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Bahia v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 6th Nov, 00:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Sao Paulo, led by manager Luis Francisco Zubeldía, visit Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side at the Arena Fonte Nova on Wednesday morning in the Serie A. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Rogério Mücke Ceni and Luis Francisco Zubeldía to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a glut of goals as Bahia and Sao Paulo go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.62 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
49%
6/5
5%
11/10
5%
Draw
28%
9/4
4%
21/10
3%
Sao Paulo
23%
23/10
3%
11/5
2%
Bahia 1-0
15%
11/25/1
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
12%
7/16/1
7%
Bahia 2-0
10%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Sao Paulo 1-0
9%
15/213/2
Bahia 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Bahia 3-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Bahia 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/112/1
13%
Bahia 4-0
2%
40/128/1
12%
Bahia 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Bahia 4-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
13/10
2%
6/5
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
3/5
1%
11/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
8%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
41%
1/11/1
BTTS - No
59%
3/48/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
13/2
6%
6/1
Home/draw
77%
1/3
2%
3/10
Away/draw
51%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
4/9
3%
2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
7/4
8%
8/5
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
10/329/10
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/92/11
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/141/20
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/121/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
7/111/2
7%
Home DNB
69%
8/15
2%
8/15
2%
Away DNB
43%
11/8
5%
11/8
3%
Bahia win to nil
33%
12/5
5%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
15%
9/2-
Bahia / Bahia
23%
13/5
3%
12/5
3%
Bahia / Sao Paulo
3%
33/125/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bahia
16%
4/14/1
4%
Draw / Sao Paulo
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
6%
Sao Paulo / Bahia
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
14%
5/117/4
5%
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Sao Paulo 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
BAH
1
D
2
SAO
2
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
SAO
3
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th Sao Paulo 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Bahia have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Sao Paulo have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273370/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.3
0.8
Attack rating
1%
better
BAH
SAO
view stats
Games scored26
24
Failed to score5
7
Scored first13
18
Goals scored42
42
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
BAH
SAO
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets9
11
Conceded first17
10
Goals conceded37
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+13%

Bahia v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31858
M FelipeEveraldoCaulyKanu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK31
2
-
Cauly MID3135
1
-
S Suay MID3025
4
-
J Lucas MID3035
5
-
Thaciano MID3062
5
-
Everaldo FWD3082
4
-
G Xavier DEF29
5
-
C Alexandre MID292
6
-
L Juba FWD2931
2
-
C Pena MID263
5
-
Kanu DEF24
8
-
Ademir FWD2323
1
-
Biel  FWD2144
3
-
S Arias DEF191
2
1
R Ratão FWD1713
-
Rezende MID15
3
-
Gilberto DEF141
1
-
Iago DEF12
-
L Rodriguez FWD123
-
Y Felipe MID8
2
-
V Cuesta DEF7
3
-
Cicinho  DEF6
1
-
V Hugo DEF1
-
D Duarte DEF11
-
N Acevedo MID1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
249410
R ArboledaLucianoJ CalleriLuciano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Arboleda DEF252
2
-
Luciano FWD2592
10
-
J Calleri FWD2554
6
-
I Vinícius  DEF232
4
-
A Silva FWD2352
2
-
Welington  DEF221
4
-
L Gustavo MID22
2
-
L Moura FWD2284
4
-
R Nestor MID212
3
1
A Franco DEF201
6
1
W Rato MID204
3
-
Ferreira FWD2051
3
-
Rafael GLK19
1
-
M Araújo MID181
4
-
Erick FWD1812
2
-
D Bobadilla MID161
3
-
Alisson MID1612
4
-
N Ferraresi  DEF1411
2
-
G Galoppo  MID13
3
-
Jandrei GLK12
-
Sabino DEF8
1
-
Patryck DEF7
1
-
M Antônio MID7
-
Liziero  MID71
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD72
2
-
Rafinha DEF6
2
-
J Lewis DEF4
-
J Moreira  DEF3
-
R Tressoldi DEF3
-
Rodrigo MID3
-
P Maia MID3
-
S Longo MID2
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-