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Gremio v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th May, 21:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Saturday night sees Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro’s Gremio and Dorival Silvestre Júnior’s Corinthians go head to head in a Serie A battle at the Arena do Grêmio. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
51%
--
Draw
27%
--
Corinthians
22%
--
Gremio 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Gremio 2-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Gremio 2-1
9%
--
Corinthians 1-0
9%
--
Corinthians 2-1
5%
--
Gremio 3-0
5%
--
Gremio 3-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Corinthians 2-0
4%
--
Gremio 4-0
2%
--
Gremio 3-2
2%
--
Gremio 4-1
1%
--
Corinthians 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
40%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
78%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
41%
--
Gremio win to nil
33%
--
Corinthians win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Corinthians 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Corinthians have not lost to Gremio in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
2
6
Games: Scored
2 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
5 / 7
GRE
1
D
3
CTH
3
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Gremio
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
GRE
1
D
5
CTH
1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Gremio of late. It has been 8 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Corinthians.

Gremio 15th Corinthians 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Corinthians have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
GRE
CTH
5%
better
view stats
Games scored9
10
Failed to score6
5
Scored first4
6
Goals scored15
13
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1
0.7
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
GRE
CTH
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
9
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded17
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+9%

Gremio v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE