 0	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bahia
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Palmeiras	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Palmeiras	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Cortiba
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Palmeiras	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Remo
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Athletico PR

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Santos

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

STS

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Santos	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Palmeiras
	0 - 2	Palmeiras
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Santos	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Palmeiras

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

0 / 8

STS

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Palmeiras	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 2
Palmeiras	2 - 1
Palmeiras	4 - 0
Palmeiras	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Santos makes sense in this context.

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday night, not least because Santos have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for A. Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

	Santos 8th	Palmeiras 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+27 Palmeiras have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

STS

PAL

view stats

Games scored	27		27
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	18		22
Goals scored	46		54
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	17		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		0%

STS

PAL

42%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		17
Clean sheets	6		14
Conceded first	11		5
Goals conceded	45		22
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		13
Conversion rate against	15%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+42%

Santos v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	15	3	9
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G. Silva Bontempo	Álvaro Barreal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Silva Bontempo MID	27		3	3 -
Rony FWD	26	1		4 -
L Peres DEF	25	1		5 1
B Rollheiser FWD	25	4	2	2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	25	5	1	8 1
G Brazão GLK	24			5 -
W Arão DEF	24	1		2 -
C Oliva MID	24	2	2	2 -
G Escobar DEF	23		2	8 -
G Barbosa FWD	23	15	3	8 1
I Vinícius DEF	20		1	4 -
Thaciano MID	20	2		2 -
L Veríssimo DEF	19		1	5 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	19			6 1
J Schmidt MID	16			4 -
Neymar MID	14	8	3	8 -
G Menino DEF	13	1		2 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
Miguelito MID	11	1	2	1 -
D Diógenes GLK	7			1 -
G Caballero FWD	7			-
Rodinei DEF	6		1	1 -
J. Ananias Bento DEF	6			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
Lima MID	4			-
Arthur MID	4			-
P Coutinho MID	4	1	1	-
Éverton FWD	4		1	2 -
J. Santos Paes da Costa DEF	1			-
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	1			-
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	21	3	7
G Barbosa	Neymar	G. Silva Bontempo	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	15	20	3	4
Neymar MID	8	21	3	4
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	14	1	5
B Rollheiser FWD	4	9	2	7
C Oliva MID	2	3	2	1
Thaciano MID	2	4		1
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
Rony FWD	1	8		2
L Peres DEF	1	1
W Arão DEF	1	2
G Menino DEF	1	6
Miguelito MID	1	3	2	2
P Coutinho MID	1	1	1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		5	3	5
G Brazão GLK		1
G Escobar DEF		2	2	1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
L Veríssimo DEF		2	1	1
G. Henrique Pereira MID		2		1
J Schmidt MID		1
G Caballero FWD		1
Rodinei DEF			1	1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Éverton FWD		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1067	56	115
L Peres	G. Henrique Pereira	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	1067	42	99
G Escobar DEF	1022	55	115
G. Silva Bontempo MID	923	36	106
L Veríssimo DEF	859	21	72
W Arão DEF	836	35	66
I Vinícius DEF	819	50	91
C Oliva MID	746	38	73
B Rollheiser FWD	670	13	45
Álvaro Barreal FWD	665	45	90
Neymar MID	605	9	94
J Schmidt MID	558	29	54
G. Henrique Pereira MID	545	56	94
G Barbosa FWD	522	5	30
G Brazão GLK	443		13
Rony FWD	364	27	95
G Menino DEF	308	17	47
Rodinei DEF	232	12	32
Miguelito MID	192	17	37
Arthur MID	189	2	12
D Diógenes GLK	177		5
J. Ananias Bento DEF	151	14	19
Éverton FWD	135	3	17
Thaciano MID	134	11	38
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
P Coutinho MID	94	3	10
G Caballero FWD	71	3	9
A Duarte DEF	55		4
Lima MID	54	3	8
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	10	3	6
J. Santos Paes da Costa DEF	5
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	9	11	6
C Miguel	J López	A Pereira	M Freitas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miguel GLK	30			3 -
A Pereira MID	30	1	11	4 1
M Freitas MID	28	2	1	6 -
J López FWD	28	9	5	2 -
G Portillo DEF	27	4	1	3 -
Murilo DEF	26	2	1	4 1
L Evangelista MID	26		2	2 -
M Maurício MID	26	8	1	2 -
J Arias FWD	25	4	4	5 -
A Giay DEF	24	2		6 -
R Sosa FWD	23	4	2	4 -
Khellven DEF	22		1	4 -
F Anderson FWD	22	2	1	1 -
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	21			2 1
V Roque FWD	18	5	1	1 -
J Piquerez DEF	16	1	4	3 -
E Martínez MID	15			1 -
B Fuchs DEF	10			-
A Barboza DEF	9	1	1	3 1
J Dias DEF	7		1	1 -
Paulinho FWD	7	2		1 -
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	6			1 -
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	4			2 -
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	3			1 -
M Lomba GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	23	11	8
J López	J López	A Pereira	A Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	9	23	5	7
M Maurício MID	8	21	1
V Roque FWD	5	16	1	1
G Portillo DEF	4	10	1	3
J Arias FWD	4	17	4	3
R Sosa FWD	4	10	2	2
M Freitas MID	2	6	1	5
Murilo DEF	2	6	1	2
A Giay DEF	2	4		1
F Anderson FWD	2	4	1	1
Paulinho FWD	2	3
A Pereira MID	1	11	11	8
J Piquerez DEF	1	3	4	3
A Barboza DEF	1	3	1	2
L Evangelista MID		1	2	1
Khellven DEF		1	1	2
A. Santana Marcolino DEF		2
E Martínez MID		2
J Dias DEF			1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1700	40	181
M Freitas	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1700	29	50
A Pereira MID	1356	32	76
Murilo DEF	1260	29	98
G Portillo DEF	1167	30	113
A Giay DEF	804	40	94
J Arias FWD	771	35	105
C Miguel GLK	658		21
M Maurício MID	586	19	53
J Piquerez DEF	586	25	48
L Evangelista MID	565	19	58
J López FWD	531	29	181
A. Santana Marcolino DEF	481	29	57
Khellven DEF	477	28	54
A Barboza DEF	422	15	51
B Fuchs DEF	357	12	22
F Anderson FWD	332	28	59
E Martínez MID	327	11	35
R Sosa FWD	271	4	72
V Roque FWD	128	14	75
J Dias DEF	105	7	12
Paulinho FWD	87		9
L. Pacheco da Costa MID	63		2
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID	53	1	3
M Lomba GLK	27		1
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2		1