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Bahia v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Rogério Mücke Ceni and Davide Ancelotti clash in the Serie A on Saturday night, as Bahia face Botafogo at the Arena Fonte Nova. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Botafogo was on Saturday 30th May 2026
Brazillian Serie A
May 30th 2026
Bahia 2
1 Botafogo
 
N. Ferraresi Hernández (OG) 57'7' V. de Melo Moura
D. de Duarte Macedo 90'
 
BAH
BOT
Shots On
9
6
Shots Off
15
7
Corners
10
4
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/1
 
BahiaBotafogo
 
R. de Oliveira Strada
G. Moraes Junior
C. Souza e Silva (É. de Barros Ribeiro 46')
R. Bertalia
E. Conrado Carvalho
W. da Silva (M. Ferreira da Silva 90')
S. Ramos Mingo
D. de Duarte Macedofootball icon
J. de Lima Costa (M. Sanabria 65')
E. da Costa Farias (E. Stum 46')
C. Olivera Ibarra (A. da Silva Santos Junior 25')
N. Murara Neto
M. Ponte Costa
football iconN. Ferraresi Hernández
A. Telles
(S. Rodríguez Molina 74') C. Medina
(N. Araújo da Costa Júnior 74') ?. Montoro
football iconV. de Melo Moura
(M. Martins Silva dos Santos 75') K. Almeida Toledo
(C. Ramos de la Flor 90') E. Justino
(R. Steffens 45') L. Villalba Jaume
A. Mendonça Cabral

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and misery to both sets of supporters. We predict both Bahia and Botafogo to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
45%
24/25
3%
1/200
Draw
24%
11/4
10%
20/1
9%
Botafogo
31%
5/2
7%
150/1
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
4/11
8%
Bahia 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
3/1
6%
Bahia 1-0
8%
9/1
18%
7/1
13%
Botafogo 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
11/1
9%
Bahia 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
25/1
Botafogo 1-0
6%
12/117/5
10%
Bahia 3-1
5%
14/118/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
25%
10/1
26%
Botafogo 2-0
4%
20/117/2
Bahia 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
12/1
15%
Bahia 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
66/1
21%
Botafogo 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
55/1
19%
Botafogo 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
90/1
10%
Bahia 4-1
2%
28/160/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
13/20
8%
15/8
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5
10%
4/11
13%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/68/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5
4%
13/10
8%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
25%
10/1
26%
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
6%
3/10
8%
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
7%
11/5
12%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
13/5
4%
13/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/37/20
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5/1
8%
11/1
13%
Home/draw
69%
2/7
3%
1/40
4%
Away/draw
55%
4/51/4
Home/away
76%
1/4
4%
2/1
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
4%
2/11
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/2
13%
7/2
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8
12%
12/1
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/2
7%
1/50
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
18%
45/1
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5
5%
1/1000
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
18%
125/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
2%
1/1000
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/33
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
25%
10/1
26%
Home DNB
62%
4/91/6
3%
Away DNB
48%
13/87/2
5%
Bahia win to nil
21%
3/1
7%
-
Botafogo win to nil
14%
6/1-
Bahia / Bahia
26%
11/5
3%
50/1
Bahia / Botafogo
3%
28/1100/1
19%
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/180/1
Draw / Bahia
15%
9/2
10%
12/1
5%
Draw / Botafogo
10%
7/120/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/116/1
15%
Botafogo / Bahia
4%
20/14/1
11%
Botafogo / Botafogo
15%
9/2
8%
17/20
13%
Botafogo / Draw
7%
14/113/5
8%
Win / draw / win form
6
Bahia have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Botafogo 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
3
D
2
BOT
1
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
3
BOT
3
Goal Statistics

Bahia have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Botafogo on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Bahia 6th Botafogo 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+34
Botafogo have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
BAH
BOT
4%
better
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score1
2
Scored first7
8
Goals scored23
30
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
22%
better
BAH
BOT
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
29
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Bahia v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16444
E PulgaEveraldoS SuayErick
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ronaldo  GLK8
1
-
Gilberto DEF71
-
D Duarte DEF112
2
-
S Mingo DEF15
3
-
J Costa DEF1
-
C Alexandre MID11
1
-
Erick MID142
4
-
R Nestor MID10
2
-
C Olivera FWD1611
1
-
W José FWD1631
1
-
E Pulga FWD171
2
-
Subs
G Xavier DEF6
1
-
Kanu DEF3
2
-
R. Gómez DEF3
1
-
M Victor DEF1
-
J Lucas MID1522
2
-
S Suay MID134
1
-
M Araújo MID12
1
1
Ademir FWD171
2
-
M Sanabria FWD1121
1
-
Everaldo FWD144
2
-
Caio Suassuna FWD1
-
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15735
A Telles A Cabral?. MontoroC Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Neto  GLK10
1
M Ponte DEF81
3
-
N Ferraresi  DEF121
2
-
E. Justino DEF6
1
-
A Telles  DEF1522
3
-
L Jaume MID911
2
-
V. de Melo Moura MID31
1
-
C Medina MID111
4
1
?. Montoro MID153
3
-
A Cabral FWD1571
2
-
K. Almeida Toledo FWD31
-
Subs
Raul GLK8
1
-
Vitinho DEF152
3
-
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira DEF1
1
-
A. Ciriano Oliveira DEF
-
Caio Gomes DEF31
-
Edenilson MID1232
2
-
J Herrera MID111
-
S Rodríguez MID10
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID7
2
-
C. Ribeiro do Valle Silva MID
-
C Ramos FWD3
1
-
M Martins FWD154
1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds