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Athletico PR v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 23:30 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

The Serie A is the focus for both Athletico PR and Palmeiras on Saturday night, as bosses Odair Hellmann and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira go head to head at the Arena de Baixada. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
35%
2.80
2%
-
Draw
27%
3.40
6%
-
Palmeiras
38%
2.40-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50
8%
-
Palmeiras 1-0
11%
9.00
13%
-
Athletico PR 1-0
10%
9.50
12%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
11.00
22%
-
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
9.50
5%
-
Athletico PR 2-1
8%
11.00-
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
12.00-
Athletico PR 2-0
6%
15.00
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00
13%
-
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Athletico PR 3-1
3%
23.00-
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
23.00-
Athletico PR 3-0
2%
29.00-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
29.00-
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1.95
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.85
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.05-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.91-
No 1st Goal
5%
11.00
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.70
6%
-
BTTS - No
49%
2.05
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.50
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4.75
5%
-
Home/draw
62%
1.53-
Away/draw
65%
1.40-
Home/away
73%
1.30
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.29
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.75
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3.40
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.33
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6.00
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.13
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
13.00
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.04
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.05
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11.00
22%
-
Home DNB
54%
2.00-
Away DNB
57%
1.73-
Athletico PR win to nil
19%
5.00
11%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
22%
4.33
8%
-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
19%
4.50-
Athletico PR / Palmeiras
3%
26.00
10%
-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / Athletico PR
13%
6.50-
Draw / Palmeiras
14%
6.00-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
10%
-
Palmeiras / Athletico PR
3%
29.00-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
21%
4.00-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win form
3
Palmeiras have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
Athletico PR 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
D
3
PAL
4
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
6 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
2 / 8
APR
2
PAL
6
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Athletico PR makes sense in this context.

Athletico PR 3rd Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Athletico PR will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Palmeiras have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
APR
PAL
9%
better
view stats
Games scored24
26
Failed to score6
4
Scored first17
21
Goals scored49
52
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
APR
PAL
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
17
Clean sheets8
13
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded35
22
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
12
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+33%

Athletico PR v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302157
S MendozaK ViverosL EsquivelA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Mycael GLK6
2
-
J Aguirre DEF251
3
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF281
7
-
L Esquivel DEF2125
1
1
Gilberto DEF103
1
-
J Jádson MID242
5
-
L Gustavo MID
-
S Mendoza MID3051
-
J. Machado Cruz MID2325
3
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD165
1
-
K Viveros FWD28213
6
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299116
C MiguelJ LópezA Pereira A Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miguel GLK
-
Murilo DEF2521
4
1
B Fuchs DEF
-
A Barboza DEF811
3
1
Khellven DEF211
4
-
J Piquerez DEF154
2
-
A Pereira  MID29111
3
-
M Freitas MID
-
M Maurício MID
-
J Arias MID2444
5
-
J López FWD2794
2
-