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Bahia v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 22:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Sunday night sees Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia and José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim’s Flamengo go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Arena Fonte Nova. Serie A stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
32%
--
Draw
25%
--
Flamengo
44%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Flamengo 1-0
9%
--
Flamengo 2-1
9%
--
Bahia 1-0
8%
--
Bahia 2-1
7%
--
Flamengo 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Bahia 2-0
5%
--
Flamengo 3-1
5%
--
Flamengo 3-0
4%
--
Bahia 3-1
3%
--
Flamengo 3-2
3%
--
Bahia 3-2
2%
--
Bahia 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
22%
--
Home/draw
56%
--
Away/draw
68%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
61%
--
Bahia win to nil
15%
--
Flamengo win to nil
22%
--
Win / draw / win form
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
9
15
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
BAH
2
D
1
FLA
4
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
18
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
0 / 8
FLA
8
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's defensive record is very strong, J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

Flamengo have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Bahia on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bahia 5th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Flamengo have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
BAH
FLA
22%
better
view stats
Games scored25
26
Failed to score3
2
Scored first11
22
Goals scored43
55
Avg. goals scored1.5
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
BAH
FLA
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
16
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first15
6
Goals conceded35
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Bahia v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26948
E PulgaL JubaR NestorN Acevedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Pulga FWD2732
5
-
N Acevedo MID2611
8
-
Ademir FWD2611
2
-
L Juba DEF2491
4
-
J Lucas MID2443
3
-
W José FWD2231
1
-
D Duarte DEF2131
4
-
R Nestor MID2114
3
-
Erick MID214
6
-
C Olivera FWD2012
3
-
Ronaldo  GLK19
2
-
S Suay MID194
1
-
Everaldo FWD184
2
-
M Araújo FWD181
2
1
C Alexandre MID17
1
-
M Sanabria FWD1421
2
-
R. Gómez DEF131
2
-
L Vieira GLK9
-
A Véliz FWD931
-
M Victor DEF7
-
K. Furquim FWD7
1
-
J Costa DEF6
3
-
Kanu DEF5
2
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID3
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD3
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281677
A RossiPedroS LinoE Farfán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK28
-
Pedro FWD28165
1
-
S Lino FWD2797
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF2411
-
L Pereira DEF2321
6
-
J Carrascal MID2257
2
2
Jorginho MID2223
4
1
G Varela DEF2113
4
-
G Arrascaeta MID2134
2
-
B Henrique FWD2123
4
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID201
4
1
L Paquetá MID195
3
-
Ayrton DEF182
-
A Sandro DEF18
5
-
E Farfán MID182
6
1
G Plata FWD1623
2
-
L Araújo FWD1521
1
-
E Royal DEF131
-
N Cruz MID12
2
-
Danilo DEF9
1
1
V Vitão DEF9
2
-
S Ñíguez MID91
-
J. Freitas FWD31
-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF1
-
A Valencia FWD1
-