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Santos v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 01:00 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

The Serie A is the focus for both Santos and Bahia on Sunday morning, as managers Alexi Stival and Rogério Mücke Ceni face one another at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
42%
--
Draw
25%
--
Bahia
33%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Santos 2-1
9%
--
Santos 1-0
9%
--
Bahia 2-1
8%
--
Bahia 1-0
7%
--
Santos 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Bahia 2-0
5%
--
Santos 3-1
5%
--
Bahia 3-1
3%
--
Santos 3-0
3%
--
Santos 3-2
3%
--
Bahia 3-2
3%
--
Bahia 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
50%
--
Santos win to nil
20%
--
Bahia win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Santos 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos2 - 2Flamengo
Santos2 - 1Cruzeiro
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Santos0 - 2Athletico PR
Santos2 - 2Chapecoense
Santos3 - 1Vitoria
Santos0 - 3Cortiba
Santos2 - 0Bragantino
Santos2 - 3Fluminense
Santos1 - 0A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0Remo
Santos1 - 2Internacional
Santos1 - 1Corinthians
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1Mirassol
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Santos1 - 1Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASantos1 - 2A Mineiro
HSantos2 - 2Flamengo
ASantos2 - 1Sao Paulo
ASantos2 - 1Remo
HSantos2 - 1Cruzeiro
ASantos3 - 2Internacional
ASantos1 - 0Corinthians
HSantos1 - 1Mirassol
ASantos3 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSantos0 - 2Athletico PR
HSantos2 - 2Chapecoense
ASantos1 - 2Botafogo
HSantos3 - 1Vitoria
ASantos2 - 3Gremio
HSantos0 - 3Cortiba
HSantos2 - 0Bragantino
ASantos1 - 1Palmeiras
ASantos2 - 2Bahia
HSantos2 - 3Fluminense
HSantos1 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
Athletico PR2 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 3Bahia
Vitoria0 - 2Bahia
Chapecoense3 - 3Bahia
Fluminense0 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Cortiba3 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Remo4 - 1Bahia
Internacional0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Juventude1 - 1Bahia
Internacional2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia1 - 0Mirassol
ABahia0 - 1Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Athletico PR
HBahia2 - 1Remo
ABahia3 - 2Bragantino
HBahia3 - 2Internacional
ABahia2 - 0Vitoria
ABahia3 - 3Chapecoense
HBahia0 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABahia0 - 0Fluminense
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 0Chapecoense
HBahia2 - 1Botafogo
ABahia2 - 3Cortiba
HBahia1 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Bahia
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
STS
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Draw2 - 2Draw
Santos3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Santos3 - 1
Santos1 - 0
Santos2 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Santos
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
STS
2
D
1
BAH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bahia2 - 0
1 - 2Santos
Bahia3 - 0
Bahia2 - 0
0 - 1Santos
Bahia1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Santos have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Bahia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Santos 8th Bahia 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Santos will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Santos’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
14%
better
STS
BAH
view stats
Games scored26
25
Failed to score3
4
Scored first17
11
Goals scored45
43
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
STS
BAH
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first11
16
Goals conceded43
36
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Santos v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241439
G BrazãoG BarbosaG BarbosaG Barbosa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Silva Bontempo MID262
3
-
Rony FWD251
4
-
G Brazão GLK24
5
-
W Arão DEF241
2
-
L Peres DEF241
5
1
B Rollheiser FWD2442
2
-
Álvaro Barreal FWD2451
7
1
G Escobar DEF232
8
-
C Oliva MID2322
2
-
G Barbosa FWD22143
8
1
I Vinícius  DEF201
4
-
Thaciano MID202
2
-
L Veríssimo DEF181
5
-
G. Henrique Pereira MID18
6
1
J Schmidt MID16
4
-
G Menino DEF131
2
-
Neymar MID1383
8
-
M Moisés FWD1321
-
Miguelito MID1112
1
-
G Caballero FWD7
-
D Diógenes GLK6
1
-
J. Ananias Bento DEF6
1
-
Rodinei DEF5
1
-
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF5
1
-
Lima MID4
-
Arthur MID4
-
P Coutinho MID31
-
Éverton FWD31
2
-
A Duarte DEF1
1
-
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID1
-
M. de Sousa FWD1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281049
E PulgaL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Pulga FWD2932
5
-
Ademir FWD2811
2
-
N Acevedo MID2711
9
-
L Juba DEF26101
4
-
J Lucas MID2643
5
-
W José FWD2431
1
-
D Duarte DEF2331
4
-
Erick MID234
6
-
R Nestor MID2314
4
-
C Olivera FWD2212
3
-
Ronaldo  GLK21
2
-
S Suay MID204
1
-
C Alexandre MID19
1
-
M Araújo FWD181
2
1
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
R. Gómez DEF151
2
-
M Sanabria FWD1521
2
-
A Véliz FWD1131
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
M Victor DEF8
-
K. Furquim FWD7
1
-
J Costa DEF6
3
-
Kanu DEF6
2
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
-
M Moreno DEF1
-