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Fluminense v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 20:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho masses welcome Santos's fans on Sunday night, as Marco Aurelio De Oliveira's Fluminense go head to head with Alexi Stival's charges in the Serie A. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 45%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Santos 31%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Fluminense 2-1 9%	-	-
Fluminense 1-0 8%	-	-
Santos 2-1 7%	-	-
Fluminense 2-0 7%	-	-
Santos 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Fluminense 3-1 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
Santos 2-0 5%	-	-
Fluminense 3-0 4%	-	-
Fluminense 3-2 3%	-	-
Santos 3-1 3%	-	-
Santos 3-2 3%	-	-
Fluminense 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	-	-
BTTS - No 40%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	-	-
Home/draw 69%	-	-
Away/draw 55%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 62%	-	-
Away DNB 48%	-	-
Fluminense win to nil 21%	-	-
Santos win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Remo
Fluminense	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	3 - 2	Athletico PR
Fluminense	1 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
Fluminense	6 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	2 - 1	Flamengo
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Remo
H	Fluminense	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Fluminense	3 - 2	Santos
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cortiba
H	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Santos
Remo	1 - 2	Santos
Internacional	2 - 3	Santos
Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Santos
Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Santos
Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Santos
Mirassol	2 - 2	Santos
Athletico PR	2 - 1	Santos
Chapecoense	4 - 2	Santos
Juventude	0 - 3	Santos
Internacional	1 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Santos
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Santos	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Santos	2 - 1	Remo
H	Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Santos	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	1 - 0	Corinthians
H	Santos	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Santos	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Santos	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
A	Santos	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Santos	2 - 3	Gremio
H	Santos	0 - 3	Cortiba
H	Santos	2 - 0	Bragantino
A	Santos	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
H	Santos	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Santos	1 - 3	Flamengo
H	Santos	2 - 0	Remo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Santos

Fluminense

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

2 / 7

FLU

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Santos

Santos

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

2 / 8

FLU

STS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
	2 - 3	Fluminense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Fluminense
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Santos	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Santos	2 - 1
Santos	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Fluminense have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.7 against Santos on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Fluminense 4th	Santos 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+17 Fluminense have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted	+42 Santos have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

FLU

STS

better

view stats

Games scored	25		25
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	14		17
Goals scored	44		43
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.5
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+3%

FLU

STS

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		22
Clean sheets	5		6
Conceded first	13		10
Goals conceded	36		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+1%

Fluminense v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	5	6
F Fábio	J Kennedy	L Acosta	L Acosta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	28			1 -
K Serna FWD	27	4	3	1 -
H Hércules MID	24	3		3 -
L Acosta MID	23	4	5	6 -
A Canobbio FWD	21	5	3	5 1
Renê DEF	20		2	1 -
J Savarino MID	20	3	2	2 -
Martinelli MID	20		3	5 -
J Freytes DEF	19			5 -
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	19		1	3 -
Ganso MID	19		1	2 -
Y Soteldo FWD	19		2	1 -
J Kennedy FWD	18	9	1	1
Guga DEF	16		2	3 -
S Xavier DEF	16			5 -
G Arana DEF	16	1	1	2 -
Nonato MID	15	1	1	6 -
R Castillo FWD	15	4	1	2 -
Ignacio DEF	14	3	1	4 -
Hulk FWD	9	6	1	1 -
G Cano FWD	9	1		-
J Millán DEF	8			1 -
Alisson MID	8		1	3 -
O Otávio MID	7			2 -
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
T Silva DEF	4			1 -
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	4			1 -
I Rabello DEF	3			-
W. de Freitas Prado FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	26	5	10
J Kennedy	J Kennedy	L Acosta	L Acosta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Kennedy FWD	9	26	1	3
Hulk FWD	6	16	1	3
A Canobbio FWD	5	16	3	5
K Serna FWD	4	15	3	4
L Acosta MID	4	10	5	10
R Castillo FWD	4	8	1
H Hércules MID	3	12		1
J Savarino MID	3	14	2	5
Ignacio DEF	3	3	1	1
G Arana DEF	1	6	1	1
Nonato MID	1	2	1	2
G Cano FWD	1	4		1
Renê DEF		4	2	1
Martinelli MID		6	3	4
J Freytes DEF		3		1
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF			1
Ganso MID		3	1	1
Y Soteldo FWD		5	2	4
Guga DEF			2	3
S Xavier DEF		2		3
J Millán DEF		1		1
Alisson MID		1	1
O Otávio MID		1
R. Silva de Almeida FWD			1	2
I Rabello DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1280	45	100
J Freytes	Renê	Renê

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1280	18	60
Martinelli MID	1251	26	65
Renê DEF	1042	45	100
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	833	22	72
H Hércules MID	801	36	61
L Acosta MID	773	19	73
S Xavier DEF	741	22	65
Guga DEF	660	22	52
Ignacio DEF	657	22	61
G Arana DEF	629	16	33
A Canobbio FWD	607	33	99
J Savarino MID	605	9	40
Ganso MID	590	13	29
Nonato MID	574	23	49
F Fábio GLK	525	1	12
K Serna FWD	455	24	95
Y Soteldo FWD	397	5	46
J Millán DEF	366	6	20
O Otávio MID	261	4	11
T Silva DEF	253	2	13
R Castillo FWD	227	8	56
J Kennedy FWD	222	11	57
Alisson MID	199	4	13
Hulk FWD	157	8	48
I Rabello DEF	108	6	10
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	85	8	18
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	58	3	12
G Cano FWD	27		1
W. de Freitas Prado FWD	5	1	1

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	13	3	8
G Brazão	G Barbosa	G Barbosa	G Barbosa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	24			5 -
G. Silva Bontempo MID	24		2	3 -
Rony FWD	23	1		4 -
L Peres DEF	22	1		4 1
W Arão MID	22	1		2 -
B Rollheiser FWD	22	4	2	2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	22	5	1	6 1
G Escobar DEF	21		2	7 -
C Oliva MID	21	2	2	1 -
I Vinícius DEF	20		1	4 -
Thaciano MID	20	2		2 -
G Barbosa FWD	20	13	3	7 1
L Veríssimo DEF	16		1	4 -
G. Henrique Pereira MID	16			5 1
J Schmidt MID	15			3 -
G Menino DEF	13	1		2 -
M Moisés FWD	13	2	1	-
Neymar MID	12	6	3	7 -
Miguelito MID	11	1	2	1 -
G Caballero FWD	7			-
J. Ananias Bento DEF	6			1 -
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	5			1 -
D Diógenes GLK	4			1 -
Lima MID	4			-
Arthur MID	4			-
Rodinei DEF	3			-
Éverton FWD	2		1	2 -
A Duarte DEF	1			1 -
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	1			-
P Coutinho MID	1			-
M. de Sousa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	18	3	7
G Barbosa	Neymar	G Barbosa	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Barbosa FWD	13	15	3	2
Neymar MID	6	18	3	3
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	13	1	5
B Rollheiser FWD	4	8	2	7
C Oliva MID	2	3	2	1
Thaciano MID	2	4		1
M Moisés FWD	2	6	1	1
Rony FWD	1	7		2
L Peres DEF	1	1
W Arão MID	1	2
G Menino DEF	1	6
Miguelito MID	1	3	2	2
G Brazão GLK		1
G. Silva Bontempo MID		5	2	4
G Escobar DEF		2	2	1
I Vinícius DEF		2	1	1
L Veríssimo DEF		2	1	1
G. Henrique Pereira MID		2		1
J Schmidt MID		1
G Caballero FWD		1
J. Ananias Bento DEF				1
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF		1		1
Rodinei DEF				1
Éverton FWD		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
955	54	109
G Escobar	G Escobar	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Escobar DEF	955	54	109
L Peres DEF	917	38	92
I Vinícius DEF	819	50	91
W Arão MID	789	33	64
G. Silva Bontempo MID	786	32	88
L Veríssimo DEF	677	15	60
C Oliva MID	649	35	66
B Rollheiser FWD	626	12	41
Álvaro Barreal FWD	600	41	83
J Schmidt MID	538	24	49
Neymar MID	524	8	82
G Brazão GLK	443		13
G Barbosa FWD	435	5	24
G. Henrique Pereira MID	424	41	71
Rony FWD	326	23	84
G Menino DEF	308	15	45
Miguelito MID	192	19	37
Arthur MID	189	2	12
J. Ananias Bento DEF	151	14	19
Thaciano MID	135	11	38
V. Rodrigues Lira DEF	117	7	14
Rodinei DEF	117	4	15
M Moisés FWD	110	2	20
D Diógenes GLK	102		1
Éverton FWD	76	1	11
G Caballero FWD	71	3	9
Lima MID	55	3	7
A Duarte DEF	55		4
P Coutinho MID	19	2	4
N. Maia da Silva de Souza MID	10	3	6
M. de Sousa FWD	2	1	1