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Vasco da Gama v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu

Vasco da Gama and Corinthians clash at the Estádio Nivaldo Pereira on Wednesday night, with both Cledson Rafael de Paiva and Raphael Laruccia seeking a win in the Serie A. Serie A statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Corinthians's next match is v Gremio at 00:00 on Friday 26th July
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Vasco d Gama and Corinthians was on Wednesday 10th July 2024
Brazillian Serie A
July 10th 2024
Vasco d Gama 2
0 Corinthians
 
L. Piton Crivellaro 55'
J. Sforza 90'
 
VDG
CTH
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
5
7
Corners
7
5
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
15
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
5/0
 
Vasco d GamaCorinthians
 
L. Jardim
L. Pinheiro da Conceição
M. Pereira Roque
L. Piton Crivellarofootball icon (L. da Silva Gama 90')
P. de Oliveira Alves
M. Carvalho dos Santos (J. Sforza 79')
H. Moura Arruda da Silva (J. dos Santos Silva 80')
Bruno Praxedes (J. de Paula Morais 68')
A. Ferreira Soares (B. Lopes Ferreira 80')
D. Correia da Fonseca
P. Vegetti Pfaffen
M. Donelli
M. França Silva
M. Lima Beltrão Oliveira
F. Torres Caicedo
C. de Menezes Júnior
(P. Garay da Silva 66') R. Almeida Melo
(M. de Araujo Andrade 79') B. de Souza Bidon
I. Coronado
(P. Konzen Medina da Silva 60') Á. Romero Villamayor
(G. Santana do Nascimento 79') W. Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
(R. de Lima 66') Y. Monteiro da Silva
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Vasco d Gama or Corinthians are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 73% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
49%
27/20
4%
23/20
Draw
25%
2/1
3%
2/1
Corinthians
26%
23/10
3%
21/10
Draw 1-1
12%
9/2
8%
5/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
Vasco d Gama 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Vasco d Gama 2-0
9%
10/1
16%
8/1
6%
Corinthians 1-0
8%
17/2
12%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
7%
7/1
14%
6/1
Corinthians 2-1
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
5%
20/114/1
Vasco d Gama 3-0
5%
20/114/1
Corinthians 2-0
4%
14/112/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
3%
33/120/1
9%
Corinthians 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Vasco d Gama 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Vasco d Gama 4-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
6/5
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
13/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/11
5%
10/11
5%
BTTS - No
48%
10/11
9%
4/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4/1
9%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
17/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
Home/draw
74%
1/3
2%
1/3
Away/draw
51%
4/7
3%
8/13
2%
Home/away
75%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
2/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/1
14%
-
Home DNB
67%
4/74/7
1%
Away DNB
44%
5/45/4
2%
Vasco d Gama win to nil
27%
11/4
7%
-
Corinthians win to nil
14%
9/2-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
23%
11/413/5
3%
Vasco d Gama / Corinthians
3%
33/125/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Vasco d Gama
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
Draw / Corinthians
11%
6/111/2
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
10%
10/3
Corinthians / Vasco d Gama
3%
28/120/1
9%
Corinthians / Corinthians
14%
4/1
9%
17/4
Corinthians / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Corinthians 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Corinthians have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
5
11
Games: Scored
4 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
CTH
3
All league games since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
6
16
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
D
2
CTH
6
Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.6 against Corinthians on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vasco d Gama 11th Corinthians 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Vasco d Gama have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+10
Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273212/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
32%
better
VDG
CTH
view stats
Games scored10
6
Failed to score5
9
Scored first5
3
Goals scored17
12
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal9
14
Conversion rate for12
7
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
VDG
CTH
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded26
20
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+10%

Vasco d Gama v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18636
L JardimP VegettiL Piton H Moura
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK18
-
P Henrique DEF181
2
-
Maicon DEF161
4
-
L Léo DEF15
1
-
L Piton  DEF1513
3
-
H Moura MID113
5
1
M Santos MID13
-
Adson MID1611
1
-
Praxedes MID6
3
-
David  MID1533
5
-
P Vegetti FWD176
3
-
Subs
Keiller GLK
-
J Bebanz DEF7
-
V Luis DEF7
2
1
L Gonçalves DEF11
-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF
-
J. de Paula Morais MID91
-
J Sforza MID151
2
-
Z Gabriel MID13
3
-
Rossi MID111
2
-
L. da Silva Gama MID41
-
B. Lopes Ferreira FWD1
1
-
R Rocha FWD11
1
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17335
HugoCacáHugoRaniele
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Donelli GLK7
-
Matheuzinho DEF16
2
-
F Torres DEF11
2
-
Cacá DEF1531
2
-
M Bidu DEF71
-
B Bidon MID14
3
-
Raniele MID16
5
-
Ángel Romero MID122
2
-
I Coronado MID1511
2
-
Wesley MID172
1
-
Y Alberto FWD1522
4
-
Subs
F. Longo Fernandes da Silva GLK
-
L Mana DEF5
1
-
Hugo DEF173
1
-
Caetano DEF4
1
-
G Henrique DEF8
4
-
Biro MID2
-
M Araújo MID4
-
R Lima MID5
1
-
P Raul FWD10
2
-
K Guimarães FWD2
-
P Henrique FWD61
1
-
Giovane FWD61
1
-