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Gremio v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Saturday night sees Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro’s Gremio and Dorival Silvestre Júnior’s Corinthians go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Arena do Grêmio. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Corinthians was on Saturday 30th May 2026
Brazillian Serie A
May 30th 2026
Gremio 1
3 Corinthians
 
G. Ferreira de Carvalho 7'45' A. Santos Dias
65' A. Santos Dias
67' K. Andrade Lima
 
GRE
CTH
Shots On
3
9
Shots Off
7
15
Corners
4
8
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
23
20
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
GremioCorinthians
 
W. Calvelo de Souza
T. Stallbaum
M. Rocha Aquino (J. Maturano dos Santos 46')
Arthur
L. Pérez
Tetê (J. Enamorado Gómez 53')
G. Ferreira de Carvalhofootball icon (Andre Martins 80')
V. Fernandes Santos Lopes
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro
M. Braithwait (F. Amuzu 62')
C. Alves Morais (G. Menegon 79')
H. de Souza Nogueira
M. França Silva
G. de Abreu
G. Vernes
(D. da Cruz Lopes 90') B. de Souza Bidon
(M. Pereira da Silva 90') R. Garro
(A. Rodrigues de Souza 82') R. Almeida Melo
Y. Monteiro da Silva
M. Lima Beltrão Oliveira
(A. Carrillo Díaz 88') football iconfootball iconA. Santos Dias
(Z. Labyad 88') football iconK. Andrade Lima

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this match will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Gremio and Corinthians haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
46%
2/1
40%
1/50
30%
Draw
27%
11/5
2%
150/1
2%
Corinthians
27%
7/5
27%
1/200
23%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/123/20
4%
Gremio 1-0
13%
15/2
21%
13/5
15%
Corinthians 1-0
9%
6/1
22%
11/2
24%
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Gremio 2-1
9%
11/1
26%
19/4
19%
Gremio 2-0
9%
14/1
50%
11/2
26%
Corinthians 2-1
6%
9/1
17%
14/5
10%
Corinthians 2-0
5%
10/1
27%
9/1
23%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/18/1
8%
Gremio 3-1
4%
25/1
37%
20/1
12%
Gremio 3-0
4%
33/1
62%
16/1
35%
Corinthians 3-1
2%
20/1
28%
1/4
19%
Gremio 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
33/1
26%
Corinthians 3-0
2%
22/1
32%
16/1
35%
Corinthians 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
12/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
5/4
7%
13/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/13
5%
23/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
6/5
22%
6/5
20%
Away 1st Goal
43%
10/11
15%
19/20
15%
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20
2%
4/7
5%
BTTS - No
52%
4/5
6%
13/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/2
37%
1/50
30%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
70/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/2
21%
1/1000
13%
Home/draw
73%
8/15
15%
125/1
15%
Away/draw
54%
4/11
19%
1/50
14%
Home/away
73%
4/11
2%
1/300
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1
6%
27/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
3/1
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
5/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
40/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/300
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
6/1
6%
Home DNB
65%
11/10
34%
1/50
28%
Away DNB
46%
4/6
26%
1/50
23%
Gremio win to nil
27%
4/1
33%
-
Corinthians win to nil
16%
11/4
32%
-
Gremio / Gremio
17%
4/1
39%
8/11
31%
Gremio / Corinthians
3%
28/1
15%
19/4
19%
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/5
Draw / Gremio
12%
11/2
18%
28/1
18%
Draw / Corinthians
14%
9/2
21%
18/1
18%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
18/1
4%
Corinthians / Gremio
3%
33/1
31%
1/50
10%
Corinthians / Corinthians
21%
3/1
27%
60/1
22%
Corinthians / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Corinthians have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Gremio 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio3 - 2Santos
Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio3 - 2Santos
AGremio1 - 1Bahia
HGremio0 - 1Flamengo
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Corinthians 10TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo3 - 1Corinthians
Mirassol2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense3 - 1Corinthians
Chapecoense0 - 0Corinthians
Santos1 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Fortaleza2 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Bragantino2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Santos3 - 1Corinthians
Internacional1 - 1Corinthians
S. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Juventude2 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo1 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCorinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
ACorinthians1 - 3Botafogo
HCorinthians3 - 2Sao Paulo
ACorinthians1 - 2Mirassol
HCorinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACorinthians0 - 0Vitoria
HCorinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
HCorinthians0 - 1Internacional
ACorinthians1 - 3Fluminense
HCorinthians1 - 1Flamengo
ACorinthians0 - 0Chapecoense
ACorinthians1 - 1Santos
HCorinthians0 - 2Cortiba
ACorinthians1 - 1Cruzeiro
ACorinthians1 - 0Athletico PR
HCorinthians2 - 0Bragantino
HCorinthians1 - 2Bahia
HCorinthians1 - 1Juventude
ACorinthians1 - 2Fortaleza
HCorinthians2 - 2Botafogo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Corinthians have not lost to Gremio in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
2
6
Games: Scored
2 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
5 / 7
GRE
1
D
3
CTH
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Corinthians
0 - 1Corinthians
0 - 1Corinthians
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Gremio1 - 0
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
GRE
1
D
5
CTH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Gremio
Goal Statistics
Gremio 16th Corinthians 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Gremio have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Corinthians have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.4
1
Attack rating
1%
better
GRE
CTH
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score6
5
Scored first5
7
Goals scored19
15
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1
0.7
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
GRE
CTH
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded20
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+11%

Gremio v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17935
C ViníciusC ViníciusF AmuzuV Lopes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Stallbaum GLK1
1
M Rocha DEF4
-
Wagner DEF9
2
1
V Lopes DEF131
4
1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF91
3
-
Arthur MID10
1
-
L. Pérez MID10
2
-
Tetê MID142
-
M Braithwaite MID11
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID142
3
-
C Vinícius FWD179
3
-
Subs
W Kannemann DEF
-
J Pedro DEF5
-
C Paulista DEF7
-
Willian  MID8
-
Dodi MID6
2
-
E Mola MID1311
2
-
M Villasanti MID
-
T. Gonçalves MID1
-
F Amuzu FWD1613
-
André FWD5
3
-
J Enamorado FWD172
3
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16365
H SouzaA. Santos DiasR GarroM Bidu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Souza GLK16
2
-
Matheuzinho DEF1411
3
1
G Paulista DEF141
3
-
G Henrique DEF15
2
-
M Bidu DEF1521
5
-
A. Santos Dias MID143
1
2
Raniele MID161
4
-
B Bidon MID162
1
-
R Garro MID1826
3
-
K César MID611
2
-
Y Alberto FWD1412
2
-
Subs
K. de Souza Camargo GLK2
1
-
A Ramalho DEF6
3
-
P Milans DEF3
-
F Angileri DEF6
2
-
A Carrillo MID141
3
-
M Pereira MID11
1
-
Allan MID13
3
1
D. da Cruz Lopes MID81
-
A Santana MID1
-
P Raul FWD8
1
-
Z Labyad FWD811
1
-
G. Silva Inácio FWD5
-
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