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Athletico PR v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 23:30 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

The Serie A is the focus for both Athletico PR and Palmeiras on Saturday night, as managers Odair Hellmann and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira face one another at the Arena de Baixada. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
39%
--
Draw
27%
--
Palmeiras
33%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Athletico PR 1-0
11%
--
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Athletico PR 2-1
8%
--
Palmeiras 2-1
7%
--
Athletico PR 2-0
7%
--
Palmeiras 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Athletico PR 3-1
4%
--
Athletico PR 3-0
3%
--
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
--
Palmeiras 3-0
2%
--
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
--
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
49%
--
BTTS - No
51%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
61%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Athletico PR win to nil
23%
--
Palmeiras win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win form
3
Palmeiras have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
Athletico PR 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR2 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
Athletico PR2 - 0Internacional
Athletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Athletico PR0 - 0Gremio
Athletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletico PR4 - 1Botafogo
Athletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR2 - 1Santos
Athletico PR1 - 0America
Athletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
Athletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
Athletico PR1 - 1Avai
Athletico PR1 - 0Operario
Athletico PR2 - 0Vila Nova
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR2 - 1Bahia
AAthletico PR3 - 3Cortiba
AAthletico PR1 - 3Cruzeiro
HAthletico PR3 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR3 - 2Botafogo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
AAthletico PR2 - 0Santos
AAthletico PR0 - 0Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 0Internacional
AAthletico PR2 - 1Sao Paulo
HAthletico PR1 - 0Mirassol
AAthletico PR2 - 1Remo
HAthletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
AAthletico PR0 - 1Vasco d Gama
HAthletico PR0 - 0Gremio
HAthletico PR3 - 1Vitoria
AAthletico PR0 - 1Palmeiras
HAthletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
AAthletico PR1 - 2A Mineiro
AAthletico PR0 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio0 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol1 - 1Palmeiras
Fluminense3 - 2Palmeiras
Vitoria0 - 4Palmeiras
Cortiba1 - 3Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
Remo1 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino0 - 1Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
Ceara1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras0 - 0Gremio
HPalmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
HPalmeiras4 - 1Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 3Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras4 - 0Vitoria
HPalmeiras1 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Cortiba
HPalmeiras1 - 0Chapecoense
APalmeiras3 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
APalmeiras1 - 1Remo
HPalmeiras1 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 0Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
APalmeiras0 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras2 - 1Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
D
3
PAL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
0 - 2Palmeiras
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Palmeiras
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Palmeiras
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
6 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
2 / 8
APR
2
PAL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras1 - 0
0 - 2Athletico PR
Palmeiras1 - 0
0 - 2Athletico PR
Palmeiras2 - 1
Palmeiras3 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, A. Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Athletico PR makes sense in this context.

Athletico PR 3rd Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Athletico PR will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Athletico PR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+24
Palmeiras have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
APR
PAL
9%
better
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score6
4
Scored first15
19
Goals scored43
47
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
APR
PAL
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
16
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded32
21
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
12
Conversion rate against13%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Athletico PR v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281857
S MendozaK ViverosG BenavídezA. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Mendoza FWD2851
-
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias DEF261
7
-
K Viveros FWD26183
6
-
Santos GLK24
3
-
J Aguirre DEF241
3
-
G Benavídez DEF2215
6
-
L Gustavo MID223
4
-
J Jádson MID222
5
-
J. Machado Cruz MID2125
3
-
J Portilla MID20
4
-
L Esquivel DEF1925
1
1
E Anastacio MID1911
-
B Zapelli MID191
4
1
C Terán DEF16
-
L. Caetano Silva FWD144
1
-
L Derik DEF11
-
R. Peixoto Nepomuceno FWD11
-
A Costa MID9
2
-
Gilberto DEF8
-
F. Chiqueti Bandeira MID8
1
-
C. de Jesus Passos DEF61
-
J. Silva Dantas de Oliveira DEF61
2
-
K Vargas FWD613
-
Mycael GLK4
2
-
J. Rivaldo Pinto FWD41
1
-
L Léo DEF2
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
278116
C MiguelJ LópezA Pereira M Freitas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miguel GLK27
3
-
A Pereira  MID27111
3
-
M Freitas MID2621
6
-
G Portillo DEF2541
2
-
J López FWD2584
2
-
M Maurício MID2471
2
-
Murilo DEF2321
4
1
A Giay DEF23
5
-
L Evangelista MID231
2
-
J Arias FWD2243
4
-
F Anderson FWD2121
1
-
Khellven DEF201
3
-
R Sosa FWD2042
4
-
A. Santana Marcolino DEF19
2
1
V Roque FWD1651
1
-
J Piquerez DEF144
2
-
E Martínez MID13
1
-
B Fuchs DEF8
-
J Dias DEF71
1
-
A Barboza DEF6
3
1
L. Torna Ferreira dos Santos MID6
1
-
Paulinho FWD62
1
-
L. Pacheco da Costa MID4
2
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
1
-
M Lomba GLK1
-