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Corinthians v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 20th Oct, 00:00 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Corinthians and their manager William Batista de Almeida will be looking to get one over on Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura and his Vitória side on Tuesday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Arena Corinthians in the Serie A. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Corinthians and Vitoria have rarely treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.29.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 54%	1.66 3%	-
Draw 25%	3.50 3%	-
Vitoria 21%	5.00 5%	-
Corinthians 1-0 13%	6.00 8%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	-
Corinthians 2-0 11%	7.50	-
Corinthians 2-1 9%	8.50	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8.50 11%	-
Vitoria 1-0 7%	12.00 8%	-
Corinthians 3-0 6%	13.00 8%	-
Vitoria 2-1 5%	17.00	-
Corinthians 3-1 5%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00 12%	-
Vitoria 2-0 3%	23.00 12%	-
Corinthians 4-0 2%	29.00 12%	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	29.00	-
Corinthians 4-1 2%	34.00 17%	-
Vitoria 3-1 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	2.10 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	1.70 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	1.57 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2.75 5%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	8.50 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	2.00	-
BTTS - No 53%	1.75	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4.00	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11.00	-
Home/draw 79%	1.17	-
Away/draw 46%	2.10 5%	-
Home/away 75%	1.29	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1.36 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	3.20 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	4.00 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1.25 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8.00 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.08 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	17.00 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.07 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8.50 11%	-
Home DNB 71%	1.25 2%	-
Away DNB 39%	3.75 6%	-
Corinthians win to nil 33%	2.63	-
Vitoria win to nil 12%	8.00 11%	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 31%	2.63 1%	-
Corinthians / Vitoria 2%	41.00	-
Corinthians / Draw 5%	15.00	-
Draw / Corinthians 18%	4.50 4%	-
Draw / Vitoria 8%	10.00 9%	-
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00 9%	-
Vitoria / Corinthians 4%	23.00	-
Vitoria / Vitoria 10%	8.50 6%	-
Vitoria / Draw 5%	17.00	-

Over / under 5.5 goals form

There have been under 5.5 goals in 30 consecutive Corinthians home league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.1

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense
Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
Corinthians	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	0 - 0	Athletico PR
Corinthians	3 - 0	Remo
Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	0 - 1	Internacional
Corinthians	1 - 1	Flamengo
Corinthians	0 - 2	Cortiba
Corinthians	2 - 0	Bragantino
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
Corinthians	2 - 2	Botafogo
Corinthians	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	0 - 1	Ceara
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio

Avg: Scored

1.2

Conceded

1.4

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
A	Corinthians	1 - 4	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Chapecoense
H	Corinthians	0 - 1	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cortiba
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	2 - 0	Bragantino
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Remo
A	Corinthians	3 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	3 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

0.8

Conceded

2.0

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Vitoria
Mirassol	2 - 2	Vitoria
A Mineiro	2 - 1	Vitoria
Flamengo	2 - 0	Vitoria
Remo	2 - 0	Vitoria
Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
Bragantino	2 - 0	Vitoria
Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
Athletico PR	3 - 1	Vitoria
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Vitoria
Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 1	Vitoria
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
Bragantino	4 - 0	Vitoria
S. Recife	1 - 3	Vitoria
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	0 - 1	Vitoria

Avg: Scored

1.1

Conceded

1.5

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 5.5 Goals
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Vitoria	4 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Remo
A	Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians

Over / under 5.5 goals head to head (H2H)

Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Vitoria

Corinthians

Vitoria

Average goals:

1.0

0.7

Games: Scored

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians Over \| Under
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Corinthians	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Vitoria

Corinthians

Average goals:

0.8

1.3

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria Over \| Under
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Corinthians
	1 - 2	Corinthians
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Corinthians 16th	Vitoria 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Corinthians will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Corinthians have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-15 Vitoria have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

CTH

VIT

better

view stats

Games scored	22		21
Failed to score	7		9
Scored first	11		14
Goals scored	30		33
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	0.9		1
KickOff rating		+3%

better

CTH

VIT

view stats

Games conceded	19		19
Clean sheets	10		11
Conceded first	14		14
Goals conceded	34		44
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+7%

Corinthians v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	4	6	9
H Souza	A. Santos Dias	R Garro	R Garro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Bidon MID	27	2	1	5 -
R Garro MID	27	3	6	9 -
H Souza GLK	26			3 -
G Henrique DEF	25	3	1	4 -
Matheuzinho DEF	25	1	2	5 1
Raniele MID	25	2		7 -
M Bidu DEF	24	3	1	5 -
G Paulista DEF	22	1		7 -
A Carrillo MID	22		1	4 -
Allan MID	22		1	4 1
M Pereira MID	21			2 -
A. Santos Dias MID	20	4	2	2 2
Y Alberto FWD	19	3	2	2 -
J Lingard MID	17		1	2 -
K César FWD	17	2	2	3 -
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	16	1		-
P Raul FWD	16	1		1 -
M Depay FWD	14	1		3 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	12	1		1 -
Z Labyad MID	11	1	2	1 -
F Angileri DEF	10	1		3 -
Vitinho FWD	10		2	1 -
A Ramalho DEF	8			4 -
P Milans DEF	7			-
K Guimarães FWD	6			-
J Rodrigues DEF	5	1		1 -
Charles MID	5			1 -
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	4			2 -
I. Machado DEF	2			-
A Santana MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	20	6	8
A. Santos Dias	Y Alberto	R Garro	R Garro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Santos Dias MID	4	5	2	1
R Garro MID	3	18	6	8
G Henrique DEF	3	10	1	1
M Bidu DEF	3	4	1	3
Y Alberto FWD	3	20	2	5
B Bidon MID	2	4	1	3
Raniele MID	2	4		2
K César FWD	2	11	2	3
Matheuzinho DEF	1	6	2	3
G Paulista DEF	1	2
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	1	2		1
P Raul FWD	1	5
M Depay FWD	1	7		3
G. Silva Inácio FWD	1	2
Z Labyad MID	1	1	2	3
F Angileri DEF	1	1		1
J Rodrigues DEF	1	2
A Carrillo MID			1
Allan MID		3	1	2
M Pereira MID		1
J Lingard MID		3	1	1
Vitinho FWD		2	2	1
K Guimarães FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1232	47	138
G Henrique	Raniele	M Bidu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Henrique DEF	1232	23	101
G Paulista DEF	1141	15	69
Matheuzinho DEF	1095	44	86
M Bidu DEF	1050	37	138
R Garro MID	1023	19	108
Allan MID	902	18	41
Raniele MID	885	47	133
B Bidon MID	820	35	126
H Souza GLK	678	1	2
A Carrillo MID	653	25	60
M Pereira MID	517	11	20
A Ramalho DEF	433	6	38
K César FWD	370	22	117
M Depay FWD	329		32
A. Santos Dias MID	311	24	63
F Angileri DEF	280	17	34
J Rodrigues DEF	261	6	21
Y Alberto FWD	255	7	60
J Lingard MID	246	6	17
P Milans DEF	144	9	24
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	138	3	20
K. de Souza Camargo GLK	115		1
Vitinho FWD	111	4	22
Z Labyad MID	89	3	9
Charles MID	78	10	19
I. Machado DEF	76		4
K Guimarães FWD	65	9	16
P Raul FWD	64	3	30
G. Silva Inácio FWD	43	10	17
A Santana MID	7		2

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	9	6	8
L Arcanjo	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Erick FWD	28	5	6	2 -
Matheuzinho MID	27	5	4	5 -
L Arcanjo GLK	26		1	1 -
Caique MID	25			5 -
E Martínez MID	24	1		8 -
D. Tarzia FWD	24	2	2	3 -
Cacá DEF	23	1		6 1
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	23	9	1	2 -
L Cândido DEF	22		2	2 1
R Kayzer FWD	22	4	1	4 -
Ramon DEF	20	2		5 -
J. Silva Neves MID	20	1		4 -
Jamerson DEF	18			1 -
G Baralhas MID	18	2	3	4 -
Marinho FWD	14			2 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
T Pochettino MID	12			-
E. Santos Nascimento Filho DEF	11			2 1
F Fabrício FWD	11		1	-
Matheusinho DEF	10		3	1 -
E Brítez DEF	9			2 -
Camutanga DEF	8			-
Walace MID	7			-
L Silva FWD	7			1 -
A. Santos FWD	5			1 -
F Silva DEF	3			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Alex Bruno FWD	3			-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
Edu DEF	1			-
I Laquintana FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	27	6	12
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	9	27	1	2
Erick FWD	5	13	6	12
Matheuzinho MID	5	18	4	4
R Kayzer FWD	4	9	1	2
D. Tarzia FWD	2	11	2	2
Ramon DEF	2	5
G Baralhas MID	2	5	3	5
E Martínez MID	1	3
Cacá DEF	1	2		1
J. Silva Neves MID	1	6		1
Dudu MID	1	1
L Arcanjo GLK			1	1
Caique MID		1
L Cândido DEF		4	2	1
Jamerson DEF		3
Marinho FWD		2
N Mendes DEF			1	1
T Pochettino MID		3		1
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
Matheusinho DEF		2	3	3
E Brítez DEF		1
Camutanga DEF		1		1
Walace MID		1		1
L Silva FWD		2
A. Santos FWD		1
Alex Bruno FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
892	53	181
Caique	J. Silva Neves	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Caique MID	892	51	105
E Martínez MID	860	36	86
Cacá DEF	802	18	59
L Arcanjo GLK	756		8
Erick FWD	728	18	103
L Cândido DEF	718	25	78
J. Silva Neves MID	697	53	181
Ramon DEF	647	35	72
Matheuzinho MID	575	15	91
G Baralhas MID	538	28	64
Jamerson DEF	486	32	93
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
Matheusinho DEF	240	17	45
D. Tarzia FWD	238	20	72
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	206	10	85
E Brítez DEF	203	11	26
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
E. Santos Nascimento Filho DEF	156	14	23
Walace MID	152	3	7
R Kayzer FWD	118	4	34
Marinho FWD	106	16	43
T Pochettino MID	98	15	21
Dudu MID	75	4	18
F Silva DEF	73	2	9
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
L Silva FWD	35	4	13
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	28	10	26
A. Santos FWD	20	5	8
Alex Bruno FWD	20		6
I Laquintana FWD	10	1	1
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1