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Botafogo v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 22:00 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Rafael dos Santos Lacerda pays counterpart Adenor Leonardo Bacchi a visit on Saturday night in the Serie A, as their Chapecoense and Botafogo teams go head to head at the Estádio Nilton Santos. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Botafogo and Chapecoense will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
58%
1/3
3%
-
Draw
22%
15/4
6%
-
Chapecoense
20%
8/1
29%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1-
Botafogo 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
-
Botafogo 2-1
10%
15/2-
Botafogo 2-0
10%
13/2-
Botafogo 3-1
6%
10/1-
Botafogo 3-0
6%
17/2
5%
-
Chapecoense 1-0
5%
25/1
24%
-
Chapecoense 2-1
5%
22/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Botafogo 3-2
3%
20/1-
Botafogo 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
-
Botafogo 4-0
3%
14/1
12%
-
Chapecoense 2-0
3%
40/1-
Chapecoense 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/15
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
7/5
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/11
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4-
BTTS - No
45%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
7/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
12/1
8%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/14
3%
-
Away/draw
42%
2/1
9%
-
Home/away
78%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/10
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/13
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/4
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
73%
1/10
4%
-
Away DNB
36%
6/1
27%
-
Botafogo win to nil
30%
11/8
5%
-
Chapecoense win to nil
10%
16/1
31%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
43%
10/11
7%
-
Botafogo / Chapecoense
2%
40/1-
Botafogo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Botafogo
20%
3/1
8%
-
Draw / Chapecoense
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
7%
-
Chapecoense / Botafogo
5%
16/1
11%
-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
6%
12/1
8%
-
Chapecoense / Draw
4%
18/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Botafogo 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Botafogo1 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo2 - 3Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 1Fluminense
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Botafogo2 - 1Santos
Botafogo3 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo1 - 2Remo
Botafogo2 - 2Internacional
Botafogo2 - 2Cortiba
Botafogo3 - 2Mirassol
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2S. Recife
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo2 - 2Santos
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo1 - 1Cortiba
HBotafogo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo0 - 2Mirassol
HBotafogo3 - 2Gremio
HBotafogo1 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
ABotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
HBotafogo2 - 3Athletico PR
ABotafogo0 - 1Vitoria
HBotafogo1 - 1Fluminense
ABotafogo1 - 0Cruzeiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo2 - 1Santos
ABotafogo1 - 2Bahia
ABotafogo1 - 1Sao Paulo
HBotafogo3 - 1Corinthians
ABotafogo1 - 1A Mineiro
HBotafogo1 - 2Remo
HBotafogo2 - 2Internacional
ABotafogo4 - 1Chapecoense
Chapecoense 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria4 - 0Chapecoense
A Mineiro1 - 1Chapecoense
Corinthians1 - 2Chapecoense
Gremio3 - 1Chapecoense
Cortiba2 - 1Chapecoense
Santos2 - 2Chapecoense
Bahia2 - 0Chapecoense
Palmeiras1 - 0Chapecoense
Cruzeiro2 - 1Chapecoense
Mirassol1 - 1Chapecoense
Fluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Internacional2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense1 - 4Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 4Vitoria
AChapecoense1 - 1A Mineiro
HChapecoense1 - 2Internacional
AChapecoense2 - 1Corinthians
AChapecoense1 - 3Gremio
HChapecoense1 - 0Sao Paulo
HChapecoense3 - 3Bahia
AChapecoense1 - 2Cortiba
AChapecoense2 - 2Santos
HChapecoense0 - 4Flamengo
AChapecoense0 - 2Bahia
AChapecoense0 - 1Palmeiras
AChapecoense1 - 2Cruzeiro
HChapecoense2 - 3Remo
AChapecoense1 - 1Mirassol
HChapecoense1 - 2Bragantino
AChapecoense1 - 2Fluminense
HChapecoense1 - 4Botafogo
AChapecoense0 - 2Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
1
0
Games: Scored
1 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
1 / 2
BOT
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Botafogo1 - 0
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
1
6
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
BOT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
1 - 4Botafogo
0 - 1Botafogo
0 - 1Botafogo
Goal Statistics

Botafogo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Chapecoense have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.9 for A. Bacchi's side suggests that run should continue.

Botafogo 13th Chapecoense 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Botafogo have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
1.9
1
Attack rating
21%
better
BOT
CHP
view stats
Games scored23
20
Failed to score7
9
Scored first13
7
Goals scored43
30
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
21%
better
BOT
CHP
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first15
21
Goals conceded48
61
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+21%

Botafogo v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271057
A Telles DaniloA Telles N Ferraresi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK8
-
Vitinho DEF2813
3
-
N Ferraresi  DEF231
7
-
M Marçal DEF12
5
1
A Telles  DEF2745
4
-
Danilo MID23102
2
-
C Medina MID2211
4
1
H Ziyech MID3
-
?. Montoro MID2615
5
-
M Martins FWD234
2
-
A Cabral FWD2571
3
1
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17354
G AugustoM GarcezG AugustoY Bolasie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Paixão GLK
-
Dudu DEF21
-
K. Faria Gomes DEF9
2
-
J Paulo DEF71
3
-
B Pacheco DEF2013
3
-
B Matias MID
-
Y Felipe MID
-
Y Bolasie FWD2213
4
-
G Augusto FWD2115
2
-
M Garcez FWD153
-
T. Silva de Oliveira FWD93
1
-